Calm Surface, Cracks Beneath: Oil Shocks, Credit Risk & AI Disruption | Protect the Pile Episode 10

About this episode

The episode discusses the underlying volatility in the market despite a calm surface, focusing on oil shocks and credit risks amidst geopolitical tensions.

This week on Protect the Pile, the team unpacks a market that appears calm on the surface but is highly volatile underneath. While the S&P 500 sits roughly flat on the year, geopolitical shocks—particularly the Iran conflict—have driven sharp moves in oil and injected a strong short-term inflation impulse. At the same time, those pressures are colliding with longer-term disinflationary trends like cooling housing data and slowing wage growth, creating a complex and uncertain macro backdro...

Topics covered

• market volatility
• oil prices
• geopolitical shocks
• inflation
• disinflationary trends
• housing data
• wage growth

Keywords

• oil shocks
• credit risk
• AI disruption
• Iran conflict
• inflation
• disinflation
• housing data
• wage growth

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: Hedgeye Risk Management

Books & works: Protect the Pile Episode 10

Places: Iran

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