Broken Pie Chart

Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner this week to get into the post Kevin Warsh Fed Presser reaction. Plus, leading economic indicators (LEI) are turning bullish? Then, they talk about the options action in SpaceX including how high is the implied volatility. Odds and ends this week include discussion on MicroStrategy's preferred STRC has dropped below its par value. SpaceX implied volatility in its options Kevin Warsh FED press conference Kevin Warsh says no dot for you! LEI leading economic indicator MicroStrategy (Strategy) preferred issue #STRC Difference between a peg to par vs. trying to see it at par Word count in FED statement Warsh vs Powell 10 Year Treasury yields vs Nominal GDP growth rate YoY Oil prices continue to ease Analysts keep their earnings estimates strong for the forward 12 month period Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner to react to the market Friday selloff including many of the chip and memory stocks. What is driving this and has the oil trade decoupled from equities? Then they discuss SpaceX IPO pricing at $135, the strong jobs numbers that exceeded estimates including April being revised from negative to healthy positive number, and Michael Saylor sells some Bitcoin for Strategy. All this and more this week. SpaceX IPO price Saylor sells Bitcoin for Strategy Crypto out of favor judging by the ETF fund flows S&P 500 Index Friday selloff of -2.6% after continuous march higher Semis and memory stocks hit with many pulling back ~ -20% from all-time highs Oil was down but the market didn't care today More Oil supply coming online? Fed futures pricing in a rate hike by December Tough to time when to sell a highflyer Will investors hit the sell button thinking this is the turn? Greenshoe IPO provision Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner to get into the SpaceX S-1 including their revenues and earnings revealed. Plus, comparing the fever for SpaceX IPO to the dotcom era in the late nineties. Then, looking at Nvidia earnings and looking at its price to sales vs SpaceX. Later, what people thought the market would return over the last 10 years vs what it actually has returned. All this and more this week. Nvidia price to sales vs SpaceX price to sales based on reported initial IPO market cap Will SpaceX get into the S&P 500 Index and the Nasdaq 100 Index? Requirements for a stock to be included in the S&P 500 Index SpaceX S-1 filing review including revenue and earnings What is the lockup period for the SpaceX IPO? Comparing SpaceX S-1 to Google and Amazon's Comparing this IPO cycle to the late nineties Nvidia earnings What will the implied volatility be on SpaceX options once they are made available Public service announcement about investing in IPOs Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to discuss markets and the economy including Ryan Cohen's awkward CNBC interview with Andrew Ross Sorkin where he was pressed on the math behind the financing in GameStop's bid for EBAY. Plus, Micron again reaches an all-time high and still is trading at forward multiples below many other stocks. Later, is this year shaping up to be 1995 or something else? Finally, whether oil prices are reaching a pivot point looking at some technical analysis. Ryan Cohen CNBC interview with Andrew Ross Sorkin and Becky Quick GameStop trying to buy EBAY Does GameStop have the funding to do this purchase? Secondary offerings and dilution to shareholders Micron new all-time high Crude Oil WTI West Texas Intermediate Head and Shoulders Pattern Bearish technical patterns and reliability Comparing spaghetti chart of stock market annual paths 1995 vs 2026 stock chart Midterm election year stock market typical returns Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder to talk about the CPI release and how there isn't any evidence that tariffs are causing any issues with inflation. So, does this mean the Fed has a green light to cut rates? As the market broadens, you might be surprised what sectors are leading and hint, it's not tech. CPI Inflation report No inflation from tariffs Fed interest rate cuts Mag 7 passes the baton to energy, materials, and staples Nvidia earnings are coming up so what does the implied volatility say at this point? Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner this week to discuss the parabolic moves in silver and gold including the record amount of trading. Plus, was PPI a big deal or no problem? Later, looking at the forward valuations of Walmart vs Nvidia in a hypothetical game of which one would you rather hold? You could also flip a coin which would be as good as any analysis. Meanwhile, earnings estimates have ticked higher while the S&P 500 Index moved lower, illustrating a multiple contraction in the forward PE ratio. Silver and Gold go parabolic Record trading volumes in silver and gold Forward EPS estimates tick higher in the S&P 500 Index PPI Producer Price Index was lower in 2025 than 2024 so why the angst? Walmart vs Nvidia forward PE ratios Why is Walmart trading at a higher valuation than Nvidia? Is AI the reason Walmart is bid up on a valuation measure? Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about whether higher valuations are warranted based on rising profit margins. Then, they think about whether the upcoming Supreme Court ruling on tariffs matters for the market. Later, they discussed Google passing Apple for the #2 highest valued company in the S&P 500 Index, midterm election years performance vs other years, regression channels in the S&P 500 Index, payroll numbers, interest rates, and even copper prices. Midterm year performance vs other presidential cycle years Supreme Court Ruling on Tariffs and what it means for markets Copper prices are about to break out or break down? Fed interest rates saying no cuts until after Powell leaves? Semiconductor earnings estimates vs the S&P 500 Index as a whole Polymarket sees only a 25% chance tariffs are upheld Google (Alphabet) surpasses Apple to be world #2 behind Nvidia Three-Month payroll contraction on nonfarm payrolls Talking technical analysis with regression channels on the SPX Free cash flow margins tech vs the rest Valuation forward pe ration adjusted for net profit margins S&P 500 companies' real revenue per worker highest going back to 1986 S&P 500 quarter EPS growth estimates Y/Y % change Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about Jurrien Timmer's chart showing we aren't in a bubble because the rise in markets is due to earnings not multiple gains. Plus, U of Michigan consumer sentiment hits a new low despite markets near all-time highs. Later, is Japan's rise in interest rates a problem for stocks, bonds, or neither? Finally, looking at the returns of gold vs stocks plus surprising forward P/E ratio of Walmart vs Nvidia. Gold vs Stocks performance Jurrien Timmer's market return attributions comparing earnings vs valuation gains Bubble or not a bubble. Earnings multiple changes vs earnings changes Walmart forward P/E ratio University of Michigan consumer sentiment of economic conditions index Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com