The SpaceX IPO… What Happens When $1.75 Trillion Meets 4% Float

The SpaceX IPO… What Happens When $1.75 Trillion Meets 4% Float

From Excess Returns by Excess Returns

June 6, 2026 · 57 min

About this episode

The episode discusses the potential implications of the SpaceX IPO on market structure and valuation.

On the latest Click Beta, Matt Zeigler, Dave Nadig and Cameron Dawson discuss what could happen when SpaceX goes public and why this IPO may be as much a market structure problem as a valuation problem. They break down the potential impact of a $1.75 trillion IPO, 100 times sales, a small free float, forced index buying, passive fund flows, options trading, bubble dynamics and what advisors should tell clients who want SpaceX exposure. Subscribe to Click Beta on Spotify⁠ ⁠Subscribe to Click Beta on Apple Podcasts Dave Nadig https://x.com/davenadig Cameron Dawson https://x.com/CameronDawson Topics Covered: Why the SpaceX IPO could create a chaotic first 30 days of trading How 100 times sales, no earnings and a $1.75 trillion valuation change the discussion Why pre-IPO access, lockups, fees and vehicle structure matter for investors How Palantir and Tesla frame the debate over extreme growth stock valuations Why SpaceX could create unusual supply and demand pressure in the public market How options trading, Nasdaq 100 inclusion and accelerated index rules could affect price discovery Why free float matters and how a 4 percent float could become a 12 percent index adjustment How…

People in this episode

Guests: Matt Zeigler, Dave Nadig, Cameron Dawson

Topics covered

  • SpaceX IPO
  • market structure
  • valuation problems
  • investor strategies
  • supply and demand
  • options trading
  • bubble dynamics

Keywords

  • SpaceX
  • IPO
  • market structure
  • valuation
  • float
  • index buying
  • options trading
  • bubble dynamics

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: SpaceX, Palantir, Tesla, Nasdaq, Click Beta

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