
Prediction without Preclusion – Berk Ustun (UC San Diego)
From Talking law and economics at ETH Zurich by ETH Center for Law & Economics
February 17, 2026 · 15 min
About this episode
Prof. Berk Ustun discusses his paper on machine learning models and their implications for fairness and access in high-stakes settings.
In this episode of the CLE Vlog & Podcast Series, Prof. Berk Ustun (University of California San Diego) discusses his paper "Prediction without Preclusion: Recourse Verification with Reachable Sets" with Benjamin Kohler (ETH Zurich). In their work, Berk Ustun and his co-authors investigate how machine learning models in high-stakes settings, such as lending and hiring, assign "fixed" predictions that individuals cannot change regardless of their actions. They introduce a formal procedure called "recourse verification" to certify whether a model allows for responsiveness or precludes access. In addition, they develop an auditing tool for practitioners to flag models that effectively block access to certain outcomes before they are deployed – a crucial step to promote fairness and transparency in machine-led decision making. Paper Reference: Berk Ustun – University of California, San Diego Avni Kothari – University of California, San Diego Bogdan Kulynych – Lausanne University Hospital Tsui-Wei Weng – Halıcıoğlu Data Science Institute Prediction without Preclusion: Recourse Verification with Reachable Sets https://arxiv.org/abs/2308.12820 Audio…
People in this episode
Guest: Berk Ustun
Topics covered
- law
- economics
- machine learning
- fairness
- transparency
Keywords
- recourse verification
- auditing tool
- high-stakes settings
- lending
- hiring
Mentioned in this episode
Products: recourse verification, auditing tool
Books & works: Prediction without Preclusion, Prediction without Preclusion: Recourse Verification with Reachable Sets
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