Talking Real Money - Investing Talk

Tom welcomes legendary investor educator and longtime friend Paul Merriman for a wide-ranging conversation about the evolution of indexing, the proposed changes to the S&P 500, and why investors should understand both the strengths and limitations of traditional index funds. Paul explains why firms like Dimensional Fund Advisors and Avantis Investors use a more flexible, evidence-based approach than traditional indexing and discusses how academic research has reshaped portfolio constructi...

Tom welcomes back advisor Roxy Butner for a wide-ranging discussion that begins with practical financial advice for new graduates and quickly expands into questions from listeners about student loans, emergency funds, retirement savings, portfolio construction, mortgages in retirement, and the coming frenzy around a potential SpaceX IPO. Along the way, they explore the tradeoffs between debt repayment and investing, the role of small-cap value tilts in diversified portfolios, why taxes matter...

NOTE: This episode was accidentally uploaded as yesterday's podcast. To make the information match, the correct podcast for 6/16 has been uploaded in yesterday's place. If you heard this episode yesterday, please check out the newest episode in the June 16th podcast preceding this one. Sorry for the error. Don and Tom take on the latest attempt to reinvent retirement investing: the claim that retirees should hold 90% stocks and just 10% bonds. They explain why focusing on recent stock return...

Don takes listeners on a journey through nearly four decades of investment advice, explaining how his thinking evolved from recommending active mutual funds in the 1980s to embracing index funds, factor investing, and eventually ETFs. Along the way, he and Tom discuss Vanguard’s rise, Don’s early relationship with Paul Merriman, the emergence of Dimensional Fund Advisors and Avantis, and why their recommendations have changed over time. They also address listener skepticism about fund recomme...

This episode of Talking Real Money examines why financial advice so often turns into emotional debate instead of productive problem-solving. Don and Tom discuss how investors routinely underestimate spending, cling emotionally to employer stock, and defend strategies like dividend chasing, covered calls, crypto, or gold despite decades of evidence favoring diversified investing. They answer a listener question about aggressively paying down a 6.625% adjustable-rate mortgage versus maintaining...

Tom and Don tackle the impossible task of spotting market bubbles in real time, leaning on insights from Jason Zweigand Eugene Fama to argue that if bubbles were truly predictable, they wouldn’t exist. They discuss soaring semiconductor and AI-related stocks, speculative manias from tulips to SPACs to Bitcoin, and why diversification and disciplined rebalancing beat emotional market timing every time. Listener questions cover tax-loss harvesting and wash sales involving VT, VTI, and VXUS ETFs...

Don and Tom take on the uncomfortable reality that even supposedly “rules-based” index investing is starting to look suspiciously active, as major indexes like the S&P 500 consider bending long-standing rules to admit massive IPOs like SpaceX earlier than before. They explain why changing index rules matters more than most investors realize, debate whether index committees are chasing performance to stay competitive with the QQQ, and argue that broad global diversification may be safer th...

Tom and Don explore whether artificial intelligence is truly ready to replace financial advisors, sparked by a recent Wall Street Journal experiment using ChatGPT to build a long-term investment portfolio. They break down the AI-generated recommendations, highlighting both the surprisingly sensible use of low-cost index funds and the concerning inconsistencies, recency bias, and lack of academic factor tilts. Along the way, they discuss whether AI gives investors what they need or simply what...