Full Signal

Darius Dale is the founder of 42 Macro, a leading investment research firm whose risk-management framework is followed by thousands of investors around the world. He joins Phil Rosen on Full Signal to discuss his KISS portfolio strategy, where we are in the AI market cycle, why Kevin Warsh may be a dove in hawk's clothing, the shift toward a multi-poar macro regime, and rotating out of the Magnificent 7.This episode is sponsored by Public: https://public.com/openingbellSubscribe to Opening Bell Daily: https://www.openingbelldailynews.com/subscribeFollow Phil on X: https://x.com/philrosennFollow Phil on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/philrosen/Timestamps:0:00 - The KISS portfolio framework3:00 - Stocks, gold, and Bitcoin6:01 - Where we are in AI cycle7:45 - Crowded bullish positioning11:54 - Kevin Warsh and the Fed15:00 - Investing in new Fed regime17:49 - Iran conflict22:47 - Accelerating into multipolar world27:01 - Treasury market hot potato28:34 - Going global in equities30:58 - "Source of Funds" investing theme38:36 - What he could be wrong on42:42 - Follow DariusDisclosure: Brokerage services provided by Open to the Public Investing Inc, member FINRA & SIPC. Investing involves risk. Generated Assets is an interactive analysis tool by Public Advisors. Output is for informational purposes only and is not an investment recommendation or advice. See disclosures at public.com/disclosures/ga. See terms of Match Program at https://public.com/disclosures/matchprogram Matched funds must remain in your account for at least 5 years. Match rate and other terms are subject to change at any time.#podcast #investing #markets #macro #stocks #bitcoin #fed

Paisley Nardini is a portfolio manager and multi-asset strategist at Simplify Asset Management. She joins Phil Rosen on Full Signal to discuss whether the tech sell-off marks the end of the AI trade, how to build a resilient a portfolio around equities, the most important macro variables for investors, and more.This episode is sponsored by Public: https://public.com/openingbellSubscribe to Opening Bell Daily: https://www.openingbelldailynews.com/subscribeFollow Phil on X: https://x.com/philrosennFollow Phil on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/philrosen/Timestamps:0:00 - Is the AI bubble popping?2:22 - Kevin Warsh wildcard4:48 - Portfolios for any cycle5:44 - Stock-bond correlation8:49 - Bonds stopped being a hedge11:45 - Do old valuation metrics still work?14:27 - Finding cheaper corners of the market17:23 - AI Hype Over Profits18:42 - When to take profits on AI trade22:15 - Hard assets23:29 - Gold, silver, copper25:27 - Commodities26:39 - Building a new $100K Portfolio30:00 - Bitcoin30:56 - What we'll be wrong about31:53 - Find Paisley's workDisclosure: Brokerage services provided by Open to the Public Investing Inc, member FINRA & SIPC. Investing involves risk. Generated Assets is an interactive analysis tool by Public Advisors. Output is for informational purposes only and is not an investment recommendation or advice. See disclosures at public.com/disclosures/ga. See terms of Match Program at https://public.com/disclosures/matchprogram Matched funds must remain in your account for at least 5 years. Match rate and other terms are subject to change at any time.#podcast #investing #markets #macro #stocks #bitcoin #fed

Veteran investor Thomas Hayes is the founder of Great Hill Capital, a long-short equity money manager. He joins Phil Rosen on Full Signal to unpack his strategy for picking unpopular stocks with high upside, the rotation out of the AI trade, fading the Magnificent 7, and the specific stocks he is highest-conviction on right now.This episode is sponsored by Public: https://public.com/openingbellSubscribe to Opening Bell Daily: https://www.openingbelldailynews.com/subscribeFollow Phil on X: https://x.com/philrosennFollow Phil on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/philrosen/Timestamps:0:00 - Iran peace deal setup2:29 - Non-AI stocks to rally5:48 - Hyperscaler capex problem7:40 - Not bullish on Mag 78:47 - Micron's trap9:29 - AI demand is fifth inning11:53 - Price chasing vs. value14:56 - Staples most hated in decades18:17 - Top signal for AI?19:00 - PayPal bull case28:07 - Etsy bull case31:44 - Does AI shopping threaten Etsy?33:03 - How to pick stocks35:42 - The VF Corp turnaround42:44 - Contrarian beliefs46:15 - Follow TomDisclosure: Brokerage services provided by Open to the Public Investing Inc, member FINRA & SIPC. Investing involves risk. Generated Assets is an interactive analysis tool by Public Advisors. Output is for informational purposes only and is not an investment recommendation or advice. See disclosures at public.com/disclosures/ga. See terms of Match Program at https://public.com/disclosures/matchprogram Matched funds must remain in your account for at least 5 years. Match rate and other terms are subject to change at any time.#podcast #investing #markets #macro #stocks #bitcoin #fed

Ben Emons is the founder and chief investment officer at FedWatch Advisors. He joins Phil Rosen on Full Signal to discuss stocks he's bullish on for the end of the Iran conflict, the parabolic AI trade, why he likes financial stocks, and the Fed's dilemma.This episode is sponsored by Public: https://public.com/openingbellSubscribe to Opening Bell Daily: https://www.openingbelldailynews.com/subscribeFollow Phil on X: https://x.com/philrosennFollow Phil on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/philrosen/Timestamps:0:00 - Iran peace deal rally2:16 - The real bear case2:53 - Kevin Warsh is hawkish4:07 - Rate cuts vs. balance sheet6:34 - New Fed regime10:06 - Fertilizer shortage12:07 - Parabolic 716:13 - When to sell winners18:05 - Still bullish on Mag 7?21:05 - Financial stocks25:36 - Midterms blue sweep28:53 - Political volatility29:40 - Follow BenDisclosure: Brokerage services provided by Open to the Public Investing Inc, member FINRA & SIPC. Investing involves risk. Generated Assets is an interactive analysis tool by Public Advisors. Output is for informational purposes only and is not an investment recommendation or advice. See disclosures at public.com/disclosures/ga. See terms of Match Program at https://public.com/disclosures/matchprogram Matched funds must remain in your account for at least 5 years. Match rate and other terms are subject to change at any time.#podcast #investing #markets #macro #stocks #bitcoin #fed

Ben Carlson is the director of institutional asset management at Ritholtz Wealth Management, and the author of the new book, "Risk & Reward." He joins Phil Rosen to discuss the historic bull market, semiconductor rally and meltup, dot-com comparisons, lessons from Japan's asset bubble, and more.This episode is sponsored by Public: https://public.com/openingbellSubscribe to Opening Bell Daily: https://www.openingbelldailynews.com/subscribeFollow Phil on X: https://x.com/philrosennFollow Phil on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/philrosen/Timestamps:0:00 - Why Markets Ignore Headlines1:14 - Momentum and the AI Trade2:12 - Bull Market Tracker Insights3:38 - Semis Rally and Air Pockets5:53 - Nasdaq Melt Up Comparisons8:01 - Dot-Com Then vs Now9:10 - Investor Sentiment and Flows11:20 - Leveraged ETFs and Bubble Talk13:50 - What Would Turn Bears On15:56 - New Inflation Regime Reality16:40 - Ben's New Book "Risk and Reward"19:02- Japan Bubble Lessons Diversify23:17 - Investor Identity Time Horizon25:23 - Ben's Writing Process & Where to FollowDisclosure: Brokerage services provided by Open to the Public Investing Inc, member FINRA & SIPC. Investing involves risk. Generated Assets is an interactive analysis tool by Public Advisors. Output is for informational purposes only and is not an investment recommendation or advice. See disclosures at public.com/disclosures/ga. See terms of Match Program at https://public.com/disclosures/matchprogram Matched funds must remain in your account for at least 5 years. Match rate and other terms are subject to change at any time.#podcast #investing #markets #macro #stocks #bitcoin #fed