Less Noise, More Signal

FULL EPISODE https://youtu.be/cfoKk584t7MDISCUSSION 💬Join the discussion on Telegram: https://t.me/+OgDv1Djbvs80M2FkCLIP Alfie explains how he identifies the marginal driver of markets in real time. He watches cross-asset correlations, lead-lag relationships, and how markets react to key economic data. His core insight: markets often price the extreme immediately, and that is where the edge can appear.SUPPORT⚡️LNMS on Lightning: lnms@ln.mtpelerin.com ₿ BTC-Address: bc1qmk7gfdnrdegnmnrtnacj6rslan0y6v29kdlf9p💵https://buy.stripe.com/9B600k5Tscv33Ue4zRdby00Twint: https://go.twint.ch/1/e/tw?tw=acq.Z7L1opJwS72nbGgEMY4w3ILkf67JAEyEFmXrtoKoUbONWSsjLDDQIhNx5ReanPy7LINKS 📰 LNMS Newsletter: https://lessnoisemoresignal.substack....🎧 LNMS on YouTube: https://tinyurl.com/4jfhr4zn🎧 LNMS on Apple: https://tinyurl.com/4apksnyn🎧 LNMS on Spotify: https://tinyurl.com/ttha8kku🎧 LNMS on Rumble: https://tinyurl.com/4k96c7tw🎧 LNMS on Fountain: https://tinyurl.com/5dsbbj5p🌐 LNMS Website: https://www.lessnoise-moresignal.com/📖 Bitcoin Book: https://www.amazon.de/dp/1967693013SOCIALSFollow on X👉 https://x.com/pahuegFollow on Nostr 👉 https://primal.net/pascalFollow on LinkedIn 👉 / pascal-huegli

▬▬▬ FULL EPISODE ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬https://youtu.be/cfoKk584t7M▬▬▬ DISCUSSION ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬💬Join the discussion on Telegram: https://t.me/+OgDv1Djbvs80M2Fk▬▬▬ CLIP ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬Alfie Kerswell breaks down how he approaches markets from first principles. His framework starts with growth, inflation, and liquidity, then connects those forces to rates, FX, and equities. He explains why labor market data, inflation buckets, real rates, and asset pricing all have to be viewed together.▬▬▬ SUPPORT ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬⚡️LNMS on Lightning: lnms@ln.mtpelerin.com ₿ BTC-Address: bc1qmk7gfdnrdegnmnrtnacj6rslan0y6v29kdlf9p💵https://buy.stripe.com/9B600k5Tscv33Ue4zRdby00Twint: https://go.twint.ch/1/e/tw?tw=acq.Z7L1opJwS72nbGgEMY4w3ILkf67JAEyEFmXrtoKoUbONWSsjLDDQIhNx5ReanPy7▬▬▬ LINKS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬📰 LNMS Newsletter: https://lessnoisemoresignal.substack....🎧 LNMS on YouTube: https://tinyurl.com/4jfhr4zn🎧 LNMS on Apple: https://tinyurl.com/4apksnyn🎧 LNMS on Spotify: https://tinyurl.com/ttha8kku🎧 LNMS on Rumble: https://tinyurl.com/4k96c7tw🎧 LNMS on Fountain: https://tinyurl.com/5dsbbj5p🌐 LNMS Website: https://www.lessnoise-moresignal.com/📖 Bitcoin Book: https://www.amazon.de/dp/1967693013▬▬▬ SOCIALS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬Follow on X👉 https://x.com/pahuegFollow on Nostr 👉 https://primal.net/pascalFollow on LinkedIn 👉 / pascal-huegli

DISCUSSION 💬Join the discussion on Telegram: https://t.me/+OgDv1Djbvs80M2FkEPISODE EPISODEIn this episode, Alfie Kerswell shares his first principles approach to macro trading, focusing on growth, inflation, liquidity, and cross-asset correlations. Discover how to analyze market drivers and identify mispricings to gain an edge in trading.Follow Alfie Kerswell 👉 https://x.com/_alfiekerswellSUPPORT⚡️LNMS on Lightning: lnms@ln.mtpelerin.com₿ BTC-Address: bc1qmk7gfdnrdegnmnrtnacj6rslan0y6v29kdlf9p💵https://buy.stripe.com/9B600k5Tscv33Ue4zRdby00Twint: https://go.twint.ch/1/e/tw?tw=acq.Z7L1opJwS72nbGgEMY4w3ILkf67JAEyEFmXrtoKoUbONWSsjLDDQIhNx5ReanPy7.LINKS 📰 LNMS Newsletter: https://lessnoisemoresignal.substack.com/🎧 LNMS on Apple: https://tinyurl.com/4apksnyn🎧 LNMS on Spotify: https://tinyurl.com/ttha8kku🎧 LNMS on Rumble: https://tinyurl.com/4k96c7tw🎧 LNMS on Fountain: https://tinyurl.com/5dsbbj5p🌐 LNMS Website: https://www.lessnoise-moresignal.com/📖 Bitcoin Book: https://www.amazon.de/dp/1967693013🎧 LNMS on YouTube: https://tinyurl.com/4jfhr4znSOCIALSFollow on X👉 https://x.com/pahuegFollow on Nostr 👉 https://primal.net/pascalFollow on LinkedIn 👉 https://www.linkedin.com/in/pascal-huegli/CHAPTERS00:00 Intro01:40 Understanding Market Dynamics: Growth, Inflation, and Liquidity04:28 Building a Framework: First Principles in Market Analysis09:00 Data-Driven Insights: Assessing Growth and Inflation14:46 Liquidity's Role: Connecting Economic Data to Asset Markets19:51 Navigating Real Rates: The Key to Understanding Liquidity21:54 FX Markets: The Complexity of Currency Dynamics23:49 Currency Dynamics and Equity Markets28:57 Daily Market Analysis and Cross-Asset Correlations35:22 Identifying Marginal Drivers of Asset Prices43:39 Finding Alpha in Mispriced AssetsDisclaimerThe publications on this website and in these videos, including any references and links, are provided for information purposes only and do not constitute investment advice, investment analysis, or an offer or recommendation to buy or sell financial instruments. They do not replace investment or other professional advice.The information reflects the state of knowledge at the time of preparation and may be changed at any time without notice. The content is intended for natural persons only. No liability is accepted for the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information provided, its sources, or for any resulting losses or damages. Liability for slight negligence is excluded.Marketing communication. Not investment advice. Investing involves risk. Transactions in Bitcoin may result in the total loss of the capital invested.

▬▬▬ FULL EPISODE ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ https://youtu.be/ipZzmV9Dchk ▬▬▬ DISCUSSION ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ 💬Join the discussion on Telegram: https://t.me/+OgDv1Djbvs80M2Fk ▬▬▬ CLIP ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ Joe Consorti explains why Bitcoin is underperforming while equities and AI names keep ripping higher. He argues capital may be crowding into the AI trade, while Bitcoin may be pricing geopolitical and inflation risk more honestly than other assets. The bigger question: is Bitcoin weak, or is it early? ▬▬▬ SUPPORT ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ⚡️LNMS on Lightning: lnms@ln.mtpelerin.com ₿ BTC-Address: bc1qmk7gfdnrdegnmnrtnacj6rslan0y6v29kdlf9p 💵https://donate.stripe.com/9B600k5Tscv… Twint: https://go.twint.ch/1/e/tw?tw=acq.Z7L… ▬▬▬ LINKS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ 📰 LNMS Newsletter: https://lessnoisemoresignal.substack…. 🎧 LNMS on YouTube: https://tinyurl.com/4jfhr4zn 🎧 LNMS on Apple: https://tinyurl.com/4apksnyn 🎧 LNMS on Spotify: https://tinyurl.com/ttha8kku 🎧 LNMS on Rumble: https://tinyurl.com/4k96c7tw 🎧 LNMS on Fountain: https://tinyurl.com/5dsbbj5p 🌐 LNMS Website: https://www.lessnoise-moresignal.com/ 📖 Bitcoin Book: https://www.amazon.de/dp/1967693013 ▬▬▬ SOCIALS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ Follow on X👉 https://x.com/pahueg Follow on Nostr 👉 https://primal.net/pascal Follow on LinkedIn 👉 / pascal-huegli

▬▬▬ DISCUSSION ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ 💬Join the discussion on Telegram: https://t.me/+OgDv1Djbvs80M2Fk ▬▬▬ CLIP ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ Crypto is no longer the obvious volatility trade it once was. In this episode, we break down why Bitcoin and broader crypto are lagging equities, why the post 2020 volatility regime is still alive, and why the old central bank put is weaker than investors think. The key shift is simple: risk is no longer being absorbed by policymakers in the same way, which means markets need to price uncertainty more directly. For crypto investors, that makes selectivity more important than ever, especially as equities become a much stronger competitor for risk capital. ▬▬▬ SUPPORT ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ⚡️LNMS on Lightning: lnms@ln.mtpelerin.com ₿ BTC-Address: bc1qmk7gfdnrdegnmnrtnacj6rslan0y6v29kdlf9p 💵https://donate.stripe.com/9B600k5Tscv… Twint: https://go.twint.ch/1/e/tw?tw=acq.Z7L… ▬▬▬ LINKS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ 📰 LNMS Newsletter: https://lessnoisemoresignal.substack…. 🎧 LNMS on YouTube: https://tinyurl.com/4jfhr4zn 🎧 LNMS on Apple: https://tinyurl.com/4apksnyn 🎧 LNMS on Spotify: https://tinyurl.com/ttha8kku 🎧 LNMS on Rumble: https://tinyurl.com/4k96c7tw 🎧 LNMS on Fountain: https://tinyurl.com/5dsbbj5p 🌐 LNMS Website: https://www.lessnoise-moresignal.com/ 📖 Bitcoin Book: https://www.amazon.de/dp/1967693013 ▬▬▬ SOCIALS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ Follow on X👉 https://x.com/pahueg Follow on Nostr 👉 https://primal.net/pascal Follow on LinkedIn 👉 / pascal-huegli

▬▬▬ DISCUSSION ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ 💬Join the discussion on Telegram: https://t.me/+OgDv1Djbvs80M2Fk ▬▬▬ EPISODE ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ In this in-depth interview, Bitcoin analyst James Check discusses market dynamics, Bitcoin's recent performance, macroeconomic influences, and on-chain metrics. Gain insights into technical levels, investor behavior, and the future outlook for Bitcoin amidst global uncertainties. Follow James Check 👉 https://x.com/_Checkmatey_ ▬▬▬ SUPPORT ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ⚡️LNMS on Lightning: lnms@ln.mtpelerin.com ₿ BTC-Address: bc1qmk7gfdnrdegnmnrtnacj6rslan0y6v29kdlf9p 💵https://buy.stripe.com/9B600k5Tscv33Ue4zRdby00 Twint: https://go.twint.ch/1/e/tw?tw=acq.Z7L1opJwS72nbGgEMY4w3ILkf67JAEyEFmXrtoKoUbONWSsjLDDQIhNx5ReanPy7. ▬▬▬ LINKS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ 📰 LNMS Newsletter: https://lessnoisemoresignal.substack.com/ 🎧 LNMS on Apple: https://tinyurl.com/4apksnyn 🎧 LNMS on Spotify: https://tinyurl.com/ttha8kku 🎧 LNMS on Rumble: https://tinyurl.com/4k96c7tw 🎧 LNMS on Fountain: https://tinyurl.com/5dsbbj5p 🌐 LNMS Website: https://www.lessnoise-moresignal.com/ 📖 Bitcoin Book: https://www.amazon.de/dp/1967693013 🎧 LNMS on YouTube: https://tinyurl.com/4jfhr4zn ▬▬▬ SOCIALS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ Follow on X👉 https://x.com/pahueg Follow on Nostr 👉 https://primal.net/pascal Follow on LinkedIn 👉 https://www.linkedin.com/in/pascal-huegli/ ▬▬▬ CHAPTERS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ 00:00 Intro 02:01 Market Dynamics and Predictions 02:46 The Role of Oil and Economic Indicators 05:40 Volatility in Major Markets 08:37 The Psychology of Investing 11:52 Bitcoin's Current Market Position 14:44 Understanding Bitcoin's Bottom Formation 17:36 The Fundamentals Behind Bitcoin's Performance 20:31 Lines of Defense in Bitcoin's Market 28:28 Market Dynamics and Bearish Sentiment 31:12 Investment Strategies and Dollar Cost Averaging 37:23 Understanding Realized Price and Market Metrics 44:02 Mining Industry Insights and Future Challenges 48:03 The Heart of Bitcoin: Finding Satoshi Documentary Disclaimer The publications on this website and in these videos, including any references and links, are provided for information purposes only and do not constitute investment advice, investment analysis, or an offer or recommendation to buy or sell financial instruments. They do not replace investment or other professional advice. The information reflects the state of knowledge at the time of preparation and may be changed at any time without notice. The content is intended for natural persons only. No liability is accepted for the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information provided, its sources, or for any resulting losses or damages. Liability for slight negligence is excluded. Marketing communication. Not investment advice. Investing involves risk. Transactions in Bitcoin may result in the total loss of the capital invested.

▬▬▬ DISCUSSION ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ 💬Join the discussion on Telegram: https://t.me/+OgDv1Djbvs80M2Fk ▬▬▬ EPISODE ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ In this in-depth interview, Markus Thielen from 10X Research shares his macro and on-chain analysis of Bitcoin, market cycles, and macro risks. Discover how his regime models predict market turns, the impact of macroeconomic factors, and insights into the current crypto landscape. Follow Markus Thielen 👉 https://x.com/10xResearch ▬▬▬ SUPPORT ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ⚡️LNMS on Lightning: lnms@ln.mtpelerin.com ₿ BTC-Address: bc1qmk7gfdnrdegnmnrtnacj6rslan0y6v29kdlf9p 💵https://buy.stripe.com/9B600k5Tscv33Ue4zRdby00 Twint: https://go.twint.ch/1/e/tw?tw=acq.Z7L1opJwS72nbGgEMY4w3ILkf67JAEyEFmXrtoKoUbONWSsjLDDQIhNx5ReanPy7. ▬▬▬ LINKS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ 📰 LNMS Newsletter: https://lessnoisemoresignal.substack.com/ 🎧 LNMS on Apple: https://tinyurl.com/4apksnyn 🎧 LNMS on Spotify: https://tinyurl.com/ttha8kku 🎧 LNMS on Rumble: https://tinyurl.com/4k96c7tw 🎧 LNMS on Fountain: https://tinyurl.com/5dsbbj5p 🌐 LNMS Website: https://www.lessnoise-moresignal.com/ 📖 Bitcoin Book: https://www.amazon.de/dp/1967693013 🎧 LNMS on YouTube: https://tinyurl.com/4jfhr4zn ▬▬▬ SOCIALS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ Follow on X👉 https://x.com/pahueg Follow on Nostr 👉 https://primal.net/pascal Follow on LinkedIn 👉 https://www.linkedin.com/in/pascal-huegli/ ▬▬▬ CHAPTERS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ 00:00 Intro 01:57 Introduction to Markus Thielen and 10X Research 04:53 Current Market Assessment: Counter Rally or New Bull? 06:12 Historical Cycle Calls and Market Bottoms 08:06 Bitcoin's Supply and Demand Dynamics 09:32 Cycle Timing and the Role of Halvings 10:57 Market Indicators and Outflows 12:20 Market Resistance and Price Targets 13:17 Technical Models and Market Sentiment 16:03 On-Chain Flows and Market Bottoming 17:31 Investor Positioning and Bullish Sentiment 20:01 Macro Risks: Inflation, Oil, and Energy Markets 25:29 Inflation Models and Macro Outlook 30:29 The Impact of Spending and Inflation on Bitcoin 33:19 The Role of Narrative and Attention Cycles 34:30 Market Environment During Bottoming Periods 37:03 Institutional Buying and MicroStrategy 40:15 Market Volume and Health of the Bitcoin Network 40:59 Bitcoin Miners: Selling Pressure and Network Security 45:38 Holistic Market Analysis: Data, Technicals, and Sentiment 48:48 How to Connect with 10X Research --- Disclaimer The publications on this website and in these videos, including any references and links, are provided for information purposes only and do not constitute investment advice, investment analysis, or an offer or recommendation to buy or sell financial instruments. They do not replace investment or other professional advice. The information reflects the state of knowledge at the time of preparation and may be changed at any time without notice. The content is intended for natural persons only. No liability is accepted for the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information provided, its sources, or for any resulting losses or damages. Liability for slight negligence is excluded. Marketing communication. Not investment advice. Investing involves risk. Transactions in Bitcoin may result in the total loss of the capital invested.