The $3T Problem No One in Real Estate is Paying Attention To

The $3T Problem No One in Real Estate is Paying Attention To

From On The Market by BiggerPockets

March 26, 2026 · 38 min · Episode 411

About this episode

This episode discusses the emerging private credit crisis and its potential impact on both commercial and residential real estate markets.

A $3 trillion market is beginning to crack. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon has sounded off, saying there are “cockroaches” in the system. Investors are pulling billions of dollars out of the market, and real estate could be affected in a massive way. This is the private credit crisis explained. When big investors go to buy or build, they don’t always take money from a bank; instead, they get loans from the private credit market—lenders who operate outside of the traditional lending apparatus. But over the past four years, commercial real estate has seen values tank, income drop, and demand shrink for everything from office to multifamily and more. And the people who lend their money to private credit are starting to get nervous. Billions of dollars have already been pulled out of the market, with many investors going on “bank run” style withdrawal sprees. But, this isn’t only a commercial real estate problem—residential real estate could be affected if enough money leaves the systems. So what happens next? Will real estate prices fall even further as a result? Are we on the brink of a credit crisis mirroring the 2008 subprime bubble? We’re breaking it all down in this episode. In This…

Topics covered

  • private credit crisis
  • commercial real estate
  • residential real estate
  • market trends
  • investment risks

Keywords

  • private credit
  • real estate
  • investment
  • market crisis
  • commercial debt
  • residential market
  • financial trends

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: JPMorgan

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