Money For the Rest of Us

As Baby Boomers continue to retire, some analysts expect financial markets to feel the strain. We examine whether demographic shifts truly shape stock and bond returns, or what other factors matter more.Topics covered include:Will retiring baby boomers lead to lower stock prices or higher interest ratesSome earlier demographic predictions and how they worked outHow do natural interest rates reflect the demand and supply of capitalWhy demographics are only one factor that determines economic growth and financial market returnsSponsorsGelt - Taxes Done RightDelete Me – Use code David20 to get 20% offInsiders Guide Email NewsletterGet our free Investors' Checklist when you sign up for the free Money for the Rest of Us email newsletterOur Premium ProductsAsset CampMoney for the Rest of Us PlusShow NotesZeihanHarry DentMeasuring the Natural Rate of Interest—Federal Reserve Bank of New YorkDistribution of Household Wealth in the U.S. since 1989—The Federal ReserveRelated EpisodesRelated Episodes487: Are We Heading for a 2030s Depression? Global Economic and Population Shifts445: From Boom to Bust—Why China’s Stocks Lagged Behind Its Economy & Where to Invest Next395: How Population Trends Will Impact Growth, Inflation, Investing and Well BeingSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Can you really make money sports betting on low-risk, high-probability events?Topics covered include:The growing size and influence of the U.S. sports betting marketRecent sports betting scandalsHow sports betting odds workAn intriguing low-risk approach to sports bettingWhy the low-risk sports betting approach is still gambling with a negative expected returnBehavioral biases that encourage sports bettingRevisiting the difference between investing, speculating, and gamblingEpisode SponsorDelete Me – Use code David20 to get 20% offInsiders Guide Email NewsletterGet our free Investors' Checklist when you sign up for the free Money for the Rest of Us email newsletterOur Premium ProductsAsset CampMoney for the Rest of Us PlusShow Noteshttps://info.lowstressbets.com/How Do Betting Odds Work? by OC Staff—oddscheckerSenate Commerce Committee Wants Answers on NBA Gambling Scandal—Senate Commerce Committee"US sports betting crisis grows as MLB’s Clase and Ortiz indicted over alleged rigged pitches" by Tom Lutz—The GuardianESPN Will Not Let Failure Push It Out Of The Gambling Business by Chris Thompson—Defector22% of All Americans, Half of Men 18-49, Have Active Online Sports Betting Account—Siena University Research InstituteA Review of Sports Wagering & Gambling Addiction Studies Executive Summary—National Council on Problem GamblingHow sports gambling took over prediction markets in the US by Sam Learner, Oliver Roeder and George Steer—The Financial Times See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

How AI gets simple finance wrong, and how to make it work for you, not mislead youTopics covered include:How AI ignores the time value of moneyA detailed example of ChatGPT misleading by making a simple math mistakeSome examples of opportunity costs and sunk costs when making financial decisionsUnderstanding how AI works can help us use it more effectivelySponsorsClaude.ai - Sign up for Claude today and get 50% off Claude ProMoney for the Rest of Us PlusInsiders Guide Email NewsletterGet our free Investors' Checklist when you sign up for the free Money for the Rest of Us email newsletterShow NotesWhat Kind of a “PhD-level Expert” Is ChatGPT 5.0? I Tested It. by Gary Smith—Mind MattersTop US Army General Says He’s Letting ChatGPT Make Military Decisions by Joe Wilkins—FuturismWhy Language Models Hallucinate by Adam Tauman Kalai, Ofir Nachum, et al—ArxivAuto Loan Calculator—nerdwalletRelated Episodes538: Forests, Fakes, and the Fight for the Real457: AI’s Fork in the Road: Societal Bliss or Existential Threat450: How Higher Interest Rates Alter Our Financial BlueprintSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

How to decide when to invest in municipal bonds versus new tax-efficient bond ETFs that don't invest in munis.We analyze several newer ETFs that earn bond-like returns while avoiding paying taxable income distributions.SponsorsClaude.ai - Sign up for Claude today and get 50% off Claude ProDelete Me – Use code David20 to get 20% offInvestments MentionedVanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF (VTEB)iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF)JPMorgan Ultra-Short Municipal Income ETF (JMST)Alpha Architect 1-3 Month Box ETF (BOXX)F/m Compoundr U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (CPAG)F/m Compoundr High Yield ETF (CPHY)NEOS Enhanced Income Aggregate Bond ETF (BNDI)NEOS Enhanced Income 1–3 Month T-Bill ETF (CSHI)Show NotesUS municipal bond defaults and recoveries, 1970-2022 by Moody's Investor Service—FidelityFive Reasons Municipals Have Rarely Defaulted by Matthew Norton—Bernstein470 Plus: Annuities Correction, Europe versus U.S. Value Stocks, Analyzing BOXX, and Accredited Investor Rules—Money for the Rest of UsCboe:BOXX | Investment case—alpha architectSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

What happens when the money supply grows too slowly or too quickly? From gold-standard deflation to QE-driven inflation and inequality, we trace the lessons of monetary history, and what we can do today to protect ourselves in an age of infinite money.Topics covered include:How is the money supply measured, and why is it a subjective exerciseWhat is an example of a negative money shockWhy an optimal monetary policy would lead to deflation, and why that is a good thingWhat causes inflationHow quantitative easing contributed to wealth inequalityWhat is demurrage currencyThe unorthodox way Richard Nixon sought to combat high inflation and a strong dollarHow to increase our wealth in an era of infinite moneySponsorsLinkedIn Jobs – Use this link to post your job for free on LinkedIn JobsDelete Me – Use code David20 to get 20% offShow NotesDistribution of Household Wealth in the U.S. since 1989—The Federal ReserveM2 (M2SL)—FREDGood Versus Bad Deflation: Lesson from the Gold Standard Era by Michael D. Bordo, John Landon Lane, and Angela Redish—NBERSpeech by Richard Nixon (15 August 1971)—CVCEUS - Total Market Cap Divided by M2 Money Supply—MacroMicroDid Quantitative Easing Increase Income Inequality? by Juan Antonio Montecino and Gerald Epstein—CEPWebDoes Quantitative Easing Affect Inequality: Evidence from the US - Nektarios MichailDemurrage currency—WikipediaDebt: The First 5,000 Years by David GraeberRelated Episodes482: Unlocking the Power of Positive Skewness: Strategies for Investing, Business, and Creativity431: The Long-term Bullish Case for Gold336: Own What Is RealSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.