348 | Predictions for 2026 in Real Estate and Non Performing Note Space
From The Paper Trail by Chris Seveney
December 17, 2025 · 31 min · Episode 348
About this episode
Chris shares his top 10 predictions for the real estate and lending markets in 2026, discussing key trends and challenges.
2026 Real Estate and Non-Performing Notes Predictions In this episode of the Paper Trail Podcast, Chris shares his top 10 predictions for the real estate and lending markets in 2026. He discusses tighter lending standards, rising defaults, and the importance of being a disciplined operator. Key trends include the tightening of investor space lending conditions, challenges in the multifamily sector, struggles for sponsors operating outside their expertise, a slowdown in fix-and-flip activity, the rise of build-to-rent, increased defaults on investor loans, the complexities of judicial foreclosures, potential declines in home prices in booming states like Florida and Texas, and the predicted growth of 7E Investments. Chris emphasizes the necessity for consistency, strategic focus, and disciplined underwriting in navigating the year ahead. 00:00 Introduction and Recap 00:12 2026 Real Estate Predictions Overview 01:05 Trend 1: Tightening Lending Conditions 04:07 Trend 2: Multifamily Market Challenges 05:42 Trend 3: Struggles of Inexperienced Sponsors 09:01 Trend 4: Decline in Fix and Flip Activity 10:15 Trend 5: Build to Rent Opportunities 13:31 Trend 6: Rising Defaults on Investor…
Topics covered
- Real Estate
- Non-Performing Notes
- Lending Markets
- Investment Trends
- Market Predictions
Keywords
- tightening lending standards
- rising defaults
- multifamily sector challenges
- build-to-rent
- judicial foreclosures
Mentioned in this episode
Products: 7E Investments
Places: Florida, Texas
More episodes of The Paper Trail
- 358 | Tariffs, Labor Costs, and the Double Squeeze on Real Estate · May 13, 2026 · 17 min
- 357| The Tax & Fee Anatomy of a Real Estate Syndication · April 22, 2026 · 35 min
- 356 | AI IN REAL ESTATE: The Good, The Bad, The Ugly · April 1, 2026 · 15 min
- 355 | Private Credit Is Cracking, Here’s Why We’re Not In That Trade · March 25, 2026 · 18 min
- 354 | We Are Entering The Uncomfortable Cycle Of Mortgage Note Investing · March 4, 2026 · 21 min
- 353 | How Cost of Homeownership May Lead To An Increase in Non Performing Mortgages · February 25, 2026 · 22 min
Explore listener stats, chart rankings, contacts and more on the The Paper Trail podcast page.