Crypto Voices

Matthew sits down with James Pierog, founder of Glimpse, to discuss the launch of a new Bitcoin-native prediction market focused on forecasting Bitcoin prices and financial markets. James explains how prediction markets evolved from academic scoring-rule research into modern platforms and why he believes current prediction markets often prioritize entertainment over economically meaningful forecasting. The conversation explores the mechanics behind Glimpse’s design, including its use of Bitcoin-denominated contracts, liquidity-sensitive market makers, and probability distributions rather than simple yes/no outcomes.James argues that prediction markets can become a powerful tool for discovering future prices of Bitcoin, gold, commodities, and financial assets, while helping users think in Bitcoin terms rather than fiat currencies. The discussion examines the challenges of decentralization, market resolution, liquidity, and regulation, comparing Glimpse’s approach to platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi. Matthew and James also explore how prediction markets could interact with Bitcoin’s power law thesis, potentially providing real-time insight into how traders collectively view Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory.The episode dives into market incentives, information aggregation, and whether prediction markets can serve as a form of financial forecasting infrastructure rather than simply speculation. James outlines Glimpse’s roadmap, including future markets for gold, commodities, and Bitcoin-denominated asset pricing, as well as API access for algorithmic traders and quantitative researchers. The conversation concludes with a broader discussion about the role prediction markets may play in a future economy increasingly measured and settled in Bitcoin.Follow James Pierog on X: @BillyHongBeatsFollow James Pierog on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/james-pierog/Follow Glimpse on X: @GlimpseMarketsGlimpse Website: https://www.glimpse.trading/Crypto Voices: Episode 200Chapters:00:00 - Introduction to James Pierog and Glimpse01:05 - James’ background in math, computer science, and Bitcoin02:35 - Why Glimpse focuses on Bitcoin prediction markets04:46 - Early Bitcoin prediction market ideas and Paul Sztorc06:50 - Scoring rules, LMSR, and prediction market design10:01 - Decentralization challenges for prediction markets13:03 - How Glimpse resolves markets using financial data16:16 - Bitcoin price markets and future roadmap19:06 - How non-Bitcoin assets like gold and commodities could resolve20:37 - The benefits of forecasting prices with prediction markets23:36 - Why pricing assets in Bitcoin matters26:01 - How Glimpse’s Bitcoin price forecast works28:07 - Retail vs. institutional users29:26 - Prediction markets, politics, and regulation32:06 - Sports betting, entertainment markets, and “bread not circuses”35:22 - How Glimpse contracts resolve37:37 - Expanding from hourly to daily, weekly, and long-term markets38:44 - Bitcoin power law models and market forecasts42:31 - Timeline for APIs and additional markets45:44 - How payouts work on Glimpse46:43 - Incentivizing disagreement and prediction market odds49:16 - Why Glimpse subsidizes each hourly market51:27 - Closing thoughts and where to find Glimpse53:04 - Final remarksHost(s): Matthew MezinskisMusic: New Friend Music newfriendmusic.com/Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay are appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/Show support appreciated: donations.cryptovoices.comPodcast & videosBitcoin, privacy, crypto, economics & libertyThanks for watching!

In this episode of Crypto Voices, Alec Harris breaks down his appearance in The Atlantic's article How to Disappear, diving deep into the mechanics and mindset behind extreme privacy. He explains how havenX operates at the intersection of digital and physical security, especially for high-risk individuals, crypto holders, and public figures. From masking home addresses to avoiding SIM swaps, the episode is filled with real-world examples and cautionary tales, including corporate attacks and OSINT-driven threats. It’s a must-watch for anyone interested in operational security, privacy-enhancing technologies, and staying safe in a post-KYC world.Atlantic Article: https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2025/05/extreme-personal-data-privacy-protection/682867/Crypto Voices: Episode 186Show Sponsor: Debifi - https://debifi.com/havenX: https://thehavenx.com Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay are appreciated: https://donate.basemoney.world/i/TsDZFvvW7EApKJJGuhb6JSShow support appreciated: donations.cryptovoices.comChapters:00:00:09 - The Challenge of Digital Privacy00:02:41 - Exploring Extreme Privacy Lifestyles00:06:55 - Understanding Privacy in Journalism00:11:53 - Understanding Digital Privacy Challenges00:17:16 - Privacy Challenges in Europe vs. US00:23:02 - Reducing Digital Vulnerability00:25:40 - Maintaining Privacy in Daily Life00:27:16 - Cost vs. Time in Privacy Solutions00:29:34 - Bitcoin Security and Privacy Strategies00:33:51 - Importance of Multi-Sig Security00:40:34 - Impact of Public Scrutiny on Individuals00:43:27 - Importance of Privacy Measures00:46:52 - Protecting Yourself from SIM Swapping Hosts: Matthew Mezinskis & Alec HarrisMusic: New Friend Music newfriendmusic.com/Podcast & videosBitcoin, privacy, crypto, economics & libertyThanks for watching!

In this episode of Crypto Voices, Matthew and Alec are joined by Yaël Ossowski and Eglė Markevičiūtė of the Consumer Choice Center for an in-depth discussion on the future of transatlantic cooperation in a rapidly shifting geopolitical and economic environment. They explore the rising tensions between the U.S. and EU over tariffs, tech regulation, defense spending, and trade imbalances, while warning against the consequences of protectionism and short-term political thinking.The panel breaks down key themes from the Consumer Choice Center’s recent policy paper, including energy partnerships, digital sovereignty, mineral sourcing, and the growing threat of China’s global influence. The conversation also delves into the evolving nature of free speech, the rise of nationalist parties in Europe, and the economic consequences of regulatory unpredictability. Finally, the group discusses the broader philosophical and generational implications of policy decisions being made today—from trade to health freedom to global security.Crypto Voices: Episode 183Show Sponsor: Debifi - https://debifi.com/Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay are appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/Show support appreciated: donations.cryptovoices.comAlec Harris's havenX: https://thehavenx.com/Chapters:00:00:09 - Geopolitical Challenges and Consumer Policies00:05:19 - Transatlantic Cooperation in Challenging Times00:08:06 - Impact of Populism on Trade Policies00:10:55 - EU-US Trade Relations and Cooperation00:16:48 - US-China Tech Influence and Regulation00:23:55 - EU-US Tech Trade Dynamics00:27:29 - Regulating Technology Companies and Free Speech00:29:26 - Understanding Foreign Policy and Trade00:33:59 - EU's Response to US Tariffs00:37:38 - Concerns Over U.S. Telecom Security00:41:39 - Understanding Trade Deficits and Global Economics00:59:49 - Impact of Tax Day on Economic Planning01:03:35 - Personal Freedom and Health Choices01:07:59 - Reflections on Freedom and InnovationHosts: Matthew Mezinskis, & Alec HarrisMusic: New Friend Music newfriendmusic.com/Podcast & videosBitcoin, privacy, crypto, economics & libertyThanks for watching!#unitedstates #trump #tariffs

Crypto Voices: Episode 181Show Sponsors: Trezor - https://trezor.io/Debifi - https://debifi.com/Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay are appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/Show support appreciated: donations.cryptovoices.comAlec Harris's havenX: https://thehavenx.com/In this episode, Matthew and Alec are joined by Dennis Duckworth from Kindo AI to discuss the future of AI, security, and its impact on society. They dive into how large language models (LLMs) are reshaping corporate workflows, the critical role of AI in cybersecurity, and why privacy concerns and data security must be top priorities. Dennis shares insights on AI hallucinations, the risks of centralized models, and the rise of open-source alternatives like DeepSeek. The conversation also explores the geopolitical implications of AI, government influence on model training, and where AI will lead us in the future. This is a must-watch for anyone interested in AI’s long-term impact on business, security, and global power structures.Kindo AI: https://www.kindo.ai/Contents:00:00:09 - The Transformative Power of AI Across Organizations00:03:22 - The Transformative Impact of Large Language Models00:07:56 - Ensuring AI Safety: Human Oversight and Avoiding Hallucinations00:10:37 - The Hallucination Phenomenon in AI Models00:14:11 - Combining Specialized AI Models for Optimal Performance00:19:20 - How AI Models Learn and Evolve00:22:50 - AI Knows More Than You Think00:26:08 - Concerns About AI Data Breaches and Privacy00:29:17 - The Dangers of AI Girlfriend Apps and Corporate Data Breaches00:31:50 - The Difference Between Data Access and Prompt Retention00:34:12 - Hosting AI Models: Corporate Clients' Preferences00:36:51 - The Rise of Open-Source AI: Lessons from DeepSeek00:40:18 - The Rise of Open-Source and Closed-Source AI Models00:43:56 - The Bias in AI Models and its Societal Impact00:51:47 - AI as an Assistive Tool for HumansHosts: Matthew Mezinskis, & Alec HarrisMusic: New Friend Music newfriendmusic.com/Podcast & videosBitcoin, privacy, crypto, economics & libertyThanks for watching!

Crypto Voices: Episode 179Show Sponsors: Trezor - https://trezor.io/Debifi - https://debifi.com/Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay are appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/Show support appreciated: donations.cryptovoices.comAlec Harris's havenX: https://thehavenx.com/In this episode, Matthew and Alec are joined by Omid Malekan to discuss the latest market movements, Bitcoin’s resilience, and the evolving role of nation-states in Bitcoin adoption. They dive into Bitcoin's price stability amid macroeconomic uncertainty, the growing rumors of sovereign Bitcoin reserves, and whether the U.S. should hold Bitcoin as a strategic asset. The discussion also covers the risks of government involvement, the rise of stablecoins, and why CBDCs face major hurdles in the U.S. and Europe. Finally, they touch on the geopolitical game theory of Bitcoin, its potential role in a multipolar world, and what that means for global finance.Follow Mike on X: @malekanomsContents:00:00:09 - Crypto Resilience in Macro Turmoil00:03:59 - The Game Theory of Nation States and Bitcoin00:07:09 - The Potential Impact of Government Bitcoin Reserves00:12:29 - Bitcoin and Government Involvement: Risks and Opportunities00:15:31 - Bitcoin's Challenges for El Salvador's Adoption00:18:44 - Navigating El Salvador's Bitcoin Adoption and Tokenization Debates00:21:19 - The Flaws of Traditional Finance and the Promise of Decentralized Finance00:25:59 - The Rise and Challenges of Tether in the Crypto Landscape00:30:10 - The Rise of Private Stablecoins and CBDC Concerns00:33:31 - Navigating the CBDC Landscape: Challenges and Contradictions00:38:44 - The Need for a Stable, Trusted Global Reserve Currency00:41:56 - Cautious Approach to CBDC Adoption in the Nordics00:44:15 - Crypto as a Hedge Against Geopolitical Shifts00:47:25 - Bitcoin as an Insurance Product, Not Daily Currency00:51:48 - Foundry's Mining Dominance and Proof-of-Work Discussion00:53:46 - Trump's Crypto Grifting SchemesHosts: Matthew Mezinskis, & Alec HarrisMusic: New Friend Music newfriendmusic.com/Podcast & videosBitcoin, privacy, crypto, economics & libertyThanks for watching!

Crypto Voices: Episode 177 Show Sponsors: Trezor - https://trezor.io/ Debifi - https://debifi.com/ Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay are appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/ Show support appreciated: donations.cryptovoices.com Alec Harris's havenX: https://thehavenx.com/ In our latest episode, we delve into a thought-provoking discussion on the complex issue of authoritarianism and the alarming rise of misinformation. Our guest speaker, Ryan McBeth, a defense expert and military veteran shares his insights on why some people may be reluctant to view Vladimir Putin as a dictator despite the authoritarian nature of his rule in Russia.The episode also explores the dangers of consuming information in ideological silos, which can lead to the acceptance of misleading or exaggerated claims, as exemplified by the Heritage Foundation's "Project 2025" document. The episode serves as a caution against the rapid spread of misinformation, even when it aligns with one's worldview, and emphasizes the importance of critical thinking and fact-checking. Follow Ryan on X: @RyanMcbeth Links for more: https://www.ryanmcbeth.com/ Contents 00:00:00 - Debunking Perceptions of Putin as a Democratic Leader00:04:49 - Balancing Work, Family, and Geopolitics00:08:01 - The Dangers of Uncritical Acceptance of Misinformation00:11:49 - Building Narratives through Sentinel Accounts00:14:07 - Debunking Deceptive Narratives: The Case of Alleged Ukrainian Women Draftees00:20:02 - Concerns About Political Content on Social Media00:25:07 - Reframing Weapons as Effectors to Deny Access00:27:52 - Navigating the Disinformation Landscape00:30:10 - Navigating Disinformation: Disaster Response and Tropes00:32:50 - Navigating Disaster Response and Misinformation00:36:48 - Avoiding Emotional Manipulation in Social Media00:38:59 - Misinformation from Distracted Consumption00:42:47 - Putin's Revenge: How Clinton's Criticism Fueled Russia's Interference00:46:53 - Debunking Misinformation and Questioning Narratives00:52:25 - The Rise and Fall of Drone Warfare in Ukraine00:56:13 - Marine Corps Innovation and Experimentation00:59:06 - North Korean Defectors and Indoctrination Hosts: Matthew Mezinskis, & Alec Harris Music: New Friend Music newfriendmusic.com/ Podcast & videos Bitcoin, privacy, crypto, economics & liberty Thanks for watching!

Crypto Voices: Episode 175Show Sponsors: Trezor - https://trezor.io/Debifi - https://debifi.com/ Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay are appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/ Show support appreciated: donations.cryptovoices.com Alec Harris's havenX: https://thehavenx.com/ In this episode, Matthew and Alec are joined again by Tim Starr, a libertarian historian and philosopher, to discuss the current state of American media and politics. The conversation highlights the rise of “useful idiots,” figures like Jill Stein and Dave Rubin, who appear influenced by foreign powers like Russia, despite promoting non-interventionist views. Starr urges skepticism of financially incentivized pundits to offer commentary on complex geopolitical issues they lack expertise in, and emphasizes the importance of critical thinking in media consumption.They discuss the need for a nuanced understanding of international affairs, rejecting simplistic narratives that blame the U.S. for all global events. They explore the complexities of historical and contemporary geopolitics, particularly the roles of other nations, and critique the uneven access to media platforms between the West and authoritarian countries.The conversation touches on issues like nuclear proliferation, the role of the U.S. in Middle Eastern affairs, and the ongoing debate about the Iraq War and its aftermath. The episode emphasizes the importance of critically evaluating information, staying open to evidence that challenges preconceived notions, and avoiding the temptation to oversimplify complex global dynamics. Follow Tim Starr on X: @timstarr2001 Read Tim Starr's publications: https://en.liberpedia.org/Murray_N._Rothbard#Rothbard_and_Soviet_foreign_policy Links for more: MI5 & MI6 view on Iraq War: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UyLqCkfpHPo The Pre-History of American Holocaust Denial: https://muse.jhu.edu/article/804147 Dangerous Nation: https://www.amazon.com/Dangerous-Nation-Americas-Earliest-Twentieth/dp/0375724915 At the Abyss: https://www.amazon.com/At-Abyss-Insiders-History-Cold/dp/0891418210 https://x.com/DarthPutinKGB/status/1544765374868213760 My thread on delusions of reactionary Rothbardians: https://x.com/1basemoney/status/1749444038611071345 Contents 00:00:00 - Questioning Motives of Media Influencers00:05:39 - The Legacy of Colonial Powers in the Middle East00:28:09 - The Geopolitics of Oil and the Ottoman Empire00:35:59 - The Soviet Influence in the Middle East00:43:42 - The U.S. Role in the Middle East and Afghanistan00:48:53 - Afghanistan's Tumultuous History: From Soviet Invasion to Taliban Takeover00:57:56 - The Complicated Connections Between 9/11, Iraq, and Nuclear Proliferation01:05:31 - Assessing the Outcomes of Regime Change in the Middle East01:10:50 - The Industry of Lies: Exaggerating America's Faults01:14:53 - Iran's Role in Iraq Conflict and Proxy Wars in the Middle East01:21:37 - Militaristic Japan's Tactics and the Gaza Conflict01:28:29 - Israel's Military Prowess and Tactics Against Hezbollah01:32:22 - Planned Operation and Lack of New Intelligence Capabilities01:40:44 - The Nazi Roots of Arab Regimes and Israel's Occupation01:45:27 - Confronting Revisionist History and Anti-Semitism01:50:43 - The Complexities of the Spanish Civil War01:54:51 - Libertarians and Pro-Putin Sympathies02:12:03 - Navigating Nuclear Proliferation and Global Conflicts02:26:40 - Military Technological Advancement Through Competition02:31:30 - The Complexities of International Relations and Historical Perspective Hosts: Matthew Mezinskis, & Alec Harris Music: New Friend Music newfriendmusic.com/ Podcast & videos Bitcoin, privacy, crypto, economics & liberty Thanks for watching!

Crypto Voices: Episode 173 Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay are appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/ Show support appreciated: donations.cryptovoices.com Alec Harris's havenX: https://thehavenx.com/ In this episode, Matthew and Alec are joined by special guest, Michael Adams, a former deputy editor at Forbes Advisor. Michael shares his insights on the current state of the crypto market and we also explore the challenges of mainstream adoption, the financialization of crypto, and the complex philosophical debates around the revolutionary potential of Bitcoin. Contents 00:00:00 - Crypto's Financialization and Traditionalists' Perspectives 00:05:07 - From Marketing to Crypto Journalism: My Unexpected Path 00:08:06 - Skepticism and Misunderstanding in Crypto Adoption 00:12:08 - The Limits of Cryptocurrency's Revolutionary Potential 00:18:25 - Crypto vs Government Control: Challenges and Concerns 00:22:25 - The Role of Privacy Coins in Crypto Adoption 00:26:04 - Pessimistic Outlook on Cryptocurrency's Future 00:28:18 - Navigating the Decentralized Future: Bitcoin's Relationship with Nation-States 00:30:49 - The Persistence of Cash in a Digital World 00:34:27 - The Enigma of Satoshi Nakamoto's Identity 00:39:32 - The Enigma of Satoshi Nakamoto 00:44:31 - Adapting to the AI Landscape 00:48:37 - The Delicate Balance of Technology and Humanity 00:53:27 - Facing the Challenges of the Future 00:57:34 - Reflections on Fascism and the US System Hosts: Matthew Mezinskis, Michel, Alec Harris Music: New Friend Music newfriendmusic.com/ Podcast & videos Bitcoin, privacy, crypto, economics & liberty Thanks for watching!