
News that move Markets | Daily Market Preview & Market Trends India
by Prem @ iFinStrats - Daily Market Preview & Market Catalysts Expert
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Evening Market News: Global Oil Shock Crushes Nifty, Rupee Hits Record Low
Mar 13, 2026
5m 24s
Morning Market News: Global Cues Mixed, IT Shines, Banks Cautious for India
Feb 17, 2026
Unknown duration
Evening Market News: India Rides Global Bounce – Banks Lead, Capital Stocks Stumble
Feb 16, 2026
Unknown duration
Wall Street to Dalal Street: Global Signals Driving India – Morning Market News
Feb 16, 2026
Unknown duration
Evening Market News: AI Fears Spark IT Bloodbath, Nifty Cracks 1,000 Points
Feb 13, 2026
Unknown duration
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| Date | Episode | Topics | Guests | Brands | Places | Keywords | Sponsor | Length | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/13/26 | ![]() Evening Market News: Global Oil Shock Crushes Nifty, Rupee Hits Record Low✨ | market trendsoil crisis+3 | — | L&THindalco+3 | IndiaWest Asia+1 | NiftySensex+7 | — | 5m 24s | |
| 2/17/26 | ![]() Morning Market News: Global Cues Mixed, IT Shines, Banks Cautious for India | Morning Market News: Wall Street Inches Up, Asia Softens — India Faces Mixed CuesTune in to "What Will Move the Market" for your Tuesday, February 17, 2026, 8 AM IST update! Wall Street Recap: US markets edged higher last session—Dow +0.10%, S&P 500 +0.05%, Nasdaq 100 +0.18%. Cautious optimism prevails amid Fed rate cut hopes and selective earnings plays. No major after-hours shocks.Indian ADRs Snapshot: Infosys ADR surges 3.59% (bullish for IT), but HDFC Bank (-1.03%), ICICI Bank (-2.05%), and Reliance GDR (-0.16%) signal caution in banking and energy. Key watch for Indian open.Asia & GIFT Nifty: Nikkei down 0.28%, Hang Seng -0.11%, Shanghai slumps 1.26%. GIFT Nifty futures -0.26%, pointing to a soft Nifty 50 start. China weakness weighs on regional sentiment.Global Macro: Cooling US inflation fuels Fed rate cut bets, but data-dependent policy keeps yields and dollar in focus. No fresh geopolitical flares; Trump comments echo rate hopes.India Pre-Open: FII/DII flows, RBI stance, and sector rotation in spotlight. No new SEBI F&O rules. Traders eye bank vs. IT leadership post-ADRs.Technicals: Watch Nifty/Bank Nifty yesterday's high/low as intraday triggers. Breakout above high = momentum; breakdown below low = defense mode.Commodities: WTI crude +1.31% (India import worry), gold -1.58%, silver -1.63% (risk-on rotation). Natural gas mildly lower.Day Trading Plan: Scale down at open, avoid chasing gaps, prioritize IT longs/bank caution. Strict stops amid mixed global signals.Perfect for stock market investors, Nifty traders, F&O players, and finance pros seeking daily Indian stock market updates, global market analysis, technical levels, ADR cues, GIFT Nifty, crude oil impact, Fed policy news, and intraday strategies. Subscribe for daily morning market news! #Nifty #BankNifty #StockMarketIndia #GlobalMarkets #TradingTips #MarketUpdate #FIIFlows #RBI #SEBI #CrudeOil #GoldPrice | — | ||||||
| 2/16/26 | ![]() Evening Market News: India Rides Global Bounce – Banks Lead, Capital Stocks Stumble | Indian Stock Market Evening Wrap: Nifty Sensex Bank Nifty Closing Update Feb 16 2026Sensex surged 650 points to 83,277 (+0.79%), Nifty closed at 25,682 (+0.83%), Bank Nifty at 60,949 (+1.27%) after choppy session and late rebound. Rupee at 83.68/USD, stable amid global cues.Top Gainers & Losers: Bajaj Finance Up 3.09%, Eicher Motors +1.56%, SBI Life +0.84%; Hindalco -6.08%, HUL -4.34%, Eternal -4.30%Financials led rotation; metals & FMCG lagged. BSE plunged 9.5% intraday on RBI broker lending curbs.Key Levels Tested: Nifty Support 25,600 Held, Eyes 25,750 Resistance; Bank Nifty 60,700 Floor Intact, Targets 61,400Banking & financials topped sectors; capital market stocks hit by regulatory pressure.RBI Policy Shock: Tighter Bank Funding & Collateral Rules for Brokers Weigh on ExchangesNo major SEBI F&O changes; impacted BSE, Groww, Angel One amid volume fears.Commodity Moves: MCX Gold ₹1,54,824/10g Down, Silver ₹2,36,908/kg Sharp DropPrecious metals volatile on risk-off backdrop & inflation watch.Technical Outlook & Tomorrow's Trade: Nifty Grind to 25,750 if 25,600 Holds; Bank Nifty Test 61,400Watch RBI clarifications, global cues (US markets, crude). Actionable: Use 25,600/60,700 as lines in sand for longs.What Moved the Market Today: Buy-the-Dip in Banks, RBI Squeeze on Capital StocksFull analysis of Nifty 50, Sensex, Bank Nifty performance, top stocks, support resistance, sector rotation, macro updates. Tune in for daily Indian stock market news, live trading levels, FII DII data insights! #Nifty #Sensex #BankNifty #StockMarketIndia #RBI #ShareMarket #NSE #BSE #MCXGold #MarketUpdate #TradingTips #InvestingIndia | — | ||||||
| 2/16/26 | ![]() Wall Street to Dalal Street: Global Signals Driving India – Morning Market News | Global market wrap for Monday, sixteen February twenty twenty six, with a clear focus on how worldwide moves could impact Indian stocks at the openQuick recap of Friday’s Wall Street action with the Dow, S and P five hundred, and Nasdaq one hundred ending slightly higher and setting a mildly positive tone for global risk sentimentDiscussion of how US Federal Reserve rate expectations, corporate earnings, and macro data are shaping the global “soft landing” narrative and what that means for Indian equity investorsDetailed look at Indian ADRs: strong overnight gains in Infosys, contrasted with weakness in HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, and Reliance GDR, and what this mixed picture implies for Nifty heavyweightsAsian market check with Japan two twenty five, Hong Kong HS fifty, and Shanghai Composite moves, highlighting a cautious tone in Japan and China and a flat Hong Kong openGIFT Nifty update pointing to a mildly positive start for Nifty fifty, and why traders should treat it as a directional cue rather than a guaranteed opening levelOverview of key global themes: central bank policy uncertainty, inflation trends, geopolitical risks, and potential market impact of any new policy‑related messages from President Donald TrumpFocus on Indian market drivers: RBI commentary on inflation, liquidity and growth, FII flow trends, and sector‑specific reactions in banking, IT, autos, capital goods, and moreReminder to track any recent SEBI guidelines around F and O trading, margins, or position limits that could influence Nifty and BankNifty volatility and liquidityTechnical outlook on Nifty fifty and BankNifty using recent swing highs and lows and previous session ranges as key support and resistance zones for intraday tradingGuidance on avoiding early false breakouts in BankNifty, waiting for confirmation with volume, and using prior highs and lows as practical trading reference bandsCommodity market snapshot with gold, silver, and crude oil trends in US dollar terms, and how moves in precious metals, energy, and base metals can affect Indian sectors and overall sentimentDay plan for traders: emphasis on risk management, moderate position sizing, disciplined stop‑loss use, and avoiding emotional averaging into losing tradesPerspective for long‑term investors: use such days to refine watchlists, stagger entries, and reassess asset allocation rather than making aggressive one‑shot betsEngaging close inviting listeners to tune in to the evening wrap, send questions, and subscribe for daily Morning Market News updates on global cues and their impact on Indian markets | — | ||||||
| 2/13/26 | ![]() Evening Market News: AI Fears Spark IT Bloodbath, Nifty Cracks 1,000 Points | Evening Market Crash Alert: Sensex plunged over 1,000 points to 82,626, Nifty50 settled at 25,471 (down 1.3%), Bank Nifty slipped to 60,180 amid global tech rout. IT bloodbath led by Infosys, TCS, Wipro (3-5% falls) on AI disruption fears; metals tanked 3%+ with Hindalco dragging.Key Stock Movers: Top losers - Hindalco, ONGC, HUL, Titan on profit booking & weak crude. Rare gainers: Bajaj Finance, SBI resilient amid banking strength. SME IPOs muted: Biopol Chemicals listed weak at ₹111, PAN HR Solutions flat at ₹78.35.Rupee Steady at ₹90.64/USD: No new lows; supports IT/pharma exports but overshadowed by risk-off sentiment. Crude falls (Brent mid-$60s) caps inflation; MCX Gold up 1% to ₹1,54,200/10g, Silver +2% to ₹2,40,700/kg on safe-haven bids.Sector Snap: Metals, Realty, Energy, IT worst hit. PSU Banks, Auto, Pharma relatively strong. Nifty support tested at 25,500 (critical hold); Bank Nifty defends 60,000.Global Impact: Nasdaq slide, AI margin worries spill over; Iran risks ease oil, but "great rebalancing" from US tech aids India long-term. No major SEBI/RBI news.Tomorrow Outlook: Nifty eyes 25,600 reclaim for bounce to 25,800; break 25,500 targets 25,200. Bank Nifty hold 60,000 = buy dips to 60,900. Watch Fed cues, Budget STT talks.Trade Tip: Accumulate quality banks on Bank Nifty 60,000-60,200 dips; tactical Nifty rallies to 25,800 with tight stops.Keywords: Nifty crash Feb 13 2026, Sensex 1000 point fall, IT stocks bloodbath, AI fears India market, Bank Nifty support 60000, Gold Silver MCX prices, Rupee USD 90.64, IPO listing Biopol PAN HR, stock market live updates, evening market wrap, Dalal Street news.What Moved the Market - Daily Indian stock analysis with Prem. Subscribe for Nifty predictions, top gainers/losers, F&O levels! #StockMarketIndia #Nifty50 #Sensex #ShareMarket #InvestingIndia (387 chars) | — | ||||||
| 2/13/26 | ![]() Morning Market News: Tech Tremors on Wall Street, Can India Hold the Line? | Morning Market News: Wall Street Tech Selloff Hits India - Friday, Feb 13, 2026 recap: US markets tumbled with Dow down 1.34% at 49,452, S&P 500 -1.57% to 6,833, Nasdaq 100 -2.04% to 24,688. AI fears & Fed rate cut delays triggered tech rout; Cisco, software names dragged lower. After-hours earnings mixed with semis rebounding.Indian ADRs Signal IT Weakness: Infosys ADR crashed 9.75% to $14.21, HDFC Bank -1.05% to $32.86, ICICI Bank +0.45% to $31.26, Reliance GDR -0.31% to $64.60. Global investors turn selective—IT vulnerable, banks resilient.Asia Mixed, Gift Nifty Down 0.5%: Nikkei +0.29% at 57,129, Hang Seng -0.29% at 26,611, Shanghai +0.06% at 4,741. Gift Nifty futures at 25,721 signal gap-down open for Nifty 50 (~130 pts lower). Cautious Asia ahead of US CPI data.Commodities Bounce: Gold +1.06% to $4,973/oz, Silver +1.91% to $76.66/oz after recent volatility. WTI Crude stable +0.13% at $62.98/bbl—manageable for oil-importing India.India Setup: RBI Steady, SEBI F&O Squeeze: RBI holds repo at 5.25%, Jan CPI at 2.75% (new base). SEBI's tighter F&O rules curb expiry-day frenzy, favor positional trades. FIIs recent net buyers; watch Nifty support 25,700 & Bank Nifty 60,500.Trading Plan: Soft open expected—respect supports (Nifty 25,700/25,300; Bank Nifty 60,500), size positions small amid volatility. Buy quality banks on dips; avoid chasing tech. US CPI tonight key risk.#IndianStockMarket #Nifty50 #MorningMarketUpdate #ShareMarketNews | — | ||||||
| 2/12/26 | ![]() Evening Market News: IT Bloodbath Drags Nifty Amid Global Tech Selloff | IT Sector Selloff Crushes Nifty & Sensex: Indian markets closed lower on February 12, 2026, with Sensex at 83,674 (down 0.66%) and Nifty 50 at 25,807 (down 0.57%). Bank Nifty held steady near 60,739 (flat). Heavy selling in IT stocks like Infosys, TCS, Tech Mahindra, Wipro (down 4-5%) due to AI disruption fears dragged indices; Nifty IT plunged 5.51%.Top Gainers & Losers: Bajaj Finance surged 3%+ leading financials; Shriram Finance, ICICI Bank, Eicher Motors, BEL in green. Midcaps like Max Financial, HUDCO, Muthoot Finance shone. Losers: Midcap IT (KPIT, Coforge down 6%+), Zensar, Amara Raja. FIIs net sold ₹850 Cr; DIIs bought ₹1,410 Cr.Rupee & Currency Update: USD/INR eased to 83.6, strengthening slightly vs recent highs—mildly negative for exporters but curbs import inflation.IPO Alert: Marushika Technology SME IPO opened (₹27 Cr issue); Day 1 subscription weak at 0.09x.Technical Levels: Nifty broke 25,900 support (now resistance); eyes 25,700-25,500. Bank Nifty defended 60,600; resistance at 60,900. Outlook: Consolidation in bull trend if supports hold.Sector Rotation: Financials & PSU banks outperformed; Realty down 1%+. AI fears, weak US rate cut hopes fueled IT rout amid global tech weakness.Macro & Regulatory News: Jan CPI at 2.75% (new series, below RBI target). RBI tightens loan recovery & mis-selling rules. SEBI maintains F&O status quo post-STT hike.Commodities Snapshot: MCX Gold ₹1,58,040/10g (-0.45%); Silver ₹2,60,000/kg (-1.15%). Brent crude ~$66-68/bbl on Middle East tensions.Geopolitics Impact: US-Iran tanker risks, Russia-Ukraine drag oil; limited direct hit on India but adds volatility.Tomorrow's Outlook: Watch US tech futures, AI headlines, FII flows. Actionable: Buy dips in banks/NBFCs (Nifty 25,700, Bank Nifty 60,500 supports); avoid oversold IT shorts.Keywords: Nifty today, Sensex closing, Bank Nifty levels, IT stocks crash, AI impact India stocks, FII DII data Feb 12 2026, Bajaj Finance gainers, SEBI F&O update, RBI inflation CPI, MCX gold silver price, stock market news India, evening market wrap, what moved the market.Catch the full 5-min analysis on Spotify! #StockMarketIndia #Nifty50 #Sensex #ITSelloff #MarketUpdate | — | ||||||
| 2/12/26 | ![]() Morning Market News: US Muted, Nikkei Slips, Indian ADRs Soft – Range Play Ahead | Morning Market News: Wall Street Pauses Near Records, Asia Softens – Gift Nifty Eyes Steady Nifty OpenUS Markets Recap: Dow slips 0.13% to 50,121, S&P 500 flat at 6,941 (-0.01%), Nasdaq 100 gains 0.29% to 25,201 amid Fed rate cut caution post-strong jobs data. Cisco shares slide after earnings.Indian ADRs Mixed: Infosys ADR down sharp 5.21% to $15.75 (IT pressure signal), HDFC Bank -2.29% to $33.21, ICICI Bank flat -0.10% at $31.12, Reliance GDR unchanged at $64.80.Asia Update: Nikkei down 0.65% to 57,762 (profit booking), Hang Seng -0.21% at 27,125, Shanghai +0.09% near 4,739. Gift Nifty +0.08% at 25,994 signals mild positive start for Nifty 50.India Pre-Open: Nifty consolidates below 26,000 post flat Wednesday close; FIIs net buyers ₹900cr, DIIs sellers. RBI holds repo at 5.25%, neutral stance with growth at 7.4%. SEBI tightens F&O rules.Technicals: Nifty support 25,800-25,500, resistance 26,000-26,200. Bank Nifty support 60,600-60,000, resistance 60,800-61,000. Range-bound trading near highs.Commodities: WTI crude steady $64.88, gold -0.46% to $5,061/oz, silver -1.48% to $83/oz. Base metals firm on AI demand.Global Cues: US yields firm curbs EM upside; Middle East oil risks linger. US-India trade deal positive for exporters.Day Plan: Trade the range, moderate sizes, tight stops. Focus quality financials, industrials amid consolidation.Subscribe for daily 8AM market updates! #Nifty50 #StockMarketIndia #GiftNifty #MorningMarketNews | — | ||||||
| 2/11/26 | ![]() Evening Market News: Nifty Edges Up as Autos Shine, Tech Drags on Oil & Geopolitics | Indian stock market evening wrap-up for February 11, 2026: Nifty 50 closes near 25,954 (up 0.07%), Sensex slips to 84,234 (down 0.05%), Bank Nifty gains 0.2% above 60,745 in a flat, volatile session.Top gainers: Eicher Motors surges 6% on strong Q3 profits; Apollo Hospitals up 4% with robust earnings; SBI rises 3% amid banking strength; midcaps like Supreme Industries shine post-earnings.Top losers: TCS down 2%+, Infosys & HCL Tech drag IT sector (down 1%+); Coal India slips on profit booking.Market sentiment: Cautiously optimistic with autos, healthcare & PSU banks leading; IT & energy cap gains ahead of US jobs data.Rupee update: USD/INR at 90.65, near record highs, supports exporters but pressures oil importers.Support & resistance: Nifty holds 25,900 support, eyes 26,000 resistance; Bank Nifty firm above 60,500, targets 61,000.Sector stars & laggards: Autos & healthcare up 1%+ (Eicher, Maruti, hospitals); IT weakest; energy soft on crude/rupee.RBI & SEBI updates: RBI holds repo at 5.25%, raises FY27 growth to 7.4%; SEBI relaxes OTR for equity options, withdraws single-stock F&O expiry margins, stalls new exchanges in options.Commodities: MCX gold ~₹1,58,000/10g (modest dip); silver ~₹2,52,300/kg; crude in high $60s/bbl amid Middle East tensions.Geopolitics: US jobs report & Middle East risks fuel caution; Asian markets favor defensives, impacting high-beta Indian stocks.Tomorrow's outlook: Nifty support 25,900-25,700, resistance 26,100; Bank Nifty eyes 60,900+; watch US data, crude, rupee.Trading tip: Buy dips in autos/hospitals/banks if levels hold; avoid IT chases; mind F&O margin changes.Keywords: Nifty today, Sensex closing, Bank Nifty levels, stock gainers losers, SEBI F&O rules, RBI policy, MCX gold silver, US jobs impact India, stock market news February 11 2026, Evening Market News. | — | ||||||
| 2/11/26 | ![]() Soft US Data, Firm Global Markets: The Morning Playbook for Indian Investors | Wall Street Mixed Close: Dow hits record at ~50,188 (+0.10%), S&P 500 slips to ~6,942 (-0.33%), Nasdaq 100 eases to ~25,128 (-0.56%). Soft US Dec retail sales fuels Fed rate cut hopes; delayed Jan jobs & CPI data in focus. Tech/financials dip, select earnings shine.Indian ADRs Firm: Infosys +1.84% (16.61 USD), HDFC Bank +0.38% (33.99 USD), ICICI Bank +1.33% (31.15 USD), Reliance GDR +0.15% (64.80 USD). Signals steady foreign interest in IT & private banks.Asia Trading Live: Nikkei ~58,247 (+0.47%), Hang Seng/HS50 ~27,225 (-0.12%), Shanghai ~4,734 (+0.13%). GIFT Nifty at 26,052 (+0.35%) hints at mildly positive Nifty open.Global Macro Watch: US consumer slowdown narrative grows; crude tug-of-war (WTI 64.27 +0.12%); US-India tariff deal eyes Russian crude shift. Geopolitics simmers but equities prioritize Fed path.India Yesterday: Nifty 25,935 (+0.26%), Sensex 84,273 (+0.25%). FIIs modest buyers, DIIs aggressive. Fractal Analytics IPO final day; SEBI tightens single-stock F&O expiry margins.Nifty Technicals: Support 25,800-25,700; resistance 26,000-26,200. Buy dips if holds support. Bank Nifty support 60,500-60,000; resistance 60,900-61,500.Commodities Mixed: Gold 5,037 (+0.26%), Silver 81.45 (+0.81%), WTI Crude 64.27 (+0.12%), NatGas 3.07 (-0.77%). Manageable for India equities.Day Plan: Respect ranges, avoid chasing resistance. Focus quality financials, autos, IT. Tight risk mgmt amid SEBI F&O curbs & US data week.Trade safe! Subscribe for evening wrap. | — | ||||||
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| 2/10/26 | ![]() Nifty's Third Green Day: US-India Pact Counters Geopolitical Jitters | Markets Extend Gains: Nifty closed at twenty-five thousand nine hundred thirty-five (up 0.3%), Sensex at eighty-four thousand two hundred seventy-four (up 0.25%), while Bank Nifty slipped to sixty thousand six hundred twenty-six (down 0.1%). Selective buying in autos, metals, media amid profit-taking in IT, financials.Rupee Update: Closed stronger at ninety point five seven vs USD, trading between ninety point four eight and ninety point seven seven intraday. Eased import inflation pressure, aided oil/metal stocks despite mild IT headwind.Top Gainers: Eternal (mid-single digit rally on technicals/e-retail buzz), Tata Steel (strong Q4 profits, pricing outlook), ONGC (crude firmness, US trade energy boost), Bajaj Auto (earnings, premiumisation).Top Losers: HCL Tech (profit-taking pre-global data), Bajaj Finance & Shriram Finance (margin/asset quality concerns post-earnings), Dr Reddy’s (US pricing worries).Support/Resistance: Nifty tested twenty-six thousand resistance (held), defended twenty-five thousand eight hundred support. Bank Nifty consolidated above sixty thousand; supports at sixty thousand five hundred/sixty thousand, resistance sixty thousand eight hundred/sixty-one thousand two hundred.Sector Stars & Laggards: Media (+2%, ad recovery), Autos (+1%, volumes/margins), Metals (Tata Steel, trade tailwinds). Pharma & PSU Banks lagged on earnings/regulatory overhangs.Regulatory/Macro: SEBI mandates AIF NAV reporting via depositories for transparency; calendar spread margin tweaks influenced F&O positioning. RBI benign inflation view; new CPI series awaited.Commodities: Brent crude ~$69/bbl (geopolitical premium). MCX Gold ~one lakh fifty-eight thousand INR/10g, Silver ~two lakh eighty-five thousand INR/kg – sharp rallies on dollar softness, safe-haven flows.Geopolitics: India-US trade framework (tariff cuts, energy buys) drove FII buying, exporter relief. Bangladesh apparel zero-tariff offset hit textiles.Tomorrow's Outlook: Nifty bias up if >twenty-five thousand eight hundred (target twenty-six thousand+); downside twenty-five thousand six hundred fifty. Bank Nifty range-bound unless sixty-one thousand two hundred breaks. Watch CPI, global inflation, crude.Actionable Tip: Buy dips in autos/private banks/metals near Nifty twenty-five thousand eight hundred support; tight stops below twenty-five thousand six hundred fifty. Avoid overvalued lenders/pharma.Tune In: Send questions for future episodes! | — | ||||||
| 2/10/26 | ![]() From Dow Records to Gift Nifty Gains: How Global Bulls Are Lining Up India’s Morning Trade | Date and time context: Tuesday, February 10, 2026, 8 a.m. India time, with global risk sentiment starting the day on a constructive note.Wall Street recap:Dow Jones closed just above fifty thousand one hundred thirty, nearly flat but at record territory.S&P 500 ended around six thousand nine hundred sixty five, up about 0.5%.Nasdaq 100 finished near twenty five thousand two hundred sixty eight, gaining around 0.8% as large tech and growth stocks led the move.Tech, AI, and select consumer names outperformed, while defensive sectors like utilities lagged; no major negative macro surprises overnight.Indian ADR cues:Infosys ADR at about sixteen point three one dollars, down roughly 3.15%.HDFC Bank ADR near thirty three point eight six dollars, down about 1.74%.ICICI Bank ADR around thirty point seven four dollars, down roughly 1.41%.Reliance GDR near sixty four point seven dollars, up about 0.47%.Overall signal: global investors are cautious on IT and private banks, relatively more positive on Reliance and energy‑consumer plays.Asian markets and Gift Nifty:Japan’s Nikkei around fifty seven thousand eight hundred fifty eight, up about 1.02% at its last close.Hong Kong’s Hang Seng near twenty seven thousand two hundred forty eight, higher by roughly 0.12%.Shanghai Composite total return index around four thousand seven hundred twenty eight, up about 1.42%.Gift Nifty futures at approximately twenty five thousand nine hundred eighty eight, up about 0.38%, implying a mildly positive start of around one hundred points for Nifty.Macro backdrop and India link:Central banks, especially the US Fed, remain cautious and data‑dependent, which supports risk assets but keeps them sensitive to upcoming data.Evolving trade and investment ties, including the India–US trade framework, reinforce the medium‑term case for Indian exports and manufacturing.Domestic market tone:Recent Indian sessions have seen gains in Sensex and Nifty, aided by foreign institutional buying and selective domestic profit‑taking.RBI’s steady policy stance and balanced view on growth and inflation act as a supportive macro anchor.Sector focus today likely on banks, capital goods, autos, consumption and trade‑beneficiary stocks.Technical setup:Nifty immediate supports lie just below current levels, with the psychological zone around twenty six thousand acting as key resistance.A sustained move above twenty six thousand could open higher targets, while breaks below support may trigger quick profit‑taking.Bank Nifty has nearby support slightly below the latest close and resistance a few hundred points higher; banking strength remains crucial for the next leg of the rally.Newer, stricter F&O norms from SEBI make disciplined leverage and risk management essential.Commodities snapshot:Gold futures near five thousand twenty one dollars per ounce, down about 0.74%.Silver around eighty one point zero seven dollars per ounce, down roughly 2.75%.WTI crude oil around sixty four point one three dollars a barrel, lower by about 0.43%.US natural gas close to three point zero five dollars, down about 0.99%.Overall, commodity moves suggest no fresh spike in inflation pressures, a mild positive for equities and input‑cost‑sensitive sectors.Actionable day plan (high level, not tips):Bias for Indian equities is constructive but markets are near key round numbers, so intraday volatility can be high.Traders may prefer confirmation around support and resistance zones on Nifty and Bank Nifty rather than chasing gaps.Investors can use dips to add quality large‑caps in banking, capital goods, consumption and structural stories, while staying diversified and avoiding over‑concentration in any one theme. | — | ||||||
| 2/9/26 | ![]() Trade Deal Triumph: Global Optimism Fuels India's Nifty Surge Above 25,800 | Market Surge on Trade Optimism: Sensex closed above 84,065 (+485 pts, 0.58%), Nifty at 25,867 (+174 pts, 0.68%), Bank Nifty near 60,669 (+550 pts, 0.91%). Broad rally led by US-India interim trade deal easing tariffs, FPI buying, RBI rate hold.Top Gainers: SBI led with 7-8% jump on stellar Q3 results & credit growth upgrade, boosting PSU Bank index to record high. Shriram Finance, Tata Steel, Hindalco, Grasim, BEL shone on earnings, metals tailwinds. Kalyan Jewellers spiked 10-15% post Q3 profit surge & SEBI complaint.Key Losers: Max Healthcare, Power Grid, ITC, ICICI Bank, Nestle saw profit booking in defensives as funds rotated to cyclicals.IPOs: Fractal Analytics (₹2,834 Cr) 4% subscribed Day 1; Aye Finance (₹1,000 Cr) 0.13x, selective primary demand amid buoyant secondary.Technicals: Nifty held 25,800 support, eyes 26,000; Bank Nifty broke 60,400 highs, targets 61,000+. Rupee at 90.6/USD, strongest in 3 weeks.Sectors: PSU Banks +4%, Realty/Media/Metals/Durables up 2-4%; IT/Pharma lagged.RBI/SEBI: RBI steady at 5.25% repo, higher inflation view but 7.4% growth. SEBI tweaks on glitches, RTAs, F&O curbs shape trading.Commodities: MCX Gold ~₹1.56-1.58L/10g rebound; Silver +5% at ₹2.62L/kg. Brent crude <high $60s on Mideast ease.Geopolitics: US-India deal supports exporters; tariff risks linger, US data week ahead.Outlook: Buy dips to Nifty 25,800/Bank Nifty 60,400 in PSU banks/metals if supports hold. Tune in tomorrow! | — | ||||||
| 2/9/26 | ![]() Dow at Fifty Thousand, India on Guard: Global Rally, Local Levels to Watch | Global markets ended the week on a strong risk‑on note, with the Dow closing above fifty thousand for the first time and both the S&P five hundred and Nasdaq delivering solid gains led by AI and semiconductor stocks.Amazon dragged after outlining a massive AI‑driven capex plan, while Stellantis slumped on a large charge tied to its electric‑vehicle strategy, underscoring stock‑specific volatility beneath the upbeat index moves.Indian ADRs for Infosys, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank and Reliance all closed higher, signalling a constructive bias for large private banks, a stabilising tone for IT, and supportive cues for energy as Indian markets open.Asian markets are taking their cues from Friday’s closes: Japan’s Nikkei stayed firm, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and Shanghai remained cautious on China growth and property concerns, while GIFT Nifty futures point to a flat‑to‑slightly‑positive start for the Nifty fifty.Globally, central banks like the ECB and Bank of England are holding rates steady with a tilt towards eventual cuts, while a new interim India–US trade deal cutting US tariffs on Indian goods boosts the medium‑term outlook for exporters in pharma, textiles, engineering and specialty chemicals.Commodities are sending mixed signals: crude is subdued versus past peaks, copper is firm near its highs, and gold and silver have surged sharply on safe‑haven demand and rate‑cut expectations, potentially adding momentum to bullion‑linked and metals plays.On the domestic front, RBI has kept the repo rate unchanged with a neutral stance, but eased conditions for bank lending to REITs and raised collateral‑free MSME loan limits, supporting real estate, MSME‑focused lenders and broader credit growth.Indian equities ended Friday in the green, with Nifty, Sensex and Bank Nifty all closing higher; FMCG and private banks outperformed, IT lagged, and FIIs turned net buyers even as domestic institutions booked some profits.SEBI’s tighter F&O framework is reshaping intraday and options trading, with stricter position limits, eligibility rules and margin surveillance making leverage management and risk control critical for derivatives traders.Key technical zones to monitor are twenty five thousand five hundred sixty to twenty five thousand eight hundred on Nifty and fifty nine thousand eight hundred to sixty thousand four hundred on Bank Nifty, which are likely to define the day’s trading bias.The core message for traders is “optimism with guardrails”: ride the global tailwinds and supportive domestic policy backdrop, but avoid chasing gaps, manage position size and leverage, and respect clearly defined support and resistance zones.For investors, the focus remains on long‑term themes like financials, consumption, formal real estate and export‑oriented sectors rather than short‑term hype around AI or commodity spikes, with an eye on how global moves filter into Indian sentiment through the day. | — | ||||||
| 2/6/26 | ![]() Global Tech Selloff Hits India – RBI Holds Firm as Nifty Recovers | Market Rebound: Sensex closed above 83,580 (+0.32%), Nifty at 25,694 (+0.2%), Bank Nifty near 60,120 (+0.1%) after choppy session and late buying. Midcaps flat, smallcaps down 0.3%.RBI Policy: Repo rate steady at 5.25% with neutral stance; boosted defensives amid global tech worries.Rupee Update: USD-INR near 83.32, firm but near highs; supports exports but fuels import inflation risks.Top Gainers: ITC (+5% on earnings appeal), Kotak Bank (+3%), HUL (+3%), Hitachi Energy (+14% post-results), MRF (+8.5%), Nykaa (+7%), LIC (high single digits).Top Losers: Tech Mahindra, TCS (-1.5-2% on global selloff), HDFC Life, Asian Paints, Bajaj Auto; BEML (-6%), IT midcaps like Hexaware/Coforge (-3-7%).Cap Market Pressure: Nuvama/CDSL down 3-4% on SEBI's expiry-day margin tightening for single-stock derivatives.IPO Action: CKK Retail Mart SME listed flat at ₹163 (issue price); NFP Sampoorna Foods IPO closed subscription.Supports/Resistances: Nifty held 25,500 support (R: 25,760); Bank Nifty above 59,800 (R: 60,400).Sectors: FMCG led (+2.3% on earnings/RBI), private banks/financials up 0.5-1%; IT (-1.5%), Pharma/Auto/PSU banks down.SEBI Update: Ends calendar spread margin benefits on single-stock expiry day (3-month window); hit capital market stocks.Flows: FIIs net sold ~₹2,150 Cr yesterday; DIIs bought ~₹1,100 Cr.Commodities: Brent ~$68.3/bbl, WTI $64.1; MCX Gold ~₹1,54,410/10g (stable), Silver ~₹2.8L/kg (lower circuit).Geopolitics: US-Iran tensions (nuclear warnings, armada chatter) lift oil; Trump-Xi call spotlights Taiwan/trade risks. Global tech/AI selloff, crypto volatility spill over.Outlook: Nifty bias positive above 25,500 (target 25,800); Bank Nifty constructive >59,800. Watch US jobs, crude, FIIs.Takeaway: Buy dips in private banks/consumption near supports; trim expiry leverage, underweight IT/cap markets amid SEBI/SE global risks. | — | ||||||
| 2/6/26 | ![]() Global Tech Jitters, RBI on Watch: Will India Hold the Line? | Show Intro: Welcome to "What will move the Market" with host Prem on Friday, February 6, 2026 – your 8 AM guide to Indian market openers.Wall Street Recap: US markets extended losses for a 3rd day amid tech/AI selloff. Dow fell 1.2% to ~48,909; S&P 500 down 1.23% at ~6,798; Nasdaq 100 slid 1.38% to ~24,549. Tech giants like Amazon pressured by high capex; defensives held better. After-hours mixed but cautious.Indian ADRs Overnight: Mixed bag – Infosys ADR +0.36% ($16.80); HDFC Bank +0.12% ($33.99); ICICI Bank -0.13% ($30.88); Reliance GDR -0.78% ($63.80). Banks show resilience vs. IT/energy cues for India.Asia & Gift Nifty: Nikkei up 0.62% (~54,101); Hang Seng +0.37% (~26,490); Shanghai +0.20% (~4,682) per latest closes. Gift Nifty at 25,630.5 (-0.27%) signals flat-to-negative Indian open amid US weakness.Global/Geopolitical News: US-Iran talks ease oil risks; India-US trade deal cuts tariffs to ~18% (Trump highlights partnership); US labor data adds Fed uncertainty.Indian Headlines: RBI MPC decision today (expected pause at 5.25% repo); FII sold ₹2,150 Cr, DII bought ₹1,130 Cr yesterday. Nifty closed ~25,640 (-0.6%), Sensex ~83,311. SEBI no new F&O curbs; NSE board advances IPO process.Technicals: Nifty support 25,600-25,500, resistance 25,800-26,000. Bank Nifty support 59,800-59,400, resistance 60,400-61,000. Consolidation mode pre-RBI.Commodities: Gold +0.92% ($4,820/oz); Silver +1.68% ($72.13/oz); WTI crude +0.65% ($63.52/bbl); NatGas -0.15%. Precious metals firm amid volatility.Day Plan: Risk-aware trading – light positions, tight stops around RBI (10 AM). Focus relative strength (banks); stagger entries for investors. Avoid over-leverage in F&O.Closer: Tune in for evening wrap; subscribe & send questions! | — | ||||||
| 2/5/26 | ![]() Geopolitical Thaw Lifts Oil, Shakes Gold: India's Markets Consolidate | Market Overview: Nifty 50 closed above 25,640 (down 0.52%), Sensex above 83,300 (down 0.60%), while Bank Nifty rose 0.33% to near 60,238. Markets consolidated amid profit booking in metals & tech, ahead of RBI MPC decision; broader mid/smallcaps softer.Currency Update: USD-INR settled at ~90.40, steady but near highs; supported export stocks but couldn't offset policy caution.Top Gainers: Trent (+3% on expansion), Max Healthcare (+1%+ on occupancy), Tata Steel (+1% on infra optimism), PB Fintech (+7% midcap), Jubilant Foodworks (+5%).Top Losers: Hindalco (-3% on metal pullback), Eternal (-2.5% tech wobble), Bharti Airtel (-1.5% post-results), Tube Investments (-10% margins worry), Suzlon (-4%), MCX India (-4.7% silver crash).No Major IPOs: Focus on upcoming SME issues.Support/Resistance: Nifty tested 25,580-25,750 (held 25,640 support); Bank Nifty dipped below 60k but reclaimed, eyes 60,400 resistance.Sectors: Banks/financials led; healthcare/consumer strong. Metals & IT lagged on global cues.Policy/Macro: RBI MPC tomorrow (pause expected at 5.25% repo); SEBI proposes fairer "fit & proper" norms for intermediaries—no new F&O curbs.Commodities: Brent crude down 1-2% (US-Iran talks); base metals cooled. MCX gold swung from 1.53L to 1.60L+ highs, back to ~1.50L/10g; silver futures hit lower circuit at ~2.80L/kg (spot ~3.20L).Geopolitics: US-Iran Oman talks eased oil risks; Russia-Ukraine UAE talks yielded POW swap—mild risk-off relief.Outlook: Nifty rangebound 25,500-25,800; buy dips if holds support. Bank Nifty bullish above 59,800. Tip: Trade key zones, focus financials/defensives, mind RBI event risk.Actionable: Avoid breakouts; buy Nifty 25,500 dips, book profits at 25,800. Tune in tomorrow! | — | ||||||
| 2/5/26 | ![]() Global Tech Rout Hits India: Nifty Braces for Flat Open Amid ADR Weakness | Morning Market Snapshot:Wall Street mixed overnight—Dow +0.53% (~49,501), S&P 500 -0.51% (~6,883), Nasdaq 100 -1.77% (~24,891). Tech/software selloff deepens on AI disruption fears from Anthropic tools hitting IT/services margins. Defensives cushioned Dow gains.Indian ADRs: IT weakness confirmed—Infosys -3.35% ($16.74), HDFC Bank +1.13% ($33.95), ICICI Bank +1.51% ($30.92), Reliance GDR +1.10% ($64.30). Banks firm, IT drags into Indian open.Asia & Gift Nifty: Mostly red—Nikkei -1.38% (~53,934), Hang Seng -0.13% (~26,548), Shanghai -0.97% (~4,657). Gift Nifty ~25,808 (-0.11%), signals flat/negative Nifty start vs yesterday's 25,776 close.Key Themes:Global AI anxiety slams software/IT—direct readthrough to Indian IT pack.Geopolitics (US-Iran, Middle East) keeps commodities volatile.RBI MPC underway (Feb 4-6)—repo steady at 5.25% expected; tone on inflation/rupee key.Indian Yesterday: Nifty +0.19% (25,776), Sensex +0.09% (~83,818). Nifty IT -6% despite benchmark resilience; banks/oil&gas supported. FIIs modest buyers.Technicals:Nifty: Support 25,700/25,500; resistance 25,800+/26,000.Bank Nifty: Support <60,000/59,600s; resistance 60,400-60,800. Hold key zones for trend clues.Commodities: High volatility—Gold -1.91% ($4,869/oz), Silver -12.44% ($77.21/oz), WTI Crude -0.88% ($63.89/bbl), NatGas -0.52% ($3.36). Precious metals swing wildly.Day Plan: Discipline over bravado—small sizes, no averaging IT weakness, respect Nifty/Bank Nifty levels. Investors: Watch IT correction vs bank strength for accumulation setups. F&O: Prioritize risk mgmt amid higher costs/SEBI norms.Tune in: Evening wrap coming. Subscribe & share your AI/trade deal views! #Nifty #StockMarket #ITSelloff #RBI | — | ||||||
| 2/4/26 | ![]() Why IT fell with Nasdaq today - Is AI the IT killer for SaaS? | Market Performance: After Tuesday's 2.55% rally on India-US trade deal euphoria, markets saw profit-taking. Nifty50 closed flat at twenty-five thousand seven hundred seventy-six (up 0.19%). Sensex marginally positive; BankNifty consolidated amid caution ahead of RBI MPC decision on Feb 6. Rupee stable at ninety point four three vs USD.Top Movers: IT sector dragged indices—Infosys down 7.5%, TCS 7%, HCL Tech/Wipro 4-5% on US tech slowdown fears. Gainers: Trent +4%, ONGC +4% (oil strength), Maruti +2.5%, Max Healthcare +2%. Nifty IT index fell nearly 6%.IPO Update: Fractal Analytics AI IPO price band set at ₹857-900/share, targeting ₹14,450 Cr valuation. Anchor round tomorrow; opens Feb 9-11—India's first pure-play listed AI firm.Technical Levels: Nifty support at 25,650 held; key watch 25,450. BankNifty above 60,000; support 59,700/59,500. Positive breadth: 1,700 advancers vs 900 decliners.Sectors: IT corrected sharply; energy/infra/FMCG/pharma strong. Defensive rotation evident.Macro/Policy: RBI MPC underway (Feb 4-6); rates likely steady at 5.25% amid sub-target inflation. Budget 2026 supports growth outlook.Commodities: MCX Gold ₹1,53,930/10g (uptrend); Silver ₹2,80,000/kg (strong recovery). Crude ₹5,770-5,800/bbl on supply/geopolitical risks.Geopolitics: US-Iran tensions boost safe-havens (gold/oil); India-US deal provides resilience.Outlook: Nifty eyes 26,000+ if 25,650 holds; BankNifty 60,500 breakout. RBI policy key catalyst. Volatility expected.Actionable: Buy quality non-IT (banking/auto/infra) dips for medium-term; traders await RBI clarity. Tune in tomorrow! | — | ||||||
| 2/4/26 | ![]() Tech Sell‑Off, Metal Surge: How Overnight Global Moves Could Shape India’s Opening Bell | Global equities cooled off overnight as the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 all slipped, led by profit booking in stretched US tech and software names.A rotation out of high‑growth technology into relatively defensive and value pockets drove the move, with fintech and some AI‑linked stocks under pressure.PayPal was among the big losers after weak guidance, while select defense and data analytics names still gained on strong earnings and visibility.In Indian ADRs, Infosys fell sharply in line with global tech weakness, HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank saw mild profit taking, while Reliance ADRs rose strongly on optimism around energy, telecom and retail.Asian markets reflected the US risk‑off tone, with the Nikkei easing from recent highs, the Hang Seng broadly flat to slightly negative and Shanghai hugging the unchanged line.Gift Nifty futures traded slightly lower, pointing to a flat to mildly soft start for the Nifty 50 after a blockbuster rally in the previous cash session.Globally, gold and silver rebounded sharply from last week’s plunge, signalling renewed demand for safety and driving interest in mining and precious‑metal related stocks.Crude oil edged higher on expectations of tighter OPEC+ supply and ongoing geopolitical tensions, supporting upstream energy names but posing cost risks for fuel‑heavy sectors.Hawkish messaging from US policymakers and expectations of a “higher for longer” Federal Reserve path kept hopes of rapid rate cuts in check, adding to volatility across risk assets.On Dalal Street, the Nifty 50 and Sensex both surged more than two and a half percent in the prior session, powered by banks, capital‑goods and beneficiaries of the India–US trade deal and Budget optimism.Bank Nifty rallied strongly with heavy buying in major private and public sector lenders, signalling renewed confidence in the financials space.Traders remain alert to any fresh SEBI or exchange guidelines around F&O leverage and weekly expiries that could quickly alter intraday volatility.Key technical levels for Nifty include support around twenty five thousand four hundred and twenty five thousand two hundred, with resistance near twenty five thousand eight hundred fifty and then twenty six thousand one hundred.For Bank Nifty, immediate support is placed near fifty nine thousand five hundred and fifty nine thousand one hundred, while resistance sits around sixty thousand eight hundred and then sixty one thousand five hundred.Commodity swings, especially in gold, silver and crude, are set to influence Indian metal, energy and export‑import sensitive sectors through the day.The day’s game plan emphasises disciplined risk management: avoid chasing gap‑ups, focus on quality large caps with solid earnings, and use clearly defined support and resistance levels to guide entries and profit‑taking. | — | ||||||
| 2/3/26 | ![]() Global Bulls Charge In: Record Nifty Surge on Tariff Tailwinds! | Record Rally Day: Nifty 50 closed at twenty-six thousand three hundred eight (up 2.79%), Sensex at eighty-five thousand three hundred twenty-three (up 2.54%), Bank Nifty at sixty thousand eleven (up 2.4%). Markets hit intraday highs amid strong bullish sentiment post-budget optimism and value hunting.Rupee Strength: INR closed at 90.12/USD, slightly stronger, supporting equity inflows despite global pressures.Top Gainers: Bajaj Finance, M&M, Wipro led Nifty gains on banking/auto momentum. Mid/small-caps in biotech/pharma shone amid regulatory positivity.Losers: Defense (L&T) and railway stocks saw profit-booking after prior rallies.Technical Action: Nifty support at 25,200-25,300 held; broke 26,000 resistance. Bank Nifty cleared 58,500, tested 59,000—bullish momentum confirmed.Sector Stars: Banking topped (budget FDI norms), followed by infra/auto. Defense/pharma lagged on rotation.SEBI Updates: New Stock Brokers Regulations 2026 simplifies compliance (59 to 29 pages), boosts broker confidence. Margin trading net-worth proposals enhance stability.Commodities Surge: MCX Gold at ₹1,50,298/10g (+4.38%), Silver near ₹2,50,000/kg (+5-6%)—safe-haven rebound. Crude stable ~₹5,900/bbl.Geopolitics: Trade/tariff clarity favors India as stable EM play.Tomorrow Outlook: Nifty eyes 26,350-26,500 resistance, support 25,800-25,900. Bank Nifty targets 60,200-60,600, support 59,500. Healthy breadth, watch global cues.Actionable Tip: Monitor financials/capital goods breakouts above key levels; use tight stops on options leverage. Nifty >26,350 signals 26,500 upside.Tune in for tomorrow's preview! #Nifty #Sensex #StockMarket #Budget2026 | — | ||||||
| 2/3/26 | ![]() US-India trade deal finally done - Is this the turning point for India? | US markets closed higher overnight, with the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all gaining on the back of strong earnings and resilient tech stocks.Apple and Western Digital led US market winners, while Microsoft slipped on concerns around cloud growth despite posting solid numbers.Indian ADRs had a strong session: Infosys, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, and Reliance all closed in the green, signaling renewed global appetite for Indian assets.A landmark US–India trade deal was announced, with tariffs on Indian exports to the US cut to eighteen percent in exchange for large long-term purchase commitments from India, especially in energy and agriculture.The trade deal is seen as a strategic realignment, with India pledging to pivot away from Russian oil and increase purchases from the US and select allies, improving geopolitical ties but raising questions on energy costs.Asian markets were mixed in the latest session, with the Nikkei up, the Hang Seng flat, and Shanghai under pressure, reflecting uneven regional risk appetite.Gift Nifty is trading near twenty-five thousand nine hundred twenty-nine, sharply higher and indicating a strong positive start for Indian equities.The sharp jump in Gift Nifty is driven largely by aggressive short covering after the post-budget sell-off and ahead of the first weekly derivatives expiry of February.Budget announcements, especially the hike in Securities Transaction Tax on futures and options, triggered a steep correction in Indian markets, increasing trading costs and weighing on derivatives volumes.Foreign portfolio investors have turned cautious after heavy January outflows, and today’s bounce is seen more as a positioning squeeze than a clean shift to fresh long-term buying.With weekly expiry and large outstanding positions, intraday volatility is expected to remain elevated as traders unwind shorts and roll positions.Gold and silver have rallied strongly in dollar terms, highlighting ongoing global uncertainty and safe-haven demand, while crude oil and natural gas have been relatively subdued.The episode underscores that today’s rally is primarily mechanical short covering; the structural impact of higher STT and upcoming RBI policy remains an overhang.Traders are urged to respect the heightened volatility on expiry day, avoid over-leveraging, and focus on disciplined risk management rather than chasing gap-up openings.Long-term investors are reminded to focus on quality Indian companies that stand to benefit from the US–India trade deal and reduced tariffs, rather than reacting to short-term noise.The show wraps up by inviting listeners to send in questions on the trade deal, market volatility, and sector implications, and to tune in daily for the morning update and evening wrap. | — | ||||||
| 2/2/26 | ![]() From Iran Tensions to Sensex Surge: World's Relief Rally Hits India | Market Rebound: Sensex surged 944 points to 81,666 (+1.17%), Nifty climbed 263 points to 25,088 (+1.06%), Bank Nifty up 200 points to 58,619. Strong recovery from Budget sell-off with broad participation across mid/smallcaps.Currency Update: Rupee at 91.39 vs USD, slight recovery amid easing geopolitical tensions.Top Gainers: Power Grid (+8%) on raised FY26 capex to ₹32,000 Cr; Campus Activewear (+7%) with Q3 profit up 37%; UPL (+5%) on 12% revenue growth.Key Losers: Shriram Finance (-3%), Max Healthcare (-3%), Infosys (-1.6%), Cipla (-1.71%).Technical Recap: Nifty held 24,900 support, eyes 25,200 resistance. Bank Nifty support at 58,250, resistance 58,900. Bullish candles formed.Sector Stars: Auto, infra, metals, FMCG, PSU banks led gains (1-2.3%) on Budget capex/defence push. IT/healthcare lagged.Budget Impact: Higher STT on F&O (0.05%/0.15%) weighed sentiment initially, but defence ₹7.85 lakh Cr allocation, infra guarantees shifted focus positive. FII net selling continued.Commodities: Crude crashed 4.9% to $62/bbl (MCX ₹5,666). MCX Gold near ₹1,46,000/10g, Silver ₹3,33,100/kg – both extended declines.Geopolitics: US-Iran de-escalation eased oil fears, boosted risk appetite. Asian markets mixed, Europe flat.Tomorrow's Outlook: Nifty hold 24,900 for bullish bias, target 25,340. Bank Nifty watch 58,900 break. Volatility persists.Trading Tip: Buy infra/defence dips to Nifty 24,900 support, target 25,200-25,340. Strict risk management essential. | — | ||||||
| 2/2/26 | ![]() Post Budget Reactions - Is India market sliding further? | Wall Street closed Friday in the red, with the Dow, S&P five hundred and Nasdaq all slipping as investors reacted to President Trump nominating Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair and repriced interest-rate expectations.The standout global story was a historic crash in precious metals, with gold and especially silver suffering one of their worst single-day declines in decades as the US Dollar surged and leveraged positions unwound.US sector and stock performance was mixed, with mega-cap tech like Apple holding up relatively better, while high-beta and rate-sensitive pockets bore the brunt of risk-off sentiment.Indian ADRs for Infosys, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank and Reliance all ended lower overnight, signaling continued foreign risk aversion and reflecting concerns over rupee weakness and derivatives-tax changes back home.Across Asia, indices showed a split screen: Japan’s Nikkei held firm in positive territory, while the Hang Seng and Shanghai Composite slipped on dollar strength, commodities volatility and renewed worries around global growth.Gift Nifty turned higher and now trades around twenty-four thousand eight hundred eighty-eight, up roughly one hundred points, hinting at a steadier and slightly positive start for the Nifty after Sunday’s sharp post-Budget sell-off.Globally, markets are watching the Warsh-led Fed outlook, the stronger dollar, and evolving US–India trade and energy ties, including Trump’s push for India to source more oil from alternative suppliers like Venezuela.At home, the Union Budget’s surprise hike in Securities Transaction Tax on F&O trades sparked a nearly two percent crash in Nifty and a spike in India VIX, as traders reassessed the higher cost of leverage and hedging.RBI is expected to keep the repo rate unchanged, with fiscal consolidation and capex push from the Budget providing a long-term positive backdrop even as near-term volatility remains elevated.Technically, Nifty now faces strong resistance in the twenty-five thousand to twenty-five thousand one hundred zone, while immediate support lies around twenty-four thousand seven hundred, making today’s price action crucial for short-term trend confirmation.Bank Nifty is holding relatively better, with key supports in the upper fifty-eight thousand range and upside confirmation only if it can reclaim levels closer to fifty-nine thousand five hundred.Crude oil has corrected meaningfully, which is a tailwind for India’s import bill, but the same stronger dollar that hit gold and silver also poses headwinds for the rupee and imported inflation.The episode emphasizes risk management for traders: volatility post-Budget and around global macro shifts calls for controlled position sizing, disciplined stop-losses and a focus on high-liquidity large caps.The show wraps with a reminder that today’s opening tone is cautiously optimistic rather than outright fearful, thanks to the rebound in Gift Nifty, and invites listeners to tune in to the evening wrap and send in their questions for deeper market discussions. | — | ||||||
| 2/1/26 | ![]() Budget Shocks, STT Hike Rocks Dalal Street | Special Sunday trading session on February first, twenty twenty six, as India’s Union Budget twenty twenty six keeps markets open for a rare weekend event.Benchmark indices see their worst budget day in years, with Sensex, Nifty fifty and Bank Nifty closing sharply lower after a volatile rollercoaster session.Sentiment turns bearish as the Finance Minister announces steep hikes in Securities Transaction Tax on futures and options, immediately raising the cost of trading derivatives.STT on futures is increased from 0.02% to 0.05%, while STT on options premium rises from zero point one percent to zero point fifteen percent, triggering a derating of FnO heavy strategies.Broader market breadth weakens, with decliners far outnumbering gainers, highlighting widespread risk off behavior across large caps, mid caps and small caps.Rupee softens against the US dollar and hovers near previous weak levels, adding to concerns around foreign flows and macro stability on a high volatility budget day.Among large caps, select IT names like Wipro and TCS hold up relatively well, supported by global revenue visibility and a softer rupee backdrop.Electronics manufacturing and semiconductor linked stocks such as Syrma SGS, Dixon Technologies, Kaynes Technology and Amber Enterprises rally smartly on a sizeable forty thousand crore rupee outlay for electronics component manufacturing.Big losers emerge in capital market and brokerage stocks including BSE and Angel One, which fall in double digits as markets price in a structural hit to derivative volumes from the STT hike.Cyclical names in metals, PSU banks and select energy stocks face heavy selling amid worries about growth, rates and risk appetite post budget.Nifty50 tests key support zones around the twenty five thousand band during intraday panic and attempts a late recovery; resistance remains overhead near the mid twenty five thousand range.Bank Nifty slides toward critical support in the high fifty seven thousand to fifty eight thousand range, with sixty thousand marked as a major resistance ceiling for any relief rally.Sectorally, IT and export oriented pockets show relative resilience, while capital markets, some PSU banks and rate sensitive plays underperform sharply.Budget 2026 reinforces a capex and manufacturing heavy narrative, with large allocations for electronics, infrastructure, defense, renewable energy, carbon capture and nuclear power.Policy measures include funding for carbon capture and utilization, support for solar and EV ecosystems, push for critical minerals and rare earth corridors, and continued focus on strategic manufacturing.Commodity markets remain highly active, with gold and silver on MCX seeing sharp intraday declines after a strong prior run, prompting profit booking in precious metals.Crude oil stays supported by ongoing geopolitical risks even as global growth worries cap upside, keeping energy markets a key macro variable for Indian equities.Geopolitical tensions, especially in West Asia, continue to influence crude prices and risk sentiment, feeding into India’s inflation and current account narratives.Technical outlook for the next session highlights crucial support levels on Nifty fifty and Bank Nifty; holding these could spark a short covering bounce, while a breakdown may extend the corrective phase.The show emphasizes that despite near term pain from the STT hike and derivative repricing, long term themes like manufacturing, defense, infrastructure and energy transition remain structurally attractive.Traders are urged to reassess position sizing and strategy in light of higher transaction costs in FnO, while investors are encouraged to focus on sectors directly benefiting from budget allocations.Listeners are invited to send in questions on today’s budget moves, STT impact, sector outlook and technical levels, and to tune in for the next morning’s update on how markets digest this landmark budget day. | — | ||||||
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