Climate change forecast that matches

About this episode

The episode discusses the accuracy of early climate models in predicting global warming phenomena.

The provided text highlights how **early climate models**, particularly those developed by **Nobel laureate Syukuro Manabe** starting in the 1960s, accurately **predicted several key aspects of global warming** decades before they were definitively observed. Despite their initial simplicity, these models correctly forecast phenomena such as **overall global temperature increase due to CO2**, the **cooling of the stratosphere**, **amplified warming in the Arctic**, a **greater warming effect over land compared to oceans**, and the **delayed warming of the Southern Ocean**. The article argues that this **proven track record of successful predictions** strengthens confidence in present-day climate science and its projections for future climate changes.

People in this episode

Host: Veljko Massimo Plavsic

Topics covered

• climate change
• global warming
• climate models
• predictions
• environment

Keywords

• climate models
• global temperature
• CO2
• Arctic warming
• Southern Ocean

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: Nobel

More episodes of Murphy's law if anything can go wrong....

• Honda Civic Wheel Recall 406,290 vehicles · November 14, 2025 · 15 min
• Freelancer dilemma · October 25, 2025 · 14 min
• False partite iva e come riconoscerle · October 25, 2025 · 20 min
• Sfruttamento dei Lavoratori Mascherato da Riduzione dei Costi · October 20, 2025 · 18 min
• Deceptive Labor Practices as Corporate Strategy: An Analysis of Legal and Reputational Risk · October 20, 2025 · 18 min
• BMW stater motor recall · October 2, 2025 · 12 min