Patience required: navigating US fixed income's inflation peak

Patience required: navigating US fixed income's inflation peak

From The Weekly Fix by RBC Global Asset Management (U.S.) Inc.

April 21, 2026 · 5 min · Episode 127

About this episode

Mindy Gudmundson discusses the challenges fixed income investors face due to current energy shocks and restrictive monetary policy amid inflation concerns.

Current energy shocks collide with restrictive monetary policy, creating a different challenge for fixed income investors than 2022. Mindy Gudmundson, Institutional Portfolio Manager on RBC GAM's BlueBay U.S. Fixed Income team, examines how today’s potential inflation shock differs from a few years ago, and why timing may matter for bond investors positioning ahead of a perceived peak. Today's energy shock hits an economy already operating under tight monetary conditions, creating stagflation risks that contrast sharply with 2022's zero-rate environment. Headline CPI heading toward 4% while growth slows materially below early-year expectations, with consumer sentiment reaching all-time lows amid elevated prices. Curve steepening presents potential opportunity as short rates approach their peak with inflation topping out, while fiscal concerns and growth anxiety pressure the long end.

People in this episode

Guest: Mindy Gudmundson

Topics covered

  • fixed income
  • inflation
  • monetary policy
  • bond investing
  • economic conditions
  • stagflation
  • consumer sentiment

Keywords

  • fixed income
  • inflation
  • bond investors
  • monetary policy
  • energy shocks
  • stagflation
  • CPI
  • consumer sentiment
  • curve steepening

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: RBC GAM, BlueBay U.S. Fixed Income team

Places: U.S.

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