The Real Edge Is Not Predicting the War

The Real Edge Is Not Predicting the War

From Less Noise, More Signal by Pascal

April 23, 2026 · 13 min

About this episode

Bob Elliott and Aahan Menon discuss the implications of the oil shock and its effects on the economy and markets.

▬▬▬ FULL EPISODE ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ https://youtu.be/icM1Kj6d4ac?si=W51JTl4RNS00HpsZ ▬▬▬ DISCUSSION ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ 💬Join the discussion on Telegram: https://t.me/+OgDv1Djbvs80M2Fk ▬▬▬ CLIP ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ In this clip, Bob Elliott and Aahan Menon explain why the real opportunity is not predicting the war itself, but understanding the second and third order effects of the oil shock. They walk through how higher oil prices flow into inflation, demand destruction, and eventually earnings pressure. The key message is that markets may still be underpricing the macro fallout. ▬▬▬ SUPPORT ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ⚡️LNMS on Lightning: lnms@ln.mtpelerin.com ₿ BTC-Address: bc1qmk7gfdnrdegnmnrtnacj6rslan0y6v29kdlf9p 💵 https://donate.stripe.com/9B600k5Tscv … Twint: https://go.twint.ch/1/e/tw?tw=acq.Z7L … ▬▬▬ LINKS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ 📰 LNMS Newsletter: https://lessnoisemoresignal.substack …. 🎧 LNMS on YouTube: https://tinyurl.com/4jfhr4zn 🎧 LNMS on Apple: https://tinyurl.com/4apksnyn 🎧 LNMS on Spotify: https://tinyurl.com/ttha8kku 🎧 LNMS on Rumble: https://tinyurl.com/4k96c7tw 🎧 LNMS on Fountain: https://tinyurl.com/5dsbbj5p 🌐 LNMS Website: https://www.lessnoise-moresignal.com/ 📖 Bitcoin Book…

People in this episode

Host: Pascal

Guests: Bob Elliott, Aahan Menon

Topics covered

  • oil shock
  • inflation
  • market analysis
  • economic effects
  • investment strategy

Keywords

  • oil prices
  • inflation
  • demand destruction
  • earnings pressure
  • macro fallout

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: LNMS, Telegram, Bitcoin

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