Closing Market Report

The June 23, 2026, edition of the Closing Market Report focuses on dairy production, trade policy, agronomic profitability, energy markets, and regional weather outlooks. Host Todd Gleason opens the program with Naomi Blohm of Total Farm Marketing to analyze the dairy sector and international trade. Blohm notes that the latest milk production report indicates a bearish trend, with May production rising 2.3% year-over-year, driving Class III milk prices below $16 despite robust domestic demand. The discussion transitions to the upcoming mandatory USMCA evaluation on July 1, highlighting market uncertainty regarding the United States' position, contrasted against efforts by Canada and Mexico to strengthen bilateral maritime trade routes.On crop production and management, the program highlights a multi-year data review presented by University of Illinois Extension agricultural economist Gary Schnitkey. The 11-year study reveals that increasing nitrogen application rates above the Maximum Return To Nitrogen (MRTN) baseline or adding extra tillage passes occasionally boosts yields but consistently fails to improve overall net profitability due to elevated input costs. Additionally, Extension weed scientist Aaron Hager previews the university's upcoming annual Weed Science Field Day, detailing its self-guided tour format designed for farmers and commercial applicators.In the agricultural energy segment, Kansas State University Extension economist Dan O'Brien reports stable domestic ethanol production, operating at approximately 89.3% of plant capacity across 201 active facilities. Plant profit margins remain steady between 11 and 15 cents per gallon, with eastern corn belt ethanol plants currently paying the highest cash corn prices in the nation. Turning to regional crop conditions, O'Brien characterizes the 2026 Kansas wheat harvest as exceptionally poor, citing near-record-low harvested-to-planted acreage ratios caused by severe storm and derecho damage.00:42 Ag Markets with Naomi Blohm, Total Farm Marketing07:42 High N-Rates and More Tillage Do Not Pay10:54 USMCA Review Begins July 1 with an Uncertain Future14:44 Ag Energies with Dan O'Brien, Kansas State Extension19:58 Ag Weather with Don Day, Day Weather ★ Support this podcast ★

The June 19 Closing Market Report provides a historical overview of the legislative and military milestones that culminated in the abolition of slavery in the United States. The broadcast begins by outlining the Morrill Acts of 1862 and 1890, which established Land Grant Universities and Historically Black Colleges and Universities to expand equitable access to public education. It then details the 1863 Emancipation Proclamation, which strategically shifted the Civil War's primary objective toward ending slavery and authorized the enlistment of Black soldiers, a directive subsequently formalized by General Order 143 to create the U.S. Colored Troops. As the conflict concluded with the Confederate surrender at Appomattox, the Wade-Davis Bill established stringent Reconstruction protocols for readmitting the defeated states to the Union. The timeline concludes with the formal constitutional abolition of slavery through the 13th Amendment and the enforcement of emancipation in Texas via General Order No. 3 on June 19, 1865, the historic event now nationally commemorated as Juneteenth.00:43 The Morrill Acts & HBCUs05:37 The Emancipation Proclamation13:25 General Order 14317:14 Reconstruction and the Wade-Davis Bill19:02 Surrender at Appomattox20:29 The 13th Amendment21:04 June 19, 1865, General Order #3 ★ Support this podcast ★

Market Overview and Commodity TrendsThe June 17, 2026, broadcast of the Closing Market Report, hosted by Todd Gleason, provides a comprehensive update on agricultural markets, policy news, and global weather conditions. In the commodities segment, Greg Johnson of Total Grain Marketing details a recent market sell-off driven by favorable Midwest weather, expectations of higher planted acreage, and declining oil prices linked to a Middle East memorandum of understanding (MOU). This combination of factors has prompted investment funds to liquidate their long positions in corn and pare back on soybeans. Johnson advises farmers to adjust their pricing expectations, noting that a significant rally would require a major weather event later in the summer or a return of Chinese soybean purchases.Agricultural Policy and Global FinanceThe program also covers recent geopolitical and agricultural news, highlighting President Donald Trump’s cautious public remarks regarding the finalization of the Middle East MOU, despite White House officials confirming its digital signing. Domestically, the broadcast outlines a legislative push in the Senate to permanently lift summertime restrictions on E-15 ethanol and reports on a growing New World screwworm outbreak threatening livestock in Texas. On the financial front, the US Farm Credit System remains stable despite broader economic challenges, presenting a stark contrast to Brazil, where lower grain prices and high interest rates are driving a surge in farm bankruptcies and loan defaults.Global Weather ImpactsMeteorologist Drew Lerner from World Weather, Inc. concludes the report with a global agricultural weather outlook. In the United States, unusually cool temperatures and excessive moisture are slowing crop development across the Midwest and Northern Plains, though warmer weather is expected by July. In Europe, a severe heatwave and prolonged dry spell are heavily stressing winter crops, particularly in France. Looking toward Asia, a strengthening El Niño is forecast to bring significant dryness to Indonesia, Malaysia, and the Philippines later in the year, while simultaneously causing excessive, crop-damaging rainfall across the rice and sugarcane regions of southern China.01:18 Ag Markets with Greg Johnson, Total Grain Marketing09:12 President Trump Hedges on MOU Signing15:16 Ag Weather with Drew Lerner, World Weather, Inc. ★ Support this podcast ★

The June 15, 2026, edition of the Closing Market Report covers recent agricultural commodity market trends, global supply estimates, and international weather forecasts. Curt Kimmel of AgMarket.net notes that agricultural markets are currently stabilizing, with the recent Iran war settlement expected to reduce transportation and energy costs, thereby boosting investor confidence and global grain demand. Agricultural economist Ben Brown discusses the bearish impact of the latest World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report, which revealed a 14 million metric ton increase in global corn production, largely driven by India. Brown also highlights strong domestic soybean crush demand and notes that global wheat production increases are currently overshadowing tightening U.S. supplies. Furthermore, Brown emphasizes the strong correlation between energy and grain prices while warning of potential agricultural trade disruptions if the USMCA agreement is not extended. Finally, Mark Russo of EverStream Analytics forecasts another round of severe storms and heavy rainfall for the U.S. Corn Belt before shifting to a drier pattern, while simultaneously warning of a prolonged heat wave and declining soil moisture threatening crops in Western Europe, particularly in France.- Ag Markets with Curt Kimmel, AgMarket.net- Commodity Markets Discussion with Ben Brown- Ag Weather with Mark Russo, EverStream.ai ★ Support this podcast ★

The May 28, 2026, broadcast of the Closing Market Report features discussions on commodity markets, agricultural news, and weather forecasts. Curt Kimmel reports that corn and soybean markets experienced volatility but ultimately rebounded, driven by optimism over a potential peace agreement and hopes for Chinese goodwill purchases. In policy and trade news, U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer confirmed the administration's commitment to maintaining tariffs, while the National Corn Growers Association advocated for clear guidelines on the 45Z Clean Fuel Production Credit. Other significant developments include Brazil surpassing Argentina as the top exporter of soybean meal and John Deere's $99 million settlement over its right-to-repair policies. Finally, meteorologist Mike Tannura warns of historically dry conditions threatening spring wheat in the northern plains and cautions that an unusually dry forecast for early June could pose significant yield risks across the Corn Belt but that this isn't necessarily the case historically.- Ag Markets with Curt Kimmel, AgMarket.net- University of Illinois Row Crop Events in June- Jaimeson Greer on USMCA Trade Negotiations- Ag Weather with Mike Tannura, Tstorm.net ★ Support this podcast ★

The May 26, 2026, Closing Market Report indicates a general decline in commodity futures, driven by easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and favorable Midwest weather forecasts. Market analyst Naomi Blohm notes that while grain uptrends are holding, they are currently testing critical support levels amid slowing export sales and persistent South American competition. Conversely, fertilizer prices remain highly elevated due to prolonged supply chain and production disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. Regarding regional crops, Dan O'Brien reports spotty moisture for Kansas wheat, projecting high abandonment rates of up to 25%, while also highlighting a growing global policy shift toward domestic biofuel production. Finally, meteorologist Don Day forecasts near-term hot and dry conditions for central Canada and the northern US Corn Belt, with contrasting precipitation in the Pacific Northwest and Gulf Coast, before weather patterns are expected to normalize in June.- Ag Markets with Naomi Blohm, TotalFarmMarketing.com- CEO of the Fertilizer Institute Corey Rosenbusch- Ag Energies and Kansas Wheat Abandonment with Dan O'Brien, Kansas State Extension- Ag Weather with Don Day, DayWeather.com ★ Support this podcast ★

The May 22, 2026, agricultural market report details significant macroeconomic pressures and favorable summer weather projections. Analyst Mike Zuzolo assesses that commodity markets must ration demand for wheat and crude oil due to the ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which is eliminating 10 million barrels of oil per day and may permanently raise energy and agricultural production costs. Zuzolo critically notes that rising bond yields point toward impending inflation and Federal Reserve rate hikes. Conversely, meteorologist Eric Snodgrass provides a largely optimistic weather outlook, forecasting a warm, drier June that historically benefits corn and soybean yields. Snodgrass concludes that current elevated ocean temperatures in the Pacific and Atlantic significantly diminish the risk of severe, long-duration summer drought or heatwaves in the U.S. Midwest.- Ag Markets with Mike Zuzolo, GlobalCommResearch.com- Ag Weather with Eric Snodgrass, NutrienAgSolutions.com ★ Support this podcast ★