Coinbase Markets Podcast

The global macro landscape is shifting fast, and this week we dive into how it’s influencing bitcoin’s price. We’ll explore potential for a rotation between bitcoin and gold as precious metals come back into focus. Then, we look at the dramatic appreciation of the Japanese Yen and what speculation about US and Japanese authorities strengthening the currency means for crypto. We’ll also cover the potential impact of new tariffs in South Korea and Canada and how that’s playing into hedging strategies. Finally, with the Fed’s latest decision looming, we unpack the broader struggle for capital: in a world where the DXY is under pressure and the European fiscal outlook remains weak, what is the ultimate alternative asset? Tune in for a deep dive into the forces driving crypto markets right now. Speakers:David Duong, CFA - Global Head of Investment Research (X: DavidDuong)Colin Basco - Research Associate (X: colin_basco) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

We cover a lot of ground in this episode including:the effect of geopolitical developments on cryptothe persistence of the BTC inflation narrativeMSCI’s deferred DAT decisionviral prediction marketsOn the macro side, the focus is on the US CPI print for December and whether this will impact the Fed’s decision making in 2026. Together, this helps tell us whether this crypto bounce is the beginning of a new leg higher or just an early‑year reset in positioning.Speakers:David Duong, CFA - Global Head of Investment Research (X: DavidDuong)Colin Basco - Research Associate (X: colin_basco) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

In this year-end episode, our Coinbase Research team wraps up 2025 by grading their crypto market predictions from the previous year and discussing key themes for 2026. The hosts score their prior year outlook on macro trends, tokenization, and the resurgence of DeFi/DEX volumes. Find out which calls earned high marks and where projections were “overly optimistic.” They then look ahead and share their optimism for a recovery in the first half, supported by the ongoing rate cutting cycle; the rise of prediction markets; the continued explosion in crypto derivatives; the endgame for application-specific chains; and the path for stablecoin growth in the year ahead.Speakers:David Duong, CFA - Global Head of Investment Research (X: DavidDuong)Colin Basco - Research Associate (X: colin_basco) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

In this episode, Coinbase Research dissects the post-Thanksgiving crypto landscape, marked by low liquidity and high volatility. We debate a “trend variant” approach to dollar cost averaging (DCA), explore the implications of the Fed ending quantitative tightening, and the market implications of a highly anticipated December Fed rate cut—stressing that the commentary’s tone will matter more than most meetings. The sell off from concerns over a Bank of Japan hike (leading to an unwind of JPY carry trades) seems to be over for now. We also examine the unsettling trend of AI-driven white-collar layoffs and its effect on the ‘K-shaped economy’. Finally, we dive into bitcoin’s key onchain and technical signals, from long-term holder distribution and bearish options positioning to the critical battle to reclaim the 50-day moving average and the $98K-100K support zone.Speakers:David Duong, CFA - Global Head of Investment Research (X: Dav1dDuong)Colin Basco - Research Associate (X: colin_basco) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

This episode unpacks a fragile week in crypto markets, discussing why reactive positioning can beat buying dips in downtrends, and what November’s liquidity signals could mean for a potential year‑end turn. We map the landscape of softening demand—from corporate treasuries to ETF outflows—alongside key technical zones that now define the range, and what renewed options hedging is signaling about downside risk and rebound potential. We also talk about how shifting FOMC odds are feeding risk sentiment, and why the much‑debated AI trade—between massive capex and slower monetization—matters for crypto markets and sector rotation.Speakers:David Duong, CFA - Global Head of Investment ResearchGeorg Toropov - Senior CES Sales TraderColin Basco - Research Associate Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.