
Federal Sentencing Guidelines: Why You Don't Have a Math Problem
From White Collar Advice by Justin Paperny
April 20, 2026 · 10 min
About this episode
This episode discusses the misconceptions defendants have about federal sentencing guidelines and emphasizes the importance of building a strong record for sentencing outcomes.
Most defendants I speak with think they have a math problem. Loss amount, offense level, criminal history points. They obsess over the guideline range and do nothing to change it. Earlier today I spoke with a defendant back east who has spent weeks on the math and almost no time building the record that actually moves the outcome. This episode is about that mistake. Federal sentencing guidelines give a judge a starting point, not a final answer. I have been to more than 1,500 sentencing hearings since I came home from Taft Federal Prison Camp in 2008. I have heard judges mock defendants who claimed conduct they could not document. I have watched upper-guideline sentences handed down because a man wrote a letter saying he cared about his family but never once identified with the people he hurt. And I have watched defendants get below-guideline sentences because they sold the second car, moved to a smaller house, sat for a proffer, and kept every record. In this episode I walk through what judges actually say at sentencing, what the sentencing memorandum cannot do for you, and what thirty to ninety minutes a day between now and your hearing can build that no lawyer can manufacture…
People in this episode
Host: Justin Paperny
Topics covered
- federal sentencing guidelines
- defendant behavior
- sentencing outcomes
- record building
- judicial process
- criminal justice
Keywords
- federal sentencing
- guideline range
- criminal history
- offense level
- sentencing hearings
- defendant conduct
- sentencing memorandum
Mentioned in this episode
Places: Taft Federal Prison Camp
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- What Are the Federal Sentencing Guidelines and How Do They Work? · February 26, 2026 · 6 min
- Federal Sentencing Guidelines 101: How to Calculate Your Prison Range · February 24, 2026 · 9 min
- Federal Sentencing Calculator: Estimate Your Federal Prison Term · February 24, 2026 · 9 min
- One Day In Federal Prison · February 11, 2026 · 3 min
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