Perspectives with Neilo

Taiwan opposition leader Cheng Li-wun (鄭麗文) recently visited the United States following her high-profile meeting with Xi Jinping in Beijing. During a public discussion at the Asia Society in New York, she faced tough questions about Taiwan's future, cross-strait relations, the 1992 Consensus, and whether engagement with Beijing can coexist with Taiwan's democracy and autonomy. In this episode of Perspectives with Neilo, we examine key moments from Cheng Li-wun's US visit, including her exchanges with Asia Society fellows Danny Russel and Orville Schell, her views on Taiwan-China relations, and the reaction from Washington policymakers. We also explore: • Cheng Li-wun's meeting with Xi Jinping • The future of the 1992 Consensus • Taiwan public opinion on cross-strait dialogue • US concerns about Taiwan's security and defence policy • The legacy of Hong Kong and "One Country, Two Systems" • Whether dialogue with Beijing reduces or increases risks for Taiwan ./ Copyright Disclaimer: This episode features short audio excerpts from Cheng Li-wun's June 8 discussion at the Asia Society in New York, originally published by the Asia Society. These clips are utilized under the doctrines of Fair Use (U.S. Copyright Act, Section 107) and Fair Dealing (applicable international copyright laws) for the purposes of criticism, comment, news reporting, and educational analysis. No copyright infringement is intended. All rights belong to their respective owners. Original source: https://youtu.be/FADLG_2Xb20?si=uklCFiMjH3-IlnNS ./ Music Chime: Sound Soul (This Logo Reveal) by Diamond_Tunes via Pixabay ./

Our daily news feeds are dominated by active conflicts—but what about the tensions simmering just below the surface, with global stakes just as high? One of the most strategically significant, yet underreported flashpoints in the world is the Taiwan Strait—a 180km-wide body of international water separating Taiwan from mainland China. It's here that grey zone activity by the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) is escalating on a near-daily basis. In this episode of Perspectives with Neilo, we explore: The CCP’s claim on Taiwan—and why it’s historically weaker than Britain's claim on Ireland Taiwan’s democratic identity and its people’s overwhelming rejection of CCP rule The rise of grey zone warfare, military drills, and coercive tactics by China The impact of U.S. strategic ambiguity and why the U.S. might be pulled into a war with China Why Europe and the West must care about Taiwan’s future 🎙️ My guest is Bill Emmott—author of Deterrence, Diplomacy and the Risk of Conflict over Taiwan (2024), former editor-in-chief of The Economist, and one of the most respected voices in international affairs. We recorded this episode on the sidelines of the MacGill Summer School in July 2025. We dive deep into the risks of conflict, the future of U.S.-China relations, and how the world can avoid sleepwalking into a war over Taiwan. 🔗 Resources: Check out our blog at www.pwneilo.com for more information. Credits: Thumbnail map shows the locations of China’s military drills around Taiwan. The blue blocks represent war games held in 2022, the yellow and red blocks represent the “Joint Sword 2024” drills. Photo: Screen grab from the Chinese People’s Liberation Army Eastern Theater Command’s Sina Weibo account courtesy of the Taipei Times. Link in blog. Music: even darker variation by SamuelFJohanns via Pixabay Cinematic Piano Ambient Trailer Soundtrack by Open-Music-for-Videos via Pixabay #Taiwan #China #Geopolitics #TaiwanStrait #ForeignPolicy #BillEmmott #PerspectivesWithNeilo #USChinaRelations #PLA #CCP #MacGill2025 #GreyZoneWarfare #TaiwanMatters #GlobalSecurity #AsiaPacific

It has been a sweltering few months in Taiwan's political scene with partisanship intensifying in domestic politics, increased cross-strait tensions and unfolding US tariffs. At the end of June, I was fortunate to meet up with two of Taiwan's leading columnists and political analysts from the central city of Taichung. Courtney Donovan Smith is a staff columnist with the Taipei Times whose regular column, Donovan's Deep Dives shares in-depth analysis on everything about Taiwan's political scene and geopolitics. He is also the central Taiwan correspondent for ICRT FM Radio. Michael Turton is also a contributing columnist for the Taipei Times. His column, Notes from Central Taiwan provides incisive commentary informed by three decades of living in and writing about his adoptive country. I met up with Donovan and Michael to talk about the lead up to the Great Recall vote, President Lai's leadership, party dynamics, trade pressures and what it all means for Taiwan's future. Date of Recording, June 24th, 2025. #TaiwanPolitics, #CrossStraitTensions, #PresidentLai, #TaiwanPodcast, #USChinaTrade, #USTariffs, #TaiwanRecall, #PartisanPolitics, #EastAsiaPolitics, #TaiwanNews, #TaipeiTimes, #ICRT, #MichaelTurton, #CourtneyDonovanSmith, #NeiloPodcast, #AsiaGeopolitics

Welcome to the fourth installment in our series on Taiwan’s Great Recall in which we aim to bring you perspectives from all sides of the debate at this important moment in Taiwan’s democratic journey. In our earlier episodes in this series, we spoke with a political scientist, a pro-recall grass roots organization and a Kuomintang or KMT (中國國民黨) representative. Feel free to go back and listen to those episodes which you can find on our blog at pwneilo.com or by searching for Perspectives with Neilo wherever you get your podcasts - and be sure to hit the Subscribe or Follow button as it would really help us a lot! As we explained in previous episodes, this unprecedented KMT recall stems from a public backlash against months of legislative gridlock, budgetary obstruction, and interference with Taiwan’s highest court—including accusations of collusion with the Chinese Communist Party. While the recall effort is mostly organized by civil society organizations, the ruling Democratic Progressive Party or DPP (民主進步黨) has recently begun to engage more visibly as the first voting day approaches. Taiwan’s President and DPP party leader Lai Ching-te (賴清德) has also been conducting a series of 10 speeches at various civic centers around Taiwan which media reports indicate is a likely effort to boost DPP turnout in the voting. Clearly, if enough KMT lawmakers can be unseated and the DPP can reclaim their seats in the follow on election, it would dramatically shift the balance of power in Taiwan’s parliament. One of the KMT candidates on the recall ballot for July 26th is Wang Hung-wei (王鴻薇). She is the deputy secretary general of the KMT legislative caucus and was last elected to the single seater District 3 in Taipei in 2024 with over 52% of the vote. Prior to becoming a national politician she was a Taipei City councillor and before that worked in Journalism. While Wang Hung-wei is no stranger to controversy, people we spoke to say they are most concerned about her close ties to China. They cite her visit to Beijing in 2024 with KMT caucus whip Fu Kun-Chi (傅崐萁) and their meeting with top CCP politburo official Wang Huning (王滬寧) - a meeting for which they were not able to obtain any readout. The reason many constituents worry about such meetings is because Wang Huning is credited with being the CCP’s leading ideologist since the 1980s and is also the leader of the organization tasked with what the CCP call the “peaceful reunification of Taiwan". At the end of June, I went along to a neighborhood gathering at a small cafe in the Songshan district of Taipei. It was organized by the Wang Hung-wei recall group. I was interested to find out more about the group, hear more about the concerns that were causing them to recall Wang Hong Wei and get their reactions to the questions and accusations from the anti-recall camp. Subscribe to Perspectives with Neilo for upcoming episodes and updates on Taiwan’s Great Recall. Follow us on Instagram and YouTube for exclusive behind-the-scenes content, short clips, and lots more. #TaiwanPolitics, #TaiwanRecall, #DemocracyInAction, #KMTRecall, #TaiwanElections, #RecallVote2025, #CivicEngagement, #TaiwanDemocracy, #perspectiveswithneilo, #politicalpodcast, #TaiwanPodcasts, #GrassRootsMovement, #ProDemocracy, #ElectoralReform, #CivilSocietyVoices, #StopCCPInfluence, #TaiwanVotes, #PeoplePower

Welcome to the second installment in our series on Taiwan’s Great Recall in which we aim to bring you perspectives from all sides of the debate at this important moment in Taiwan’s democratic journey. As we explained in our first episode, since the last election in January of 2024, Taiwan’s parliament or Legislative Yuan has been controlled by the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and their smaller ally the Taiwan People’s Party who according to opponents have sought to block the ruling party’s agenda, freeze or cut budgets, undermine Taiwan's constitutional order and weaken efforts to bolster defense capabilities against growing Chinese military threats. The KMT insist that they are seeking to strengthen and protect Taiwan’s democracy and say these recalls are politically motivated. They accuse the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) of instigating the recall campaign, of mobilizing civic groups and attempting to use recalls to eliminate the opposition. On a Friday afternoon in early June, I met up with members of Public Collaborative Tactics, a grassroots pro-recall group based at Jinan Presbyterian Church—just steps away from the Legislative Yuan in Taipei. I was really interested to find out how the group came together and what motivates their cause. I also wanted to hear their thoughts on the Chinese Nationalist Party or KMT and if they had particular concerns about the party’s behavior. I also asked if they had connections with any political parties and how they were funded - but to begin the group introduced themselves and then told me how they all came together. Subscribe to Perspectives with Neilo for upcoming episodes featuring interviews with KMT officials, protest leaders, and more. Follow us on Instagram and YouTube for exclusive behind-the-scenes content, short clips, and lots more. #TaiwanPolitics, #TaiwanGreatRecall, #DemocracyInAsia, #KMTvsDPP, #CivicActivism, #Taiwan2024, #PerspectivesWithNeilo, #PwNeiloPodcast, #TaiwanNews, #RecallMovement, #TaiwanCivicGroups, #JinanChurch, #Geopolitics

These are challenging times for many world leaders, and no less so for the democratically elected leader of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te (賴清德). Lai Ching-te or William Lai was inaugurated as the President of Taiwan on May 20th, 2024. He succeeded Tsai Ing-wen and his election to the presidential office marks the first time for his party, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)(民主進步黨) to hold this office for three consecutive terms. While the DPP won the presidential vote, they failed to maintain a majority in the Legislative Yuan or parliament. As a result, the parliament has been controlled by the Chinese Nationalist Party (中國國民黨) or Kuomintang (KMT) and their smaller ally the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) (台灣民眾黨) who have sought to block Lai’s agenda, freeze or cut budgets including defense programs and interfere with operations of the country’s top court. While the KMT insist that they are seeking to strengthen and protect Taiwan’s democracy, the general public would not appear to agree and a mass recall effort is well underway which could unseat up to 20 KMT lawmakers and change the balance of power for Lai’s administration. This is a topic we will deal with in more detail in upcoming episodes. In the area of cross strait relations, President Lai has adopted a stronger rhetoric that characterises Taiwan as a de facto sovereign state, and has moved away from the more cautious tone of his predecessor. In a speech on March 13th, 2025, President Lai publicly characterized China as a "foreign hostile force" trying to "annex Taiwan and stamp out the Republic of China," a phrasing unprecedented for a Taiwanese president. In response Beijing has repeatedly described Lai as a dangerous "separatist" and increased Military Drills and Grey-Zone Operations around Taiwan - including conducting large-scale "blockade-style military exercises" in response to his major speeches. In this episode, I chat with William Yang, Senior Northeast Asia Analyst at the International Crisis Group — an independent, non-profit NGO dedicated to preventing and resolving deadly conflict. We dive into William’s recent article on President Lai’s first year in office, and examine how his administration has responded to mounting pressure from China. We also look at Taiwan public opinion and the challenges President Lai faces in navigating political tensions with the opposition KMT and TPP. #Taiwan #TaiwanPolitics #Geopolitics #InternationalRelations #LaiChingTe #WilliamLai #TaiwanPresident #DemocraticProgressiveParty #DPP #TaiwanSovereignty #CrossStraitRelations #ChinaTaiwan #TaiwanSovereignty #ChinaMilitaryDrills #Kuomintang #KMT #TaiwanPeoplesParty #TaiwanPolitics2025 #TaiwanRecall #TaiwanElections #TaiwanProtests #PodcastEpisode #PoliticalPodcast #AsiaPodcast #CurrentAffairsPodcast #InternationalCrisisGroup

Since the start of President Trump’s second term—and especially following the unprecedented Oval Office confrontation last February between Trump, J.D. Vance, and Ukrainian President Zelensky—Washington’s policy on Ukraine has undergone a dramatic shift. While this realignment has alarmed many of America’s traditional European allies, the ripple effects have been felt far beyond Europe, including in Taiwan. Despite the absence of a formal treaty, U.S. support has long been a cornerstone of Taiwan’s security strategy in deterring invasion by China who claim Taiwan as part of its sovereign territory despite having never controlled or occupied it. In this episode, we speak with Marcin Jerzewski, Head of the European Values Center in Taipei about how Taiwan is interpreting Washington’s evolving stance on Ukraine. We explore whether President Trump’s territorial rhetoric and trade initiatives are fueling skepticism in Taiwan—and how the Chinese Communist Party is leveraging the current situation to erode Taiwan’s trust in the US. #Trump2025 #Taiwan #UkraineWar #USForeignPolicy #Geopolitics #ChinaTaiwan #IndoPacific #TaiwanStrait #PodcastEpisode #PoliticsPodcast