
Gulf War 3 and Global Financial Crisis 2? Special with Nick Kumleben
From The HC Commodities Podcast by Paul Chapman, HC Group
March 13, 2026 · 50 min
About this episode
Nick Kumleben returns to discuss the geopolitical implications of the Israel-US war with Iran and its effects on the commodities markets and potential financial crises.
Returning today to discuss the latest developments from Israel & US's war with Iran is Nick Kumleben, Director at Greenmantle, the geopolitical risk advisory firm. What are the commodities markets telling us about duration? What are the incentive structures in place? How are traders faring in this period of extraordinary volatility? Is the US Treasury trading and how rumor and innuendo are driving that volatility? What would mines in the strait mean? Would boots on the ground actually lower prices? Why are the equity markets so sanguine? And could this, plus a smoldering private credit fund concern, lead us quickly to the global financial crisis?
People in this episode
Host: Paul Chapman
Guest: Nick Kumleben
Topics covered
- geopolitical risk
- commodities markets
- financial volatility
- US Treasury
- equity markets
- global financial crisis
Keywords
- geopolitical risk
- commodities
- financial crisis
- volatility
- US Treasury
- equity markets
- Iran
- Israel
Mentioned in this episode
Organizations: Greenmantle
Places: Israel, US, Iran
More episodes of The HC Commodities Podcast
- Digital Assets and the Blockchain Renaissance with Joe Miscioscia · June 9, 2026 · 48 min
- The Great CapEx Surge with Erikhans Kok · June 2, 2026 · 48 min
- Unearthing Alpha with a Metals Hedge Fund, with Matt Heap · May 26, 2026 · 50 min
- No Peace, No War and No Flows with Aldo Spanjer · May 20, 2026 · 47 min
- Sulphurous Times with Meena Chauhan · May 12, 2026 · 43 min
- Sanctions Strait Talk with David Tannebaum · May 7, 2026 · 51 min
Explore listener stats, chart rankings, contacts and more on the The HC Commodities Podcast podcast page.