Euro Matters – the European Central Bank Podcast

Life is getting more expensive – but what can we actually do when our wallets feel the squeeze? In our latest What the Euro?! episode, Emilie Bellet – founder of financial empowerment community Vestpod and host of the Wallet podcast – talks to Catherine about money stress, everyday overspending and the habits that really make a difference. From “money dates” to smarter saving, get practical tips to feel more in control – even when things are getting more expensive. This episode’s content is not financial advice. The views expressed are those of the speakers and not necessarily those of the European Central Bank.

When it comes to the risks to financial stability, things seem to have settled down a bit. But with trade tensions, an unpredictable US economic policy, geopolitical issues, a potential AI bubble and the rise of stablecoins, there is plenty to keep an eye on. Has the global environment really become less uncertain? And how do all these factors impact financial stability? To explore these questions and more, our host Paul Gordon speaks with financial stability expert John Fell. The views expressed are those of the speakers and not necessarily those of the European Central Bank. Recorded on 24 November 2025 and published on 27 November 2025. In this episode: 01:25 How stable is the financial system? The EU and the United States reached a trade agreement, and the economic impact of trade uncertainty has been milder than expected. But the full effects of the policy changes are yet to be seen. So, what does this mean for financial stability? 04:14 Is there an AI bubble? The term “AI bubble” is on everyone’s lips right now . But bubbles are hard to identify and even harder to differentiate from legitimate growth. So, are valuations stretched? What about market concentration and circular funding in the AI industry? And how exactly are companies funding investment in AI? 06:15 If there is a bubble, what could cause it to burst? There is significant leverage behind AI investments. Returns will largely depend on how widely AI is adopted. Could AI become a general-purpose technology, like the railways did? 08:15 What about the rise of private credit? How do private credit markets differ from equity financing? Why are risks to euro area financial stability increasing as private markets expand? And how does all this relate to systemic risk in the banking sector and the build-up of AI infrastructure? 11:23 Are stablecoins really stable? Despite what the name suggests, stablecoins carry liquidity run risks that could affect financial stability. With rapid growth and increasing links to traditional finance, what risks does this innovation create? 15:11 What’s the situation for government financing? Governments have made progress in reducing debt levels since the pandemic. But in some euro area countries, debt remains too high and pressures to increase spending – for instance on defence – are rising. While this poses one of the biggest risks to financial stability, it could also be an opportunity for long-term growth if properly managed. 18:07 What about banks? Given the potential AI bubble, questions around the sustainability of government budgets and the rise in stablecoins, where does this leave euro area banks? Profitability is strong and non-performing loan ratios are historically low. So, how is the banking sector doing overall? 20:13 Our guest’s hot tip John Fell shares his hot tip with listeners. Financial Stability Review at a glance https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/financial-stability-publications/fsr/html/index.en.html Financial Stability Review, November 2025 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/financial-stability-publications/fsr/html/ecb.fsr202511~263b5810d4.en.html Chip War, Chris Miller https://www.amazon.de/-/en/Chip-War-Worlds-Critical-Technology/dp/1982172002

Today our Governing Council decided on monetary policy. Listen to President Christine Lagarde present today’s decisions. The statement also covers: • how the economy is performing • how we expect prices to develop • the risks to the economic outlook • the dynamics behind financial and monetary conditions Published and recorded during our press conference on 30 October 2025. Our monetary policy statement at a glance, 30 October 2025 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/press_conference/visual-mps/2025/html/mopo_statement_explained_october.en.html Christine Lagarde, Luis de Guindos: Monetary policy statement, 30 October 2025 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/press_conference/monetary-policy-statement/2025/html/ecb.is251030~4f74dde15e.en.html Monetary policy decisions, 30 October 2025 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2025/html/ecb.mp251030~cf0540b5c0.en.html Combined monetary policy decisions and statement, 30 October 2025 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/press_conference/monetary-policy-statement/shared/pdf/ecb.ds251030~25d99d5b1c.en.pdf European Central Bank https://www.ecb.europa.eu/home/html/index.en.html

Banks are the backbone of our economy. In a rapidly changing environment, they need to adapt and stay competitive to keep providing funding to people and businesses. But so does ECB Banking Supervision. What are we doing to become more efficient, effective and risk-focused? And how are we simplifying supervision while safeguarding resilience? Our host Stefania Secola speaks to Supervisory Board member Sharon Donnery to find out. The views expressed are those of the speakers and not necessarily those of the European Central Bank. Published on 1 October 2025 and recorded on 24 September 2025. In this episode: 01:10 How are Europe’s banks doing? What is going well? What about the challenges banks face, like those coming from geopolitical tensions, digitalisation and the climate crisis? And are we seeing signs of deterioration in banks’ asset quality? 04:12 Are the current rules too complex? Are Europe’s banks over-regulated? Why does a complex business like banking need sufficiently developed rules? And is there room to make things simpler for both supervisors and banks? 05:34 Does simplification mean deregulation? How do they differ from one another? And how will we put guardrails in place to safeguard the resilience we have worked so hard to build in the banking sector? 08:33 How are we simplifying how we supervise banks? What concrete steps have we taken? How will these change our regular health check for banks and the way we conduct stress tests? 11:22 Who is involved in simplifying supervision? How do we make sure that the right people are involved? And how are banks, banking federations, academics and others involved in the work that’s being done? 13:04 What does simplification mean for banks, supervisors and customers? More efficiency, shorter timelines and better use of limited resources? And how can banking union give customers more options when it comes to products and services? 15:53 What about simplifying regulation? Beyond how we supervise banks, what steps are being taken to simplify the rules? What is being done at the European level, and how is our work on supervision feeding into that? 18:22 Our guest’s hot tip Sharon shares her hot tip with our listeners. Further reading: As simple as possible, but not simpler https://www.bankingsupervision.europa... Sharon’s hot tip: Making European supervision more efficient, effective and risk-focused https://www.bankingsupervision.europa... ECB Instagram / europeancentralbank

Our monetary policy statement at a glance, 24 July 2025 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/press_conference/visual-mps/2025/html/mopo_statement_explained_july.en.html Christine Lagarde, Luis de Guindos: Monetary policy statement, 24 July 2025 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/press_conference/monetary-policy-statement/2025/html/ecb.is250724~a66e730494.en.html Monetary policy decisions, 24 July 2025 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2025/html/ecb.mp250724~50bc70e13f.en.html Combined monetary policy decisions and statement, 24 July 2025 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/press_conference/monetary-policy-statement/shared/pdf/ecb.ds250724~8cbca58e07.en.pdf?df0653cc32352ba804c7d1262686b588 European Central Bank https://www.ecb.europa.eu/home/html/index.en.html Published and recorded during our press conference on 24 July 2025 #MonetaryPolicy #EuropeanCentralBank #ChristineLagarde #Finance #FinancialConditions #Inflation #EconomicActivity #EconomicOutlook #PressConference #Banking #CentralBanking #Podcast #Economics #EU #Europe #ECB

Tariffs and geopolitical conflicts have created uncertainty around the world. But how does the new trade environment affect inflation and the economy? How can central banks adapt? And what is the potential impact on the dominance of the US dollar ? In the third episode of our special Sintra series of the ECB Podcast, our host Paul Gordon talks to London School of Economics Professor Silvana Tenreyro. The views expressed are those of the speakers and not necessarily those of the European Central Bank. Published on 4 July 2025 and recorded on 1 July 2025. In this episode: 01:30 How is the world economy doing? What developments are having an impact on our economy today? And what uncertainties are arising from tariffs, trade fragmentation and armed conflicts in different parts of the world? 03:30 Tariffs, trade fragmentation and the economy How can trade tariffs and fragmentation affect economic growth and inflation in the euro area and beyond? 06:25 How are prices changing? How are prices changing in different countries? Will tariffs cause prices in the United States to rise, and those in Asia and Europe to fall? And why? 07:55 Lessons for central banks Given the extremely high level of uncertainty, what lessons from past shocks can central banks apply in the future? Why do we need clearly defined frameworks? And what role do governments play? 09:55 How can governments prepare for potential shocks? Investing in technologies that are difficult to substitute, diversifying energy sources and creating buffers for critical inputs – why it’s crucial that governments have a strategy to withstand various shocks. 12:05 What is a dominant currency? When is a currency considered internationally “dominant”? And what dominant currencies have there been in the past? 13:40 Dollar dominance and monetary policy transmission Does dollar dominance in international trade transactions reduce the effectiveness of monetary policy? 17:30 The future of dollar dominance How will the dominance of the US dollar develop in the future? Is its role as a primary reserve currency at risk due to the Trump Administration’s policies? 19:10 What keeps you up at night? What happens to our economy if there is a sudden shortage of a certain input? What impact will AI have if it remains largely unregulated? And what do stablecoins and digital currencies mean for our economy? 21:00 Our guest’s hot tip Silvana shares her hot tip with our listeners. Further readings: Michael McLeay and Silvana Tenreyro: Dollar dominance and the transmission of monetary policy https://personal.lse.ac.uk/tenreyro/dominant_currency.pdf Sintra Series episode 1/4: Price stability in times of change https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/tvservices/podcast/html/ecb.pod250702_episode110.en.html Sintra Series episode 2/4: Adapting to change: Ensuring price stability in a new geopolitical era https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/tvservices/podcast/html/ecb.pod250625_episode109.en.html Silvana’s hot tip I’m still here/Ainda estou aqui ECB Instagram https://www.instagram.com/europeancentralbank/