With the War Upset Global Economic Momentum?

About this episode

The episode discusses the impact of geopolitical events on global economic momentum and investment strategies amidst market volatility.

Markets fell after the Iran attack, with the S&P down about 2% as investors rotated to cash amid geopolitical risk, stretched AI-related valuations, private credit concerns, and elevated earnings expectations. Sectors diverged: energy held up while materials, staples, healthcare and industrials led losses. Short-term volatility and oil sensitivity are elevated, but broad macro momentum, accommodative policy, and supply potential make a severe global slowdown unlikely unless the conflict escalates dramatically. Conclusion: It is premature to overhaul a 6–12 month investment strategy. Stay cautious on U.S. equity valuations and bonds over the next year, favor geographic diversification including international and emerging markets, monitor oil and inflation, and separate short-term noise from fundamentals. For a copy of this week's Doll's Deliberations click on the following link March 9 or go to www.crossmarkglobal.com for additional insight and investment solutions.

Topics covered

• global economic momentum
• geopolitical risk
• investment strategy
• U.S. equity valuations
• oil and inflation

Keywords

• Iran attack
• S&P 500
• cash rotation
• AI valuations
• private credit
• earnings expectations
• energy sector
• market losses
• macroeconomic momentum

Mentioned in this episode

Places: Iran, U.S.

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