The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

Producer prices rose 1.3% in one month, 17% annualized. Gold and silver fell anyway, and that is a gift.Peter Schiff wraps a week of hotter-than-expected inflation data: September CPI up 0.6%, PPI up 1.3% against 0.5% expected with core up 0.7%, import prices up 1.1%, and export prices up 2.2% in a single month and 11.6% year over year. Traders sold gold, silver and bonds on the idea that the Fed will get tougher, but the numbers show the Fed has already lost. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is a dove in hawk's clothing, with one 25 basis point hike in five months while the balance sheet and money supply keep growing. Gold ended near $4,145 and silver near $56.85, a buying opportunity for anyone who understands what comes next.He explains why a mortgage crisis is brewing: $8 trillion of fixed-rate mortgages averaging 4.6% with rates at 7.5% means $2 trillion in unrealized losses before a single default, more than four times the losses of the 2008 crisis. Plus inflation under Trump versus Biden, oil above $101 as the Strategic Petroleum Reserve drains, $1.4 trillion in annual interest on the national debt, and why Peter is dressed as Goldmember.Our Sponsors:* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.aiPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Consumers are more worried now than at 2022's 40-year inflation high. Peter Schiff shows why the 'greatest economy ever' is pure fiction.📢 Please Support Our Sponsors:- My Patriot Supply. Save almost $300 on the complete Winter Prep Bundle, with emergency food, heat, backup power and light. Get yours while it's still available at https://preparewithpeter.comConsumers are more worried about their finances than at any point in 75 years. Washington calls it a boom.Peter Schiff takes apart the claim that America has the greatest economy in history. The University of Michigan's current conditions index just fell to an all-time low in a survey that dates to 1951. Households were less worried during the Cuban missile crisis, the 1970s gas lines, 9/11, the 2008 financial crisis, COVID and the 40-year inflation high of 2022 than they are today. Loan delinquencies are the highest since 2010, and the biggest wealth gains are going to households headed by someone 75 or older, because the same policies that raise the cost of living also inflate the stocks they own.Peter argues the weak economy explains the week's politics: a diesel deal with Russia three weeks after a law authorizing 100% tariffs on buyers of Russian energy, a pledge not to bomb Iran until after the midterms, and a committee of Trump appointees investigating Fed governor Lisa Cook. He also covers Fed minutes in which officials concede policy is not restrictive, a 30-year Treasury yield that reached 5.73%, why 7.4% mortgages are a return to normal, the week in gold, silver and Bitcoin, and why barring Microsoft from sponsoring foreign workers sends those jobs, taxes and spending overseas.Chapters:00:00 Record Low Confidence01:03 Trump Boom Claims03:39 Michigan Sentiment Shock06:58 75 Years of Crises11:19 Great Economy Fiction11:36 Winter Prep Sponsor12:46 Polls and Debt Stress16:19 Who Benefits From Boom17:54 Russia Diesel Flip Flop22:29 Iran Timing and Markets24:16 Rename AI to SI26:06 Lisa Cook Probe Committee28:51 Mortgage Fraud Politics30:53 Fed Minutes More Hikes32:02 Bond Yields New Normal33:05 Bitcoin Real Estate Debate36:40 High Debt High Rates38:15 Weekly Market Recap39:03 Gold Silver Buy Zone40:27 Bitcoin Anniversary Reality42:50 Treasury Yields Reality Check44:43 H1B Visa Backlash46:30 Who Owns The Job52:42 Remote Hiring Consequences56:29 Wrap Up And Sign OffFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news#PeterSchiffShow #Inflation #EconomyOur Sponsors:* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.aiPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Peter Schiff on a 29,000 jobs miss, weak wage growth, a $132.6B trade deficit, Trump's inflation remark, and why bonds sold off anyway.📢 Please Support Our Sponsors:- Odoo. Get your first application free for life at https://www.odoo.com/r/peter- DripDrop. Stock up now at https://dripdrop.com and use promo code GOLD for 20% offPeter Schiff breaks down the September jobs report: just 29,000 jobs against an 85,000 estimate. July was revised back to negative 10,000 and August down to 133,000. Unemployment rose to 4.2%, private payrolls added 46,000, and average hourly earnings rose only 0.1%, the smallest monthly gain in more than five years, while August CPI rose 0.4%. Peter had forecast both the miss and the downward revisions on Tuesday's podcast.Peter explains why the bond market sold off despite the weak report and softer August PCE data, even as the odds of an October rate hike fell sharply. The 10-year Treasury closed the week at 5.28% and the 30-year at 5.63%, which he calls classic bear market action. He also covers personal income rising 0.2% against spending up 0.9%, a 4.1% savings rate, and an August trade deficit of $132.6 billion, the fourth worst in US history, which he says shows tariffs have not reduced imports and that importers are the ones paying them.On stocks, Peter notes the Nasdaq hit an intraday record while 147 stocks made new 52-week lows against 38 new highs on the week, breadth he compares to 1999-2000 and 1973. He responds to President Trump's interview comment that inflation will pay off the debt, arguing it amounts to a sell signal for bondholders, and disputes Trump's claim that he inherited inflation from Biden.Peter reviews gold near $4,140, silver at $60.37 and the miners, Bitcoin near $84,500 and Strategy's Stretch trading back near par, and argues the data points to stagflation, with AI capital spending propping up GDP. He discusses the G7's 100 million barrel oil reserve release, mortgage rates he thinks could reach 8% this month, risks to housing, autos, credit and Fannie and Freddie, $40 trillion in debt at 5% interest, Janet Yellen's past comments on low rates, and Rick Santelli's final day at CNBC. He closes by urging listeners to buy the dip in gold and silver, with support near $4,000 and $60.Chapters:00:00 Bond Crisis Warning01:02 September Jobs Shock03:02 Revisions and Labor Details06:22 Wages Lag Inflation08:16 Bonds Sell Off Anyway12:36 Income Spending PCE15:47 Trade Deficit Tariffs20:13 Stocks Ignore Rising Yields26:48 Trump Inflation Pays Debt28:06 Inflation Pays Debt Claim29:02 Who Owns Inflation Blame30:17 Bondholders Get Burned31:20 Weekly Market Scorecard31:49 Gold Silver Yield Paradox34:13 Stagflation And AI Distortion36:17 Bitcoin Strategy Stretch Update38:35 Bond Vigilantes Take Over40:21 Oil Reserves And Mortgage Shock45:08 Debt Math And Crisis Setup49:51 Midterms And Voter Reality51:56 Buy Metals And Wrap UpFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news#PeterSchiffShow #JobsReport #BondMarketOur Sponsors:* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.aiPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Peter Schiff on why 86% of the S&P is already in a bear market, the 1973 and 2000 parallels, 5% Treasury yields, and new IRS emails on his bank.📢 Please Support Our Sponsors:- My Patriot Supply. Get a 3-Month Emergency Food Kit + FREE Mega Protein Kit at https://PrepareWithPeter.com- Proton Pass. Go to https://proton.me/peter to get 50% off, backed by a 30-day money-back guarantee.- Perplexity Computer. Start your free trial today at https://pplx.ai/gold and experience the next phase of AI.Market breadth has only been this bad twice in 100 years, and both times the S&P 500 fell nearly 50%.Peter Schiff opens with the relentless rise in long-term yields: the 10-year Treasury closed at 5.16%, the 30-year at 5.49%, and the five-year at 5.00%, while stocks shrug it off. Mortgages sit above 7% only because the Trump administration ordered Fannie and Freddie to buy, and Peter expects 8% regardless. Bond yields rose even as oil fell from $100 to $92, showing the bond market has decoupled from the Fed narrative. The S&P is 0.7% from a record, but the average stock is 19% below its high, 60% of stocks are in bear territory, and new lows outpaced new highs three to one. Peter compares this to January 1973 and early 2000, the only two precedents, both followed by roughly 49% declines. He also covers the Michigan sentiment drop to 48.1 and the hoarding psychology behind it, Bill Ackman's call to raise the inflation target, why rising yields are bullish for gold, and the Trump-Xi meeting that produced no commitments. The second half returns to Euro Pacific Bank: newly unredacted IRS emails reveal an MOU with OCIF and no answer when the IRS-CI chief asked what the bank did wrong, while the receiver has repaid 78 of roughly 3,500 customers in four years and paid himself over $850,000.Chapters:00:00 Breadth Crash Warning00:59 Bond Yields Surge04:40 Global Rates and Mortgages07:37 Oil Link Breaks11:01 Consumers and Hoarding14:58 Markets Misread Gold18:47 Hidden Bear Market Breadth21:06 History Rhymes Again23:21 Ackman and Inflation Target29:15 China Summit and Tariffs33:05 Bank Shutdown FOIA Fight38:20 FOIA Fight With IRS39:11 Settlement And New Disclosures42:03 Press Conference Double Standard43:46 Jim Lee Email Questions47:10 MOU Proof Of Coordination50:56 Unanswered Questions Expose Narrative55:02 Publicity Stunt Motive56:04 Portugal Freeze Fallout57:23 Receivership Numbers Breakdown01:04:40 Government Vs Free Market Rant01:06:41 Congress Won't Act01:07:41 Wrap Up And Investing PitchFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsPeter Schiff serves as Global Strategist of Euro Pacific Asset Management, LLC (“EPAM”), an SEC-registered investment adviser. The views and opinions expressed are those of Mr. Schiff as of the date of recording and may change without notice. Certain statements concerning historical events and regulatory matters reflect Mr. Schiff’s interpretation of the facts and information available to him.Market and investment commentary is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute individualized investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. International investing involves additional risks, including currency, political, economic and regulatory risks.For information regarding EPAM’s investment advisory services, please visit europac.com. Registration with the SEC does not imply a particular level of skill or training.Our Sponsors:* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.aiPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

The Fed hiked a quarter point. Peter explains why it will not stop the bond market, the dollar, or what is already coming for housing.📢 Please Support Our Sponsors:- NetSuite. If your revenues are at least seven figures, get the free business guide, Aligning for the Agentic Era: How AI Is Changing Everyday Work, at https://netsuite.com/GOLD- Proton Pass. Go to https://proton.me/peter to get 50% off, backed by a 30-day money-back guarantee.The Fed finally hiked. Peter says the quarter point changes nothing about what is already in motion.The Federal Reserve raised the fed funds rate 25 basis points to 3.75 to 4 percent, a 90 percent probability going in and a unanimous vote coming out. Peter's read is that none of that signals resolve. The Fed did not hike because it wanted to. Months of tough talk had stopped working, the bond market had called the bluff, and the committee was left with a put-up-or-shut-up moment it could not dodge. So it did the smallest thing available, and Kevin Warsh gave the shortest press conference of his tenure on the way out.A quarter point does not touch inflation heading for a four handle, not with oil above 100 dollars and diesel at record highs. The reason the Fed will not do more is not caution, it is capacity. A hike large enough to break inflation would break the economy and the Treasury's ability to fund itself.The market understood immediately. The Dow closed down roughly 600 points after being green before the announcement, and the 10-year Treasury pushed back above 5 percent, which Peter calls a stepping stone to 6. He also covers Trump's demand for sub-1 percent rates, Scott Bessent's testimony, why 8 percent mortgages are coming, and why he expects gold to recover from this selloff quickly.Chapters:00:00 Fed Hikes Under Pressure00:33 Markets Priced In the Move03:46 Fed Cornered by Inflation Talk06:38 Symbolic Hike and Market Fallout10:11 Fiscal Policy and Real Inflation21:31 Bond Yields Surge and Trump Reacts32:28 Import Cold Turkey Fallout33:40 Tariffs And China Surplus35:08 Empty Shelves Economic Crash36:18 Five Thousand Dollar Dividend44:30 Bonds For Bombs And Meme Coins53:32 Crypto Politics Gold Outlook FarewellFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news#PeterSchiffShow #FedRateHike #Inflation #Gold #BondMarketOur Sponsors:* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.aiPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Oil near $100, copper at a record, and the Fed still says 2%. Why the bond market breaks before the stock market does.📢 Please Support Our Sponsors:- Proton Pass. Go to https://proton.me/peter to get 50% off, backed by a 30-day money-back guarantee.- Function Health. Join at https://functionhealth.com/peter and use code PETER25 for a $25 credit.- Pebl. Go to https://hipebl.ai to get a free estimate.Oil near $100, copper at a record, and 65 straight months above 2%. Peter says the bond market breaks first.Brent touched $99.50 and copper hit an all-time high, and Peter's point is that the Fed's 2% target was already unreachable when oil was falling. Sixty-five months above target, and now the inputs are rising again. PPI Thursday and CPI Friday could both come in hot, and if they do, the damage shows up in bonds before it shows up in stocks. The market is pricing roughly 60% odds of a hike next week. Peter doesn't think the Fed will do it, and thinks 25 basis points wouldn't matter if it did, since the market would immediately start pricing the next one.The rest is the bill coming due elsewhere. China just posted a record trade surplus, with August exports up 25% year over year and exports to the US up 34%, which is what happens when tariffs price Americans out of the best deal rather than moving production home. Peter got the receipt himself: the courier billed him for the tariff, then billed him again to process it. Meanwhile the hyperscalers that used to park cash in Treasuries are borrowing from the same pool the government needs, at a moment when interest costs already run $1.2 trillion a year.Chapters:00:00 Intro00:39 War Shock Fuels Commodities02:15 Copper vs Gold Real Money06:11 Iran War Drags On21:31 Tariffs and Trade War Fallout30:18 Producers vs Consumers31:50 Tariffs Shift Trade35:52 Why Trade Wars Fail43:37 Nickels Beat Treasuries50:59 Fed, Inflation, and Wrap-UpFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news#PeterSchiffShow #BondMarket #InflationOur Sponsors:* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.aiPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Warsh talks tough, buybacks double, a military option surfaces, gold falls $140, and boat prices collapse 50%.This episode is sponsored by Ground News. Go to http://groundnews.com/schiff to get 40% off the unlimited access Vantage plan and unlock world-wide perspectives on the stories shaping our world.This episode is also sponsored by Rockwell Automation. Download their 11th Annual State of Smart Manufacturing Report at https://rok.auto/sosmThe Treasury doubled its bond buybacks this week. Then the talk turned to a military option for yields.Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh spent his most anticipated speech of the year talking tough about inflation, and Peter Schiff explains why none of it matters. Warsh accepted responsibility for 65 straight months above the 2% target, then never once mentioned the $40 trillion national debt or the Treasury intervention running underneath him. Money supply is expanding at roughly 6% annualized since he took the job. He is talking about putting out the fire while pouring the gasoline.Underneath the speech, the policy escalated. Treasury buybacks already doubled from $2 billion to $4 billion, with roughly a trillion in the general fund available to extend them, shortening the average maturity of the debt and leaving the government more exposed to the rate hikes markets are now pricing. And in a Fox News interview on that same intervention, a military option for lowering bond yields was raised.Peter also covers the week's real data: gold down $140, silver reversing from nearly $71, a Chicago PMI collapse to 47.1 that was the biggest downside miss in eleven years, and a boat market where prices have fallen 50% and lenders are taking the keys, a Fed-made boom and bust he argues housing is about to repeat.Chapters:00:00 Inflation Firestorm00:37 Boatcast Setup01:02 Warsh Speech Breakdown04:12 Debt And Twist Ignored08:10 Forward Guidance Critique11:19 Dual Mandate Tradeoffs12:46 Money Supply Matters13:56 Hawkish Talk And Markets18:50 Trump Military Option20:01 Canada Tariffs Fallout27:53 Market Wrap Gold Bitcoin31:46 Strategy Dilution Spiral32:42 Dollar Yen Bonds Warning34:11 Manufacturing Digital Shift39:03 Boating Bubble Bust45:28 Boat Costs Force Selling48:13 West Marine Bankruptcy53:02 Buyer Market Repos Risk56:30 Boat Ownership Reality57:09 Closing Politics PlugFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff#BondMarket #FederalReserveOur Sponsors:* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.aiPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Peter Schiff on plunging retail sales, sticky inflation, the Fed's stealth QE, and why the world is now leaving the dollar standard.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. For the first time ever you can try NetSuite Next for free. If your revenues are at least in the seven figures, Go to https://netsuite.com/goldThis episode is also sponsored by Function. Join at https://functionhealth.com/peter and use code PETER25 for a $25 credit.Retail sales just plunged, producer prices are still rising, and the Fed is quietly expanding its balance sheet again.The July data tells the story the markets keep ignoring. Retail sales fell 0.6 percent, the biggest drop in over a year, and since those numbers are not adjusted for inflation, real spending fell even further. Consumer sentiment sank to 51 as households braced for 4.3 percent inflation, more than double the Fed's 2 percent target. Producer prices rose 4.7 percent year over year, and instead of rallying on the weak data, the bond market sold off to its lowest weekly close of the year, with the 30-year at 5.27 percent. Meanwhile the Fed expanded its balance sheet by more than 21 billion dollars in two weeks, with the national debt about 80 billion dollars away from 40 trillion.Peter marks 55 years since Nixon closed the gold window and calls it what it was: a 100 percent default on America's creditors. His father Irwin testified against removing gold backing in 1968, and the 1970s proved him right. Now the sequel is underway. The world is going off the dollar standard the way America went off gold, and the next leg down in the American standard of living has already started. Gold near 4,400 dollars and silver above 66 are the market's verdict.Chapters:00:00 Middle Class Squeeze01:01 PPI Breakdown04:08 Fed Balance Sheet Surge05:23 Stagflation Signals08:28 Bond Market Warning11:39 Greenspan and 1987 Echoes14:48 Stocks vs Bonds Diverge15:33 Gold Shines Bitcoin Slips18:16 Bitcoin Bear Case21:08 Iran Sanctions and Oil26:30 Nixon Gold Standard Legacy28:52 Inflation Math Reality29:30 Video Plug Fiat Failure30:19 Electric Catamaran Tour34:30 Cruising Plans Tax Credit37:02 Gold Standard Break Explained48:09 Dollar Standard EndingFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff#Stagflation #InflationOur Sponsors:* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.aiPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Peter Schiff breaks down July's negative jobs report, Japan's yen crisis, and the Fed's stealth QE bailout as gold and silver surge.This episode is sponsored by DripDrop. Stock up now at http://dripdrop.com and use promo code GOLD for 20% offThis episode is also sponsored by Upwork. Visit https://upwork.com right now and post your job for free to connect with top talent ready to help your business grow.Recording from his boat in Rhode Island, Peter Schiff covers a week that vindicated his forecasts. The July jobs report showed a loss of 23,000 jobs, with prior months revised down another 105,000 and labor force participation falling to 61.4%, a level unseen outside COVID lockdowns in 50 years. Full-time jobs have declined in six of the last seven months while wages lag inflation, confirming the stagflation Peter has long warned about. The bigger story is Japan: with the yen at a 40-year low and JGB yields at record highs, the US executed its first yen intervention since 1998, roughly ten times larger, using euros instead of dollars and blindsiding the ECB. The Fed also took Japan's Treasuries via repo and printed the dollars, a stealth form of quantitative easing that contradicts its inflation-fighting rhetoric. Markets got the message: gold jumped 7.8% to 4,341, silver surged 12.3% to 63.46 after holding above the old $50 ceiling, and GDX rocketed 22% in one week, all far outpacing Bitcoin's 3.7% gain. Peter argues the intervention is just the beginning, the Fed will not hike before the midterms, and a currency and sovereign debt crisis is approaching. He urges listeners to prepare with gold, silver, miners, and foreign stocks, and to understand the coming crisis is caused by government, not capitalism.Chapters:00:00 Fed Japan Bond Backstop01:11 Back At Sea Intro01:59 Week Ahead Jobs Japan03:23 Stocks Metals Surge06:23 Bitcoin Strategy Warning09:15 Bonds Dollar Fed Odds14:00 July Jobs Shock15:33 Revisions Participation Drop19:51 Wages Inflation Stagflation24:09 Trump Ballroom Rant26:49 Japan Crisis Tease29:24 Japan Yen Breakdown31:30 Debt Trap And Rates32:23 Treasury Selling Threat34:35 Fed And BOJ Coordination36:08 Swap Line QE Explained41:15 Euro Intervention Twist44:29 Inflation Signals And Metals47:51 Storm Warning Ahead49:18 Blame Government Not Markets52:07 Prepare And Spread The WordFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsOur Sponsors:* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.aiPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

The yen just hit a 40-year low and Japan is trapped. Whether they hike or freeze, it ends the same way: the pin that pricks our bubble.Tonight’s episode is sponsored by NetSuite. For the first time ever you can try NetSuite Next for free. If your revenues are at least in the seven figures, Go to http://netsuite.ai/goldTonight’s episode is also sponsored by Rockwell Automation. Download their 11th Annual State of Smart Manufacturing Report at https://rok.auto/sosmInvestors are far too complacent about risks that are now hiding in plain sight. The AI trade cracked this week: Alphabet fell 10% after announcing even higher CapEx, Oracle is down 41% on the year, Meta and Amazon fell, and Microsoft is nearly in a bear market. SpaceX now trades 49% below its post-IPO high with its float set to jump from 5% to 40% by year end, and Tesla dropped 18%, costing Elon Musk nearly $100 billion in a week. Peter Schiff compares the roughly three-quarters of a trillion dollars in annual AI CapEx to the dot-com build-out, where the early favorites went bankrupt and took their vendors down with them.The bigger danger is Japan. The yen fell to a 40-year low against the dollar, the 30-year JGB yield hit an all-time high near 4%, and with debt above 200% of GDP and a policy rate still at just 1%, Japan is trapped. Whether the Bank of Japan finally hikes aggressively or stays timid, the result spills into the United States, potentially forcing the world's largest holder of US Treasuries to dump its $1.1 trillion position. Schiff calls Japan the pin that pricks the far bigger US bubble. Meanwhile the US 30-year yield hit a 20-year high of 5.16% on more than four times the debt of 2006, oil is up 30% in July guaranteeing a hotter CPI, and gold rose on the week even as bonds and stocks fell, with the miners signaling a bottom. He closes on why record-low jobless claims are meaningless in a gig economy and why Trump's new slave-labor tariffs are an unconstitutional tax on Americans.Chapters:00:00 Japan Sparks US Crisis00:41 AI CapEx Reality Check07:51 AI Bubble Parallels13:03 Gold Miners Rebound19:17 Oil Bonds Warning Signs32:16 Japan Debt Rate Trap34:36 Weak Yen Trade Deficits37:22 Japan Creditor Status Slips41:22 Two Japan Crisis Paths44:26 US Vulnerability Dominoes45:21 Unemployment Claims Hype47:20 Why Claims Mislead51:37 New Tariffs Legal Workaround59:03 Wrap Up Subscribe CallFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff#PeterSchiffShow #gold #inflationOur Sponsors:* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.aiPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

In 1914 the Fed ran on 40 people and no computers. Today it takes 23,000. Fire them all and let AI do it... it can't do any worse.Tonight’s episode is sponsored by Rockwell Automation. Download their 11th Annual State of Smart Manufacturing Report at https://rok.auto/sosmThis episode is also sponsored by Ethos. Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at https://ethos.com/gold. Application times may vary. Rates may vary.Kevin Warsh delivered his first congressional testimony as Fed Chair, and Peter Schiff breaks down a hearing where everyone discussed inflation while misdefining the term and ignoring their own role in causing it. June CPI came in at -0.4% versus the expected -0.1%, dropping year-over-year inflation to 3.5% — but the entire decline came from a temporary oil price drop that is already reversing as the Iran war reignites and oil climbs back 20% in July. Bond yields tell the real story: the 30-year is back near 5.1% and the 10-year near 4.6%, erasing nearly the entire post-CPI rally.Schiff's biggest revelation from the hearing: the Fed employs 23,000 people to do a job that required just 40 when it opened in 1914 — with no computers — and argues the entire institution could be replaced by a single AI or abolished outright. He dismantles Warsh's claim of "regime change" at the Fed as being as fake as regime change in Iran, exposes the redefinition of "price stability" to mean prices that rise just slowly enough that people stop complaining, and shows how the 2% target was always a lie invented to justify inflation. He covers Warsh admitting inflation is a tax while planning to keep levying it, the court throwing out Trump's self-negotiated IRS settlement that granted his family immunity, and the AI CapEx bubble turning tech's biggest cash generators into massive borrowers that will break the bond market.Chapters:00:00 AI Spending Arms Race01:08 Markets Brace for CPI06:07 CPI Surprise and Gold Whipsaw07:34 Oil Driven Inflation Mirage11:40 What Inflation Really Means14:11 Congress and Fed Share Blame17:58 Fed Headcount Shock22:32 Two Percent Target Myth27:05 Regime Change and Price Stability33:40 Day One Recap Continues34:09 Grow My X Account35:13 Congress Inflation Theater36:06 Trump Grift Claims37:30 IRS Settlement Outrage39:51 Rates Versus Balance Sheet41:08 Who Wins Low Rates43:46 Fed And Black Workers49:09 AI Bubble Warning51:15 Hyperscalers Debt Spiral55:38 Bond Market Breaking Point58:16 Strategy Stock Dilution01:00:30 Bitcoin Levels And Regrets01:01:30 Subscribe And Sign OffFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff#PeterSchiffShow #FederalReserve #AIBubbleOur Sponsors:* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.aiPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Iran deal dead. DOGE dead. Saylor selling at a loss. Medieval serfs kept more of their income than you do. I warned you about all of it.This episode is sponsored by DripDrop. Stock up now at http://dripdrop.com and use promo code GOLD for 20% offThis episode is also sponsored by Rockwell Automation. Download their 11th Annual State of Smart Manufacturing Report at https://rok.auto/sosmThe Iran peace deal collapsed and the war is back on, with Trump acknowledging he was "two weeks from a depression" when he agreed to the MOU — a confession Peter Schiff says handed Iran all the leverage. Oil jumped 6% to $75, but the real story is bond yields: the 10-year hit 4.58% and the 30-year 5.07% — nearly at cycle highs despite oil being 25% below its peak, proving the debt, not the war, is driving yields higher.FOMC minutes revealed that 9 of 13 members now support rate hikes after zero did just 90 days ago — theatrics Schiff says Warsh is orchestrating to appear hawkish without ever delivering. The May goods trade deficit exploded to $106.5 billion despite Trump's tariffs, continuing the pattern from his first term. DOGE was officially shut down with zero spending cuts achieved. Strategy sold 3,588 Bitcoin at a $15,000 per coin loss while Stretch sank to $86, and Trump's new savings accounts give kids $1,000 in borrowed money they'll repay through inflation. Schiff closes by noting that medieval serfs kept 75% of their output — more than the average American keeps today — making modern taxpayers lower in status than feudal peasants.Chapters:00:00 Freedom Versus Slavery00:46 Iran Deal Collapses05:04 Markets React to War07:15 Oil Bonds and AI Bubble16:17 Fed Minutes Rate Hike Theater21:28 Tariffs Inflation Excuses26:10 Real Rates and Debt Trap27:41 Trade Deficit Reality Check30:03 AI Threat to Services Surplus32:32 Democracy Deficits and Rights34:59 Rights And Healthcare36:28 Housing And Free Markets40:08 Tax Cuts And Wealth Theft45:55 Taxes And Modern Slavery48:25 DOGE Shutdown And Bitcoin CrashFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.aiPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Stretch hit $71 intraday. Strategy down 85% from peak. The first lawsuit just landed. And CNBC has gone completely silent.- This episode is sponsored by Pebl. Go to https://hipebl.ai to get a free estimate.The Strategy death spiral accelerated dramatically this week. Stretch preferred stock plunged 18% to close at $79 after hitting an intraday low of $71 — a 29% loss from par that wiped out more than two years of dividend income in weeks. Strategy common stock crashed 30% in a single week and is now down 85% from its peak, trading at a massive discount to its Bitcoin NAV. The first class action lawsuit was filed against Strategy, and Schiff expects tens of billions in total legal liability from both Stretch and common equity holders.Saylor continued selling common stock to buy Bitcoin despite each purchase destroying shareholder value — diluting Bitcoin per share at the current discount. Schiff argues this is done solely to maintain the illusion that Strategy is still a buyer, propping up Bitcoin's price at shareholders' expense. Bitcoin fell 8.3% to below $60,000 but is only the beginning — with Strategy sidelined as a buyer and ETF holders sitting on losses, there is no marginal buyer left. Gold traded below $4,000 and silver dropped to $56 intraday before recovering, but Schiff sees this as the likely bottom of the correction and the buying opportunity of the cycle. Alan Greenspan died at 100, and Schiff eulogized him as the architect of modern monetary inflation who proved that even a gold bug will choose inflation when given the power of the printing press.Chapters:00:00 Death Spiral Warning01:50 Stretch Ponzi Explained09:36 Why It Must Collapse18:41 This Week’s Crash Data28:57 Lawsuits and Market Fallout33:14 Gold and Silver Bottoming34:43 Fed Hype and Inflation Reality39:11 Greenspan Legacy and Gold Signal43:21 Dump Crypto Buy Metals52:43 Ford Wage Myth and Wrap UpFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff#PeterSchiffShow #StrategyDeathSpiral #BitcoinCrashOur Sponsors:* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.aiPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy