UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Reality slowly creeps in'

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Reality slowly creeps in'

April 28, 2026 · 3 min

About this episode

The episode discusses the diminishing impact of social media posts by US President Trump on the market as physical shortages threaten oil prices.

The longer the Strait of Hormuz is closed, the less market impact US President Trump’s early morning social media posts are likely to have. While physical reserves exist, prices can move on expectations. As physical shortages become a threat, expectations will have less of an impact—bad news for speculators placing conveniently timed trades. However, consumers can absorb higher prices for a time.

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