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Skymet Monsoon Forecast 2026: Shifting Rainfall Patterns Ahead - Deficit Likely in Many Regions | EP-75
Apr 7, 2026
33m 59s
Delhi-NCR, Hills & Tourist Destinations: Will Christmas Weekend Weather Disrupt or Delight? | Skymet Podcast EP-63
Dec 22, 2025
14m 24s
Why Is Global Warming Disrupting the Polar Vortex? Could North India Face Harsher Winters? | Skymet Podcast EP-61
Dec 11, 2025
22m 24s
Pollution vs Climate Change: Hazardous AQI Across India--Is It Accelerating Global Warming? | Skymet Podcast EP-58
Nov 20, 2025
24m 07s
El Niño vs La Niña: What Lies Ahead for India's Winter and Monsoon? | Skymet Podcast EP-57
Nov 13, 2025
19m 54s
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| Date | Episode | Topics | Guests | Brands | Places | Keywords | Sponsor | Length | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/7/26 | ![]() Skymet Monsoon Forecast 2026: Shifting Rainfall Patterns Ahead - Deficit Likely in Many Regions | EP-75✨ | Monsoon ForecastEl Niño+3 | GP SharmaMahesh Palawat | Skymet | IndiaBihar+12 | Monsoon 2026El Niño+3 | — | 33m 59s | |
| 12/22/25 | ![]() Delhi-NCR, Hills & Tourist Destinations: Will Christmas Weekend Weather Disrupt or Delight? | Skymet Podcast EP-63 | In this episode of the Skymet Podcast, weather expert Mahesh Palawat discusses the weather outlook for the next 2–3 days and up to a week, helping listeners plan their Christmas and holiday travel more safely.The episode focuses on Delhi-NCR, where falling temperatures have led to persistent cold and chilly conditions. It also explains how recent changes in wind speed and direction have contributed to an improvement in air quality, and what this means in the days ahead.Listeners will also get insights into:Fog conditions across North India’s plainsWeather trends over hill statesWhat to expect at popular tourist destinationsWeather-based travel precautions for the holiday period | 14m 24s | ||||||
| 12/11/25 | ![]() Why Is Global Warming Disrupting the Polar Vortex? Could North India Face Harsher Winters? | Skymet Podcast EP-61 | In this episode of the Skymet Podcast, AVM (Retd.) G.P. Sharma, President – Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet, explains the science behind the Polar Vortex in clear and simple terms.The Polar Vortex is a powerful circulation of extremely cold air and low pressure that typically remains confined over the North and South Poles. However, when this system weakens or becomes unstable, cold air can spill southwards—triggering sudden cold waves, snowfall, and extreme winter conditions across Canada, the United States, Europe, and at times North India.'The episode explores the role of the jet stream, atmospheric layers, and global warming in influencing the behaviour of the Polar Vortex. With ongoing climate change, the vortex is becoming increasingly irregular and unpredictable, making winter weather more volatile across the globe. | 22m 24s | ||||||
| 11/20/25 | ![]() Pollution vs Climate Change: Hazardous AQI Across India--Is It Accelerating Global Warming? | Skymet Podcast EP-58 | In this episode of the Skymet Podcast, AVM (Retd.) G.P. Sharma, President – Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet, explains the science of air pollution and its complex relationship with climate change in simple, accessible terms.Large parts of North India, particularly Punjab, Haryana, Delhi-NCR, and Uttar Pradesh, are currently among the most polluted regions in the country, with AQI levels persistently in the ‘Severe’ to ‘Hazardous’ category. Forecasting pollution remains a major challenge as it depends on multiple weather factors such as wind patterns, temperature, cloud cover, and rainfall.The episode explores how pollution particles influence solar short-wave radiation and Earth’s long-wave radiation. Due to heavy aerosol loading over regions like South Asia, increased reflection leads to a temporary cooling effect, resulting in a relatively lower contribution to global warming compared to greenhouse gases.However, while aerosols may slightly offset warming, their impact on human health is severe—contributing to asthma, COPD, lung diseases, cardiovascular issues, and nervous system disorders. | 24m 07s | ||||||
| 11/13/25 | ![]() El Niño vs La Niña: What Lies Ahead for India's Winter and Monsoon? | Skymet Podcast EP-57 | In this episode of the Skymet Podcast, AVM (Retd.) G.P. Sharma, President – Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet, breaks down the evolving La Niña scenario and its implications for India’s weather.El Niño and La Niña are key global climate drivers that influence weather patterns across the world, including India. In recent years, their impacts have shown noticeable shifts from historical trends. According to current assessments, the upcoming La Niña is expected to be weak and short-lived, active mainly between December and February.This could result in slightly below-normal temperatures over North India, with brief cold-wave–like conditions at times, though the likelihood of extreme cold or severe weather remains low. Rainfall during the season is likely to be normal or marginally above normal.The episode also explains how changes in sea surface temperatures, driven by El Niño and La Niña, interact with global warming and influence India’s monsoon behaviour. | 19m 54s | ||||||
| 10/27/25 | ![]() Cyclone Montha Update: When and Where Will the Storm Make Landfall? | Skymet Podcast EP-55 | In this episode of the Skymet Podcast, AVM (Retd.) G.P. Sharma, President of Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet, explains the track, potential impact, and most affected regions of Cyclone Montha. The storm is currently active near 12°N and 85°E and may intensify into a severe cyclonic storm within the next few hours. Montha is expected to make landfall near Kakinada coast in Andhra Pradesh by tomorrow evening, bringing winds up to 90 km/h and heavy rainfall. Coastal areas including Kakinada, Rajahmundry, Konaseema, Visakhapatnam, and Machilipatnam are on alert. Authorities have closed schools and colleges, begun evacuation efforts, and warned of possible disruptions to rail, road, and air services. | 14m 38s | ||||||
| 10/16/25 | ![]() Cyclone 'Montha' Brewing Over the Arabian Sea -- Which Countries Are at Risk and What Will Be Its Impact on India? | Skymet Podcast EP-54 | In this week’s Skymet Podcast, AVM (Retd.) G.P. Sharma, President of Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet, discusses in detail the formation and trajectory of the upcoming Cyclonic Storm “Montha (or Maantha)” over the Arabian Sea. The system is expected to develop as a low-pressure area around October 18–19 over the southeast Arabian Sea and Lakshadweep region, gradually intensifying into a severe cyclonic storm. While the storm is unlikely to make landfall along the Indian coasts of Kerala, Karnataka, Goa, or Gujarat, it may bring strong winds and light to moderate rainfall to these coastal areas. The Sokotra Islands, Somalia, and Yemen coasts are likely to experience more severe impacts. The episode also touches on the withdrawal of the Southwest Monsoon and the onset of the Northeast Monsoon, both expected to occur on the same day — October 16, marking a rare meteorological event. | 20m 47s | ||||||
| 10/9/25 | ![]() Monsoon 2025: The Rainy Season Nears Its End -- When Will the Northeast Monsoon Arrive? | Skymet Podcast EP-53 | In this week’s Skymet Podcast, AVM (Retd.) G.P. Sharma, President of Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet, shares insights as the Southwest Monsoon 2025 approaches its final phase. Recently, active systems over both the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea have drawn the attention of meteorologists — especially Cyclone Shakti, the first major storm of the season, which followed an unusual and unpredictable track. The episode explores how this system originated near Gujarat, moved across the Arabian Sea, and why some global agencies classified it as a cyclone while India’s weather agency did not. Tune in to understand how tropical cyclones form, the role of Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs), and why storms over the Arabian Sea rarely impact Indian coastlines. The discussion also highlights the early signs of the Northeast Monsoon’s arrival. | 23m 53s | ||||||
| 10/2/25 | ![]() Impact on Farmers, Water Storage, and Crops -- When Will the Northeast Monsoon Arrive? | Skymet Podcast EP-52 | In this week’s Skymet Podcast, AVM (Retd.) G.P. Sharma, President of Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet, explains why the 2025 monsoon season has been unlike any other and how it will influence the coming months. The season, spanning June 1 to September 30, ended at 108% of the Long Period Average (LPA) — a remarkable record in recent decades. He discusses how El Niño, La Niña, and neutral conditions shaped the monsoon this year, leading to rainfall deficits in Bihar and East Uttar Pradesh, while Marathwada and Rayalaseema saw late recovery. The episode also delves into the declining rainfall trend in Northeast India, the impact of a negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), and expert insights on the regional distribution of rainfall across the country. | 19m 55s | ||||||
| 9/25/25 | ![]() Above Normal Monsoon: Earliest Withdrawal from Delhi -- When, Where, and How Much It Rained Across India | Skymet Podcast EP-51 | In this week’s Skymet Weather Podcast, AVM (Retd.) G.P. Sharma, President of Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet, discusses the final phase and overall journey of the 2025 Southwest Monsoon. This year’s season was remarkable, as the monsoon withdrew from Delhi and North India on September 24, a day earlier than the normal date of September 25 — the earliest since 2013. However, monsoon withdrawal doesn’t mean an end to rainfall entirely, as light showers may still occur due to Western Disturbances and other weather systems. The 2025 monsoon was Above Normal (107%), with fairly balanced rainfall distribution across the country, except for Bihar, East Uttar Pradesh, and Northeast India, which recorded a deficit. Core monsoon regions including Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Gujarat, and Rajasthan received good rainfall, aided by the absence of a long break monsoon phase, keeping the season’s rainfall pattern well-balanced. | 20m 58s | ||||||
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| 9/23/25 | ![]() Microsoft Aurora: How AI is Transforming Weather and Climate Forecasting | Skymet Podcast EP-50 | Our 50th episode marks not just a milestone, but the beginning of a new wave of conversations—diving deeper into the science, technology, and progress shaping our future.In this special edition, Skymet CTO Vivek Singh is joined by Dr. Kenji Takeda, Director of Research Incubation at Microsoft Research, to explore how Artificial Intelligence is transforming weather and climate forecasting.At the center of this discussion is Aurora, Microsoft’s cutting-edge AI model. Aurora can do what traditional forecasting systems struggle with—running multiple tasks simultaneously. From rapid weather predictions and storm/cyclone warnings to air quality monitoring and climate change analysis, Aurora brings both speed and unmatched accuracy, especially for extreme weather events.Dr. Takeda explains how Aurora reduces reliance on supercomputers, democratizing weather forecasting and putting advanced insights into the hands of researchers, policymakers, and communities worldwide.Join us as we celebrate 50 episodes and step into this next chapter—where AI bridges science and society, helping us prepare for disasters, adapt to climate change, and understand our environment in ways never possible before. | 35m 15s | ||||||
| 9/18/25 | ![]() Monsoon Withdrawal 2025: From Delhi to Bihar -- Where Rain Surged and Where It Fell Short | Podcast EP-49 | In this week’s Skymet Podcast, AVM (Retd.) G.P. Sharma, President of Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet, discusses the current status of Monsoon 2025 and what to expect over the next 12–13 days. This year’s season has seen above-normal rainfall overall — 9% higher in June, 5% higher in July–August, and nearly 15–16% above normal in September. However, deficits remain in Bihar, eastern Uttar Pradesh, and the Northeast, while southern India also recorded comparatively less rainfall. Monsoon withdrawal began from Rajasthan on September 14 and will soon cover Delhi, Punjab, Haryana, and western Uttar Pradesh. This episode also explores rainfall trends in Delhi, Rajasthan, Bihar, the Northeast, and southern India, and explains why 2025 is being called one of the most unusual monsoons of the past 50–60 years. Plus, insights on when the Northeast Monsoon is expected to arrive. | 19m 53s | ||||||
| 9/11/25 | ![]() Monsoon 2025: Normal Withdrawal or Impact of Climate Change? | Podcast EP-48 | In this week’s Skymet Podcast, AVM (Retd.) G.P. Sharma, President of Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet, explains the current status of Monsoon 2025’s onset and withdrawal. While pan-India rainfall has been near normal this year, predicting the exact date of withdrawal remains tricky due to subjective conditions such as moisture decline, satellite imagery, anticyclones, and circulation patterns. Official withdrawal begins from western Rajasthan and often stretches from late September into October. According to Skymet, revisions in withdrawal dates are likely this year too. The episode also discusses the latest rainfall situation and forecasts for Maharashtra, Gujarat, Rajasthan, and the Konkan-Goa region. Will the monsoon follow its normal withdrawal pattern this time, or will climate change and global warming play a bigger role? Tune in to find out. | 21m 51s | ||||||
| 9/4/25 | ![]() Tracking Monsoon 2025: Abundant Rains, Regional Deficits, and the Road to Withdrawal Skymet Podcast EP-47 | In this week’s Skymet Podcast (EP-47), AVM (Retd.) G.P. Sharma, President of Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet, discusses the unusual progress of Monsoon 2025 and what lies ahead. June, July, and August have all recorded above-normal rainfall, with the country achieving 102% of the Long Period Average (LPA) — a rare situation last witnessed in 2007. Although the beginning of August was relatively weak, the second half brought heavy rains that pushed the national average to 5% above normal. Looking ahead, September is likely to deliver good rainfall in the first half, followed by a decline in the latter part of the month. Mumbai has already faced extreme weather with over 200 mm of rainfall in a short span, while Gujarat, South Rajasthan, and North Maharashtra are expected to see more heavy downpours. However, deficiencies remain in East Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, and across Northeast India, where Assam, Meghalaya, and Arunachal Pradesh are still facing a 30–40% shortfall, despite slight improvements in Bihar and Rayalaseema. Tune in to find out when the monsoon is likely to withdraw and how different regions may be impacted in the weeks to come. | 20m 54s | ||||||
| 8/28/25 | ![]() Monsoon 2025: El Niño, La Niña & IOD Explained | Skymet Podcast EP-46 | In this week’s Skymet Podcast, AVM (Retd.) G.P. Sharma, President of Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet, explains how global oceanic factors are influencing the progress of Monsoon 2025. The Niño 3.4 index over the Pacific is currently at -0.4, pointing towards a developing La Niña phase which is considered favorable for the Indian monsoon. On the other hand, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is highly negative at -1.2—the lowest since August 2022—which may suppress rainfall, as a positive IOD usually supports monsoon activity. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) stands at +0.6, indicating neutral conditions. So far, up to 26th August, the country has received 104% of the Long Period Average (LPA) rainfall, reflecting an above-normal season. Northwest India (including Rajasthan, Gujarat, and Delhi-NCR) and Central India (Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh) have experienced good rains, while Bihar and parts of Northeast India recorded a shortfall earlier, though conditions have improved in recent days. Tune in to understand how September’s rains may unfold and what role El Niño, La Niña, and IOD will play in steering the rest of the season. | 20m 30s | ||||||
| 8/21/25 | ![]() Monsoon 2025 Update: Two-Thirds Journey Complete - Relief or Disaster Ahead? | Podcast EP-45 | In this week’s Skymet Podcast, AVM (Retd.) G.P. Sharma, President of Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet, breaks down the current status and future outlook of Monsoon 2025. With two-thirds of the season now complete, rainfall has been above average, reaching 102% of the Long Period Average (LPA). While states like Maharashtra, Gujarat, and Rajasthan have seen heavy showers, northeastern India (Assam, Arunachal, Sikkim, East UP, Bihar) continues to face a rainfall deficit. The episode also explains how the recent “break in monsoon” shifted weather patterns, and what September withdrawal, along with global factors like ENSO and IOD, could mean for farmers and urban regions alike. | 16m 44s | ||||||
| 8/14/25 | ![]() Low-Pressure in Bay of Bengal to Trigger Heavy Rains, Alerts Issued in Many States | Podcast EP-44 | In this special episode of Skymet Podcast, AVM (Retd.) G.P. Sharma (President, Meteorology & Climate Change, Skymet) discusses the revival of the 2025 Southwest Monsoon, which has turned active after a prolonged break. The “Break in Monsoon” that began in late July caused significant rainfall deficiency across central and western India, with a nationwide deficit of 31% at the start of August. Now, a new low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal is set to bring heavy to very heavy rains over Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Marathwada, Konkan-Goa, South Gujarat, and Saurashtra in the next 7–8 days. Rainfall in Rajasthan and Gujarat has normalized after earlier surpluses, while the Northeast still faces a 39% deficit. For farmers, the upcoming showers in central India bring relief after a long dry spell, though some crops have already been affected. | 19m 47s | ||||||
| 8/7/25 | ![]() Monsoon in Break Phase – From Uttarkashi Tragedy to Rising Flood Threats Across India | Skymet Podcast Podcast EP-43 | In this week’s Skymet Podcast, AVM (Retd.) G.P. Sharma, President – Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet, explains that Monsoon 2025 has now entered a “break phase” and highlights its impact across different regions of India.This episode delves deep into weakening monsoon activities, declining rainfall, and the weather forecast for the coming week. We also address the recent devastating cloudburst in Uttarkashi, which caused severe destruction in vulnerable areas like Dharali and Harsil.The fragile geography of the hills, unchecked tourism, and rising population are intensifying the impact of such natural disasters. The discussion extends to how climate change and human interference are aggravating their severity.From reduced rainfall in Karnataka to shifting weather patterns in Northeast India, this episode provides a comprehensive overview of the changing monsoon across the country. It also emphasizes the urgent need for responsible tourism and greater climate awareness. | 19m 11s | ||||||
| 7/31/25 | ![]() Monsoon 2025 Mid-Season Review: Record Rain, Crop Damage, and Rising Flood Threats | Podcast EP-42 | As Monsoon 2025 hits its halfway mark, AVM (Retd.) G.P. Sharma decodes the rainfall trends so far — from surplus rains in Rajasthan, Gujarat, and Madhya Pradesh to the risk of floods in Bihar and Northeast India. Learn what "Break in Monsoon" really means and why August–September will be crucial for farmers across India. | 17m 20s | ||||||
| 7/22/25 | ![]() Monsoon 2025: Break in Monsoon & Rainfall Trends So Far | Skymet Podcast EP-41 | In this special episode of the Skymet Podcast, AVM (Retd.) G.P. Sharma, President – Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet, returns to discuss the unique characteristics of the 2025 Southwest Monsoon. June and July have both performed better than average, a first since 2013. AVM Sharma explains the phenomenon known as the “Break in Monsoon” – a period when the monsoon weakens temporarily and rainfall shifts closer to the Himalayan foothills. He dives into why this break occurs, when it typically happens, and its impacts. The episode also explores the influence of powerful Typhoon 'Wipha' over the Pacific Ocean and its potential downstream effect on the Indian monsoon, possibly triggering a fresh low-pressure area over the Bay of Bengal and reviving rains. | 17m 03s | ||||||
| 7/17/25 | ![]() Bihar’s Rain Crisis: 55% Monsoon Deficit and Its Alarming Impact | Skymet Podcast Ep-40 | In Episode 40 of the Skymet Podcast, AVM (Retd.) G.P. Sharma, President – Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet, analyzes the alarming monsoon situation in Bihar during 2025. With 45 days into the season, the state is reeling under a 55% rainfall deficit—raising concerns for agriculture, groundwater, and daily life. Sharma explains Bihar’s unique geography—Southern Plateau, Gangetic Plains, and Shivalik Foothills—and how rainfall has been uneven across these zones. Southern districts like Gaya, Nawada, and Jamui have fared relatively better, while regions in North and Central Bihar including Saharsa, Araria, Sitamarhi, and Kishanganj are facing a severe shortfall. The episode delves into how Bay of Bengal weather systems have largely favored Jharkhand and West Bengal, bypassing Bihar. It also explores the influence of ENSO and other oceanic parameters. While some rainfall may occur in southern and eastern Bihar soon, full recovery will take time. This episode is a must-listen for farmers, climate watchers, and policymakers. | 19m 09s | ||||||
| 7/10/25 | ![]() 40 Days of Monsoon: Rain Update, Where’s the Deficit and Why? | Skymet Podcast Ep-39 | In this special episode of the Skymet Podcast, AVM (Retd.) G.P. Sharma takes stock of the first 40 days of the Southwest Monsoon. This year’s monsoon has shown some unusual and fascinating trends compared to previous years. He explains how the monsoon advances through two main branches—Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal—and how these work together to drench the country. The episode also breaks down the three distinct phases of monsoon progression: south to north, east to west, and then widespread expansion across the plains. The monsoon arrived in Kerala on May 24—its earliest onset in 15 years. The episode dives into its current pace and what lies ahead. A must-listen for farmers, weather enthusiasts, researchers, and policymakers keen to understand India’s monsoon structure, movement, and impact. | 20m 38s | ||||||
| 7/5/25 | ![]() Monsoon 2025: Early Surge, But Will July Sustain It? | Ep-37 | In Episode 37 of the Skymet Podcast, AVM (Retd.) G.P. Sharma, President – Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet, discusses the early onset and current progress of Monsoon 2025, which covered the entire country by June 29—nine days ahead of schedule. He highlights how both the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea branches played a crucial role in its advancement. While Gujarat, Rajasthan, and Madhya Pradesh have received above-normal rainfall, regions like Marathwada, Rayalaseema, Bihar, and Northeast India are still facing rain deficits. The episode also explores rainfall prospects for early July, the potential slowdown after July 11, and the possibility of a "Break in Monsoon" due to the northward shift of the trough line. | 17m 45s | ||||||
| 6/27/25 | ![]() IOD, ENSO & MJO: How These Oceanic Forces Shape India’s Monsoon | Skymet Podcast EP-37 | In this episode of the Skymet Weather Podcast, AVM (Retd.) G.P. Sharma, President – Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet, breaks down the key oceanic and atmospheric drivers influencing the 2025 Southwest Monsoon. He explains the role of ENSO, IOD, SOI, and MJO, and how their current neutral to weak phases are affecting the monsoon’s pace and distribution across India. The episode explores why the monsoon has been delayed in some states, the potential for its spread by the end of June, and the broader implications for agriculture and daily life. The monsoon is also expected to reach Delhi-NCR around June 27–28. | 20m 03s | ||||||
| 6/21/25 | ![]() Is This Year’s Monsoon Truly Different? Why It Arrived So Early | Skymet Podcast EP-36 | In this special episode of the Skymet Weather Podcast, AVM (Retd.) G.P. Sharma, President – Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet, dives deep into the unique characteristics of the 2025 Southwest Monsoon. This year’s monsoon has been notably early and unusually dynamic compared to previous years. The episode explains how the monsoon travels through two distinct branches — the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal — gradually covering the country in three major phases. It also discusses how the monsoon moves from south to north, then east to west, finally merging across the Indian plains. Notably, the monsoon made an early onset over Kerala on May 24 — the earliest in the last 15 years. | 17m 59s | ||||||
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