S9 Ep20: What triggered January 6?

S9 Ep20: What triggered January 6?

From VoxTalks Economics by VoxTalks

March 20, 2026 · 21 min · Season 9 · Episode 20

About this episode

The episode explores the factors that led to the escalation of the January 6 protests into a riot, focusing on partisanship and political geography.

Two explanations circulated immediately after the March to Save America on January 6, 2021 turned into a riot: a mob manipulated by a demagogue, or ordinary citizens defending democracy against a stolen election. Konstantin Sonin, David Van Dijcke, and Austin Wright have used anonymised location data from forty million mobile devices to investigate why the protests escalated so dramatically. No surprise: partisanship was the strongest predictor of attendance, proximity to Proud Boys chapters and use of the far-right social network Parler also increased participation. But political isolation amplified the movement: the communities most over-represented among those who traveled to Washington were small Republican enclaves surrounded by Democrat-leaning areas, politically and socially cut off from their neighbours. And participation also spiked in counties that experienced a "midnight swing," where the reported vote count favoured Trump on election night before shifting to Biden as mail-in ballots were counted. These were precisely the counties where the "Stop the Steal" narrative landed hardest. The research behind this episode: Sonin, Konstantin, David Van Dijcke, and Austin L…

People in this episode

Host: Tim Phillips

Guests: Konstantin Sonin, David Van Dijcke, Austin Wright

Topics covered

  • January 6
  • partisanship
  • political geography
  • protests
  • insurrection
  • democracy
  • election

Keywords

  • January 6
  • protests
  • partisanship
  • political isolation
  • election
  • Stop the Steal
  • Proud Boys

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: VoxTalks Economics, Parler, CEPR

Books & works: Isolation and Insurrection: How Partisanship and Political Geography Fueled January 6, 2021

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