Navigating the Unpredictable: Why Complex Systems Defy Prediction

Navigating the Unpredictable: Why Complex Systems Defy Prediction

From Safety Chats Podcast by Todd Thomas and Anne Marie Sollazzo

November 7, 2024 · 14 min · Season 4 · Episode 5

About this episode

Jason Starke discusses the unpredictability of complex systems and challenges the concept of predictive safety in aviation.

In this episode, Jason Starke explores the unpredictability of complex systems, using the example of raising children. Drawing on insights from John Gall’s System Antics, he challenges the concept of “predictive safety” in aviation, emphasizing that while we can’t fully predict complex systems, monitoring risk controls can help identify issues early. This discussion encourages safety practitioners to measure effectiveness for continuous improvement in organizational safety. Contact Safety Cha...

People in this episode

Hosts: Todd Thomas, Anne Marie Sollazzo

Guest: Jason Starke

Topics covered

  • complex systems
  • predictive safety
  • organizational safety
  • risk management
  • continuous improvement

Keywords

  • complex systems
  • predictive safety
  • risk controls
  • organizational safety
  • John Gall
  • System Antics

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: Safety Chats Podcast

More episodes of Safety Chats Podcast

Explore listener stats, chart rankings, contacts and more on the Safety Chats Podcast podcast page.