
Why Australia Is Likely Facing More Rate Hikes Than Expected
From Michael Knox, Morgans Chief Economist by Morgans Financial Limited
February 5, 2026 · 11 min
About this episode
Michael Knox discusses the likelihood of more rate hikes in Australia due to structural inflation pressures.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has lifted the cash rate by 25 basis points at its latest meeting, signalling the start of a more prolonged tightening cycle. While many economists believe the RBA will need only two more rate hikes, Michael Knox argues that this view does not account for structural inflation pressures already building within the Australian economy.His modelling and economic analysis suggest the real requirement is at least four rate hikes before inflation begins to ease.
People in this episode
Guest: Michael Knox
Topics covered
- interest rates
- inflation
- economic analysis
- Australia
- Reserve Bank of Australia
- monetary policy
Keywords
- rate hikes
- inflation
- Reserve Bank of Australia
- economic modelling
- tightening cycle
Mentioned in this episode
Organizations: Reserve Bank of Australia
Places: Australia
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