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Markets continue to navigate a rapidly evolving environment as investors weigh geopolitical developments, inflation trends, and Federal Reserve policy. In this episode of Blue Chip NOW!, Daniel Dusina, CFA, Matthew Mondoux, CFA, CMT, CFP® and Dan Seder, CFA, CMT, CFP® discuss reports of a potential peace agreement between the U.S. and Iran, how changes in oil prices could influence inflation expectations, and why markets have appeared to react so strongly to developments in the region. The team also examines SpaceX's historic public debut, which became the largest IPO on record, and discusses what the offering may indicate about investor sentiment and risk appetite. Finally, they explore the latest inflation data, interest rate expectations, and what investors may be watching as newly appointed Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh prepares for his first FOMC meeting. "Interest rates impact stocks, bonds, real estate, currencies, commodities… everything is impacted by interest rates." – Dan Seder Want more market insights and financial planning perspectives from the Blue Chip team? https://hubs.li/Q04mlG9t0 Disclaimer: The information contained herein is based on an actual client donation to charity, not a hypothetical example. Strategies recommended by Blue Chip advisors will vary based on individual client needs, objectives, and constraints. Every investor's situation is unique, and you should consider your investment goals, risk tolerance and time horizon before making any investment decision. Prior to making an investment decision, please consult with your financial advisor about your individual situation. This advertisement does not constitute individualized tax or financial advice and should not be used by any person to avoid tax penalties that may be imposed under the Internal Revenue Code. Any prospective investor should consult an independent tax advisor about their individual situation and needs. Tax laws can change and it is important to stay informed about potential legislative developments that may impact your tax situation. Dividends are not guaranteed and must be approved by the company's board of directors. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. There is no guarantee that any statements, opinions, or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Disclaimer: This transcript was generated using Adobe Premiere Pro 2025 AI text-to-speak transcription technology and may not constitute a complete or exact word-for-word transcript of the original recording. Please refer to the original podcast audio recording for the complete and most accurate content. Please note that the information contained herein is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation of any kind. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Links: Daniel Dusina: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/our-team/daniel-dusina/ Matt Mondoux: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/our-team/matthew-mondoux/ Dan Seder: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/our-team/daniel-seder/ Contact: https://www.bluechippartners.com/contact/ Call Us: 248-848-1111 Disclosure Information: https://www.bluechippartners.com/disclosures/ Podcast: https://www.bluechippartners.com/blue-chip-now/ Blog: https://www.bluechippartners.com/blog/ In the News: https://www.bluechippartners.com/in-the-news/ Financial Services: Investment Management: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial- services/investment-management/ Executive Compensation: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/executive-compensation/ Retirement Planning: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/retirement-planning/ Tax Planning: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/tax-planning/ Estate Planning: https://www.bluechipestateplanning.com Career Opportunities: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/career-opportunities/ Timestamps: 00:00 – Introduction & Today's Three Major Market Themes 00:57 – U.S.-Iran Peace Progress and the Market Reaction 02:02 – Oil Prices, Inflation & Potential Fed Implications 05:25 – Market Reactions: Stocks, Bonds and Investor Expectations 07:00 – SpaceX Completes the Largest IPO in Market History 08:19 – What the SpaceX IPO May Say About Investor Risk Appetite 11:04 – Valuation Concerns and Future Growth Expectations 12:28 – Other Major IPOs Potentially Ahead 13:10 – Inflation, Interest Rates and the Federal Reserve 15:03 – Why Fed Policy May Matter More Than Headlines 16:28 – Kevin Warsh's First FOMC Meeting and Market Expectations 17:50 – Money Market Assets, Investor Behavior & Market Momentum 19:19 – Final Takeaways

Want to learn more about how these market themes may fit into a broader financial strategy? www.bluechippartners.com As Blue Chip Partners kicks off the first quarter of 2026, CIO Daniel Dusina, CFA, and Managing Partner Dan Seder, CFA, CMT, CFP® sit down to discuss the economic landscape, equity market concerns, and the evolving role of bonds in diversified portfolios. Despite lingering data challenges from late 2025, the conversation highlights surprisingly resilient U.S. economic growth, the continued impact of AI investment, and how labor and inflation remain central to Federal Reserve decision-making. The discussion also tackles one of the most common investor questions today: are we in a stock market bubble? By examining valuations through a growth-adjusted lens, the team explains why elevated prices alone don't tell the full story. They also explore why small-cap and international equities are quietly gaining momentum for the first time in nearly two decades, and why bonds may continue to serve as an important stabilizer as interest rates trend lower. "For the first time since 2006, small-cap and international equities are quietly outperforming large-cap U.S. stocks." – Daniel Dusina Disclaimer: Expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice. Any information provided is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation to buy, hold or sell any security. The information provided, whether charts, articles, or any other statements regarding market or other financial information, has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. The information provided does not constitute tax, legal, accounting, or other professional advice and is without warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information. There are limitations associated with the use of any method of securities analysis. Indices are included for informational purposes only; investors cannot invest directly in any index. Every investor's situation is unique, and you should consider your investment goals, risk tolerance and time horizon before making any investment. Prior to making an investment decision, please consult with your financial advisor about your individual situation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Dividends are not guaranteed and must be approved by the company's board of directors. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. There is no guarantee that any statements, opinions, or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Links: Daniel Dusina: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/our-team/daniel-dusina/ Matt Mondoux: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/our-team/matthew-mondoux/ Dan Seder: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/our-team/daniel-seder/ Schedule an Intro Call: https://www.bluechippartners.com/schedule-a-call/ Disclosure Information: https://www.bluechippartners.com/disclosures/ Podcast: https://www.bluechippartners.com/blue-chip-now/ Blog: https://www.bluechippartners.com/blog/ In the News: https://www.bluechippartners.com/in-the-news/ Financial Services: Investment Management: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/investment-management/ Executive Compensation: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/executive-compensation/ Retirement Planning: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/retirement-planning/ Tax Planning: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/tax-planning/ Estate Planning: https://www.bluechipestateplanning.com Career Opportunities: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/career-opportunities/ Timestamps: 00:00 – Intro & Q1 2026 outlook 01:34 – 2025 U.S. economic growth surprises 02:07 – AI investment as an economic tailwind 03:04 – Labor market trends & inflation outlook 05:12 – Are we in a stock market bubble? 07:57 – Why tech valuations look different today 10:22 – Portfolio concentration and diversification 12:56 – Small-cap and international equities gaining momentum 15:00 – Interest rates and small-cap performance 17:25 – International stocks, the dollar, and global policy shifts 20:44 – Bonds, yields, and portfolio diversification 23:07 – Key takeaways for investors entering 2026

Interested in how economic data may influence your financial plan? https://hubs.li/Q03X_VHN0 In this episode of Blue Chip NOW!, Daniel Dusina, CFA and the team unpack what has been a surprisingly eventful start to December across the equity and fixed-income markets. The discussion kicks off with the early-month sell-off in technology and crypto assets—largely sentiment-driven—before shifting into the rapid rebound fueled by optimism around artificial intelligence and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut. The team explains how anticipation rather than hard data has been the main driver of equity strength and why that dynamic can cut both ways. The conversation then turns to the broader economic picture, highlighting conflicting signals from manufacturing and services data. Manufacturing has now been in contraction for nine consecutive months, while services remain firmly in expansion territory. The hosts break down how these divergences could affect hiring, corporate investment, consumer spending, and ultimately market behavior. They also explore the recent steepening of the Treasury yield curve, persistent inflation concerns, and how rate decisions may ripple across stocks and bonds as the Fed prepares for its December meeting. "The slump did not stick. You had a bit of a reversal after the very early innings of December." – Daniel Dusina Disclaimer: Expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice. Any information provided is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation to buy, hold or sell any security. The information provided, whether charts, articles, or any other statements regarding market or other financial information, has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. The information provided does not constitute tax, legal, accounting, or other professional advice and is without warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information. There are limitations associated with the use of any method of securities analysis. Indices are included for informational purposes only; investors cannot invest directly in any index. Every investor's situation is unique, and you should consider your investment goals, risk tolerance and time horizon before making any investment. Prior to making an investment decision, please consult with your financial advisor about your individual situation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Dividends are not guaranteed and must be approved by the company's board of directors. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. There is no guarantee that any statements, opinions, or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Links: Daniel Dusina: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/our-team/daniel-dusina/ Matt Mondoux: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/our-team/matthew-mondoux/ Dan Seder: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/our-team/daniel-seder/ Schedule an Intro Call: https://www.bluechippartners.com/schedule-a-call/ Disclosure Information: https://www.bluechippartners.com/disclosures/ Podcast: https://www.bluechippartners.com/blue-chip-now/ Blog: https://www.bluechippartners.com/blog/ In the News: https://www.bluechippartners.com/in-the-news/ Financial Services: Investment Management: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/investment-management/ Executive Compensation: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/executive-compensation/ Retirement Planning: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/retirement-planning/ Tax Planning: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/tax-planning/ Estate Planning: https://www.bluechipestateplanning.com Career Opportunities: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/career-opportunities/ Timestamps 00:00 – Introduction 01:18 – Early December Market Volatility in Tech & Crypto 03:28 – AI Optimism & Equity Market Rebound 04:43 – Manufacturing Sector Weakness (PMI) 07:55 – Services Sector Strength (PMI) 09:36 – How Economic Data Influences Markets & Rate Expectations 11:05 – The Federal Reserve's December Meeting & Rate Cut Debate 13:17 – Treasury Yields and Bond Market Movements 16:28 – Sector Shifts Within the U.S. Economy 18:05 – 2025 Market Takeaways & Final Thoughts

👉 Need help making sense of today's markets? www.bluechippartners.com In this episode, the team walks through a timely Thanksgiving-week market update covering U.S. equities, Federal Reserve expectations, cryptocurrency volatility, and international market performance. The conversation begins with the sharp move higher in equities—powered largely by the AI theme and companies such as Alphabet. They discuss the tension between AI-driven enthusiasm and the macro tug-of-war created by evolving interest-rate expectations. The hosts emphasize how today's tech giants appear to be different from the unproven companies of the early-2000s tech bubble. They then shift to Federal Reserve dynamics, highlighting the divide among policymakers regarding the pace of future rate cuts. Perspectives from Fed officials and Vanguard's fixed-income team point to concerns about the market potentially overestimating the number of cuts ahead. The group also examines Bitcoin's significant ETF outflows, momentum-driven selling, and the lack of earnings anchors in crypto markets. The episode closes with a look at international equities, which appear to have benefited from U.S. government shutdown and shifting sentiment toward more value-oriented sectors abroad. "It sure feels like the wheels would have to be falling off the economy for the Fed to cut four times." – Dan Seder Disclaimer: Expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice. Any information provided is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation to buy, hold or sell any security. The information provided, whether charts, articles, or any other statements regarding market or other financial information, has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. The information provided does not constitute tax, legal, accounting, or other professional advice and is without warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information. There are limitations associated with the use of any method of securities analysis. Indices are included for informational purposes only; investors cannot invest directly in any index. Every investor's situation is unique, and you should consider your investment goals, risk tolerance and time horizon before making any investment. Prior to making an investment decision, please consult with your financial advisor about your individual situation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Dividends are not guaranteed and must be approved by the company's board of directors. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. There is no guarantee that any statements, opinions, or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Links: Daniel Dusina: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/our-team/daniel-dusina/ Matt Mondoux: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/our-team/matthew-mondoux/ Dan Seder: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/our-team/daniel-seder/ Schedule an Intro Call: https://www.bluechippartners.com/schedule-a-call/ Disclosure Information: https://www.bluechippartners.com/disclosures/ Podcast: https://www.bluechippartners.com/blue-chip-now/ Blog: https://www.bluechippartners.com/blog/ In the News: https://www.bluechippartners.com/in-the-news/ Financial Services: Investment Management: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/investment-management/ Executive Compensation: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/executive-compensation/ Retirement Planning: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/retirement-planning/ Tax Planning: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/tax-planning/ Estate Planning: https://www.bluechipestateplanning.com Career Opportunities: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/career-opportunities/ Timestamps 00:00 - Introduction 01:00 - Overview of Market Topics 02:05 - U.S. Equity Market Discussion 03:37 - Artificial Intelligence & Tech Leadership 05:20 - Federal Reserve & Rate Cut Expectations 09:25 - Jobs Data and Labor Market Update 11:50 - Bitcoin, Crypto, and ETF Outflows 15:06 - International Markets Performance 18:00 - Episode Recap & Closing

https://www.bluechippartners.com Inflation appears to cool, markets hit new highs, and the Fed faces tough choices with limited data. In this episode of Blue Chip NOW!, Daniel Dusina, CFA, Matt Mondoux, CFA, CMT, CFP®, and Daniel Seder, CFA, CMT, CFP® break down the latest CPI report, energy and commodity trends, Fed policy outlook, and U.S.–China trade updates — plus what it could mean for your portfolio. In this episode: Why the latest inflation data could support Fed rate cuts What's behind shifts in oil, gold, and commodity prices How the Fed is "flying blind" amid limited economic data The real impact of U.S.–China trade optimism Whether market highs mean it's time to worry about valuations 💡 Stay informed. Stay confident. Listen to the full discussion now. "Inflation not only is something that consumers feel and react to, but it's also a driver of monetary policy." – Matthew Mondoux Disclaimer: Expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice. Any information provided is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation to buy, hold or sell any security. The information provided, whether charts, articles, or any other statements regarding market or other financial information, has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. The information provided does not constitute tax, legal, accounting, or other professional advice and is without warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information. There are limitations associated with the use of any method of securities analysis. Indices are included for informational purposes only; investors cannot invest directly in any index. Every investor's situation is unique, and you should consider your investment goals, risk tolerance and time horizon before making any investment. Prior to making an investment decision, please consult with your financial advisor about your individual situation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Dividends are not guaranteed and must be approved by the company's board of directors. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. There is no guarantee that any statements, opinions, or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Links: Daniel Dusina: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/our-team/daniel-dusina/ Matt Mondoux: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/our-team/matthew-mondoux/ Dan Seder: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/our-team/daniel-seder/ Schedule an Intro Call: https://www.bluechippartners.com/schedule-a-call/ Disclosure Information: https://www.bluechippartners.com/disclosures/ Podcast: https://www.bluechippartners.com/blue-chip-now/ Blog: https://www.bluechippartners.com/blog/ In the News: https://www.bluechippartners.com/in-the-news/ Financial Services: Investment Management: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/investment-management/ Executive Compensation: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/executive-compensation/ Retirement Planning: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/retirement-planning/ Tax Planning: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/tax-planning/ Estate Planning: https://www.bluechipestateplanning.com Career Opportunities: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/career-opportunities/ Timestamps: 00:00 – Introduction 00:55 – Inflation Update: September CPI slightly below forecast 03:48 – Commodities & Energy: oil oversupply, gold strength, and inflation hedges 06:32 – Federal Reserve & Policy Uncertainty: shutdown effects, missing data, and rate 09:28 – Trade Relations: U.S.–China optimism and "framework for a framework" deal 12:43 – Market Impact & Valuations: earnings strength and momentum trends 15:23 – Episode recap and closing thoughts

Spend Confidently. Live without Regret: https://www.bluechippartners.com In this edition of Blue Chip NOW! Quarterly Edge, Chief Investment Officer Daniel Dusina and Managing Partner Dan Seder break down the state of the U.S. economy, markets, and what could be ahead for investors. They highlight the economy's surprising resilience, with GDP growth revised up to 3.8%, supported by strong consumer spending and healthy balance sheets—even as labor market softness emerges. Inflation has ticked higher, but with the Fed cutting rates to support employment, the challenge is avoiding a rebound in price pressures. The discussion then shifts to market valuations and opportunities. While large-cap tech skews headline indices, sectors like consumer discretionary and healthcare appear undervalued on an equal-weighted basis. With money market yields set to fall as rates decline, investors may reallocate cash into stocks and bonds. The takeaway: the economy remains resilient, but smart selectivity and close attention to the Fed, labor, and consumer psychology will matter most in the months ahead. "It should be no surprise that as goes the consumer, so goes the US economy, as the consumer is roughly 70% of GDP." – Daniel Dusina Disclaimer: Expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice. Any information provided is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation to buy, hold or sell any security. The information provided, whether charts, articles, or any other statements regarding market or other financial information, has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. The information provided does not constitute tax, legal, accounting, or other professional advice and is without warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information. There are limitations associated with the use of any method of securities analysis. Indices are included for informational purposes only; investors cannot invest directly in any index. Every investor's situation is unique, and you should consider your investment goals, risk tolerance and time horizon before making any investment. Prior to making an investment decision, please consult with your financial advisor about your individual situation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Dividends are not guaranteed and must be approved by the company's board of directors. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. There is no guarantee that any statements, opinions, or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Links: Daniel Dusina: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/our-team/daniel-dusina/ Dan Seder: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/our-team/daniel-seder/ Schedule an Intro Call: https://www.bluechippartners.com/schedule-a-call/ Disclosure Information: https://www.bluechippartners.com/disclosures/ Podcast: https://www.bluechippartners.com/blue-chip-now/ Blog: https://www.bluechippartners.com/blog/ In the News: https://www.bluechippartners.com/in-the-news/ Financial Services: Investment Management: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/investment-management/ Executive Compensation: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/executive-compensation/ Retirement Planning: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/retirement-planning/ Tax Planning: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/tax-planning/ Estate Planning: https://www.bluechipestateplanning.com Career Opportunities: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/career-opportunities/ Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:49 – Economic Outlook – Resilient GDP growth 01:11 – AI Investment Trends – Technology-driven capital spending boosts growth. 01:59 – Labor Market Softness – Downward revisions to job gains and hiring caution. 02:48 – Consumer Strength – Spending resilience supported by strong balance sheets. 03:38 - Credit Card Delinquencies – Rates declining, indicating household health. 04:19 – The Wealth Effect – Market gains driving consumer willingness to spend. 04:43 – Inflation Dynamics – Moderate uptick with Fed cuts prioritizing labor. 05:50 – Market Valuations – S&P 500 concentration vs. equal-weighted perspectives. 07:29 – Sector Opportunities – Consumer discretionary and healthcare undervalued. 08:55 – Selective Investing – The case against passive, broad index exposure. 09:40 – Choppiness Ahead – Uncertainty tied to labor, inflation, and policy. 10:08 – Money Market Funds – Impact of declining rates on investor allocations. 11:33 – Retail Behavior – Psychology of cash shifts when yields fall below 4%. 12:25 – Market Fuel – Reallocation from money markets to stocks and bonds. 13:06 – Closing Thoughts – Stay alert as markets react to shifting conditions.

Spend Confidently. Live without Regret: https://www.bluechippartners.com In this episode of Blue Chip Now, the team kicks things off with post–Labor Day reflections and the shift from summer into fall routines. As the discussion moves into the markets, they highlight how September can bring heightened activity and renewed volatility after a quieter summer. The conversation explores several pressing financial topics: the uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariffs after a recent appeals court ruling, ripple effects in the bond market as yields near 5%, and the fragility of investor sentiment around artificial intelligence companies. The team discusses the importance of diversification, especially as market leadership rotates between sectors like tech, energy, and financials. The episode closes with reminders that despite volatility, markets appear to be resilient and at record highs, providing an opportunity for long-term investors to stay balanced and seek broader opportunities. "When it's the same seven, eight, nine stocks leading the market, diversification is not paid. But when you see moves like this, that's when it's a nice reminder that diversification, over the long run, does pay." – Matt Mondoux Expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice. Any information provided is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation to buy, hold or sell any security. The information provided, whether charts, articles, or any other statements regarding market or other financial information, has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. The information provided does not constitute tax, legal, accounting, or other professional advice and is without warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information. There are limitations associated with the use of any method of securities analysis. Indices are included for informational purposes only; investors cannot invest directly in any index. Every investor's situation is unique, and you should consider your investment goals, risk tolerance and time horizon before making any investment. Prior to making an investment decision, please consult with your financial advisor about your individual situation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Dividends are not guaranteed and must be approved by the company's board of directors. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. There is no guarantee that any statements, opinions, or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Links: Daniel Dusina: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/our-team/daniel-dusina/ Dan Seder: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/our-team/daniel-seder/ Matthew Mondoux: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/our-team/matthew-mondoux/ Schedule an Intro Call: https://www.bluechippartners.com/schedule-a-call/ Disclosure Information: https://www.bluechippartners.com/disclosures/ Podcast: https://www.bluechippartners.com/blue-chip-now/ Blog: https://www.bluechippartners.com/blog/ In the News: https://www.bluechippartners.com/in-the-news/ Financial Services: Investment Management: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/investment-management/ Executive Compensation: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/executive-compensation/ Retirement Planning: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/retirement-planning/ Tax Planning: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/tax-planning/ Estate Planning: https://www.bluechipestateplanning.com Career Opportunities: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/career-opportunities/ Timestamps: 00:00 – Intro; end-of-summer reflections 02:18 – Market activity picks up post–Labor Day 03:32 – Tariffs ruled illegal: legal uncertainty ahead 04:46 – Business challenges: pricing under tariff uncertainty 06:12 – Bond market volatility and 30-year yields near 5% 07:24 – Historical context: why 5% isn't "too high" 08:41 – Rate cuts, inflation, and long bond dynamics 09:51 – Tech and AI stocks face selling pressure 12:00 – Rotation into energy, financials, and small caps 13:04 – Market resilience at all-time highs 14:17 – Recap: tariffs, bonds, tech sentiment, diversification

Spend Confidently. Live without Regret: www.bluechippartners.com In this edition of the Blue Chip NOW! Quarterly Edge, Daniel Dusina, CFA, and Dan Seder, CFA, CMT, CFP® unpack the complex economic landscape heading into the second half of 2025. They highlight how uncertainty — driven primarily by unresolved tariff developments — is affecting not only investor sentiment but also labor market behaviors. Notably, data shows that job-switchers are no longer seeing significantly higher wage growth compared to those staying with the same employer, indicating a broad shift in corporate caution and workforce dynamics. The episode also explores rising U.S. debt levels relative to GDP and why perception—not just the math—matters most when it comes to financial system risk. Shifting gears to the stock market, the hosts reflect on the post-Liberation Day sell-off, sector-specific volatility, and the persistent influence of geopolitical tensions like the Israel-Iran conflict. They close by discussing the resilience of the bond market, noting that higher yields and sustained foreign investment suggest an enduring value proposition for fixed income allocations. Individual views and opinions expressed in the podcast, article, or other media included herein may not necessarily reflect the views and opinions of Blue Chip Partners, LLC. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only and is not intended to provide and should not be relied on for individualized financial, tax, legal or accounting advice. You should consult your own professional financial, tax, legal, accounting, or equivalent advisers prior to making any investment decision. All investments involve a degree of risk, including the risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Links: Daniel Dusina: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/our-team/daniel-dusina/ Dan Seder: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/our-team/daniel-seder/ Schedule an Intro Call: https://www.bluechippartners.com/schedule-a-call/ Disclosure Information: https://www.bluechippartners.com/disclosures/ Podcast: https://www.bluechippartners.com/blue-chip-now/ Blog: https://www.bluechippartners.com/blog/ In the News: https://www.bluechippartners.com/in-the-news/ Financial Services: Investment Management: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/investment-management/ Executive Compensation: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/executive-compensation/ Retirement Planning: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/retirement-planning/ Tax Planning: https://www.bluechippartners.com/financial-services/tax-planning/ Estate Planning: https://www.bluechipestateplanning.com Career Opportunities: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/career-opportunities/ Timestamps: 00:00:00 — Welcome & Episode Overview - Introduction to this quarter's market review: economy, stocks, and bonds. 00:01:12 — The Economic Outlook for 2025 - Why 2025 has been defined by information overload and lingering uncertainty. 00:02:39 — Job Switching No Longer Pays - New data reveals that wage incentives for job-hoppers have declined dramatically. 00:03:27 — Quits Rate & Corporate Caution - Employers and employees alike are "hunkering down" amid economic ambiguity. 00:04:41 — Tariff Overhang and Prolonged Uncertainty - How unresolved tariff policies are freezing confidence and outlooks. 00:05:55 — Debt-to-GDP: A Perception Game - U.S. debt isn't a mechanical risk—until perception makes it one. 00:08:32 — The Three Safety Factors for U.S. Debt - Why interest rates, GDP growth, and foreign demand are key to debt stability. 00:10:11 — Stock Market Volatility Post-Tariffs - Liberation Day triggered a wide sell-off—was it justified? 00:12:28 — Tech Recovery & Market Expectations - Are we in a bubble or just climbing back to fair value? 00:14:27 — S&P 500: Cap-Weighted vs. Equal-Weighted - An analysis suggesting the market may be unevenly priced, based on recent economic indicators and trends. 00:15:56— Middle East Conflict & Oil Prices - How geopolitical tensions in Iran/Israel affect oil—and possibly your portfolio. 00:17:42 — Oil Shocks & Historical S&P Performance - Surprising data: markets often recover or thrive after oil spikes. 00:18:33 — Bond Market Stability & Opportunity - Despite concerns about tariffs, higher yields and stable demand potential opportunities in bonds. 00:20:03 – Bond Market Resilience Post-Liberation Day 00:22:18 – Tariff Fallout Fails to Deter Foreign Demand